A Escola das Odds

Cleveland Guardians v Pittsburgh Pirates

Início: 2026-07-18 17:11 UTC

Final: Cleveland Guardians 1–7 Pittsburgh Pirates

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

62 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Cleveland Guardians (Local)

Previsão 54.28%1.84odd justa
EV -0.659%
Vantagem -0.360%
Kelly -0.794%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.83

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
52.00%54.15%54.26%56.04%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.701.771.771.8358.82%56.63%56.50%54.64%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pittsburgh Pirates (Visitante)

Previsão 45.72%2.19odd justa
EV +0.574%
Vantagem +0.261%
Kelly +0.478%
Crescimento +0.003%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.20

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
43.96%45.85%45.74%48.00%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.952.082.092.2051.28%48.17%47.73%45.45%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (62 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Pinnacle1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -3.92%E -2.21%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV +0.574%E +0.261%K +0.478%G +0.003%2.0%2026-07-18 17:09
Caesars1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -7.17%E -4.20%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -0.340%E -0.156%K -0.288%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-18 17:04
GTbets1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -2.83%E -1.58%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV -0.797%E -0.367%K -0.682%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-18 17:05
BetUS1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%EV -2.83%E -1.58%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%EV -1.25%E -0.581%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-18 17:05
LowVig.ag1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -2.83%E -1.58%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -1.71%E -0.796%K -1.49%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-18 17:10
BetOnline.ag1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -2.83%E -1.58%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -1.71%E -0.796%K -1.49%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-18 17:05
PointsBet (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.54%E -3.19%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.71%E -0.796%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-18 17:05
BetAnything1.79I 55.87%NM 54.22%EV -2.83%E -1.58%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.78%EV -3.08%E -1.45%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-18 15:25
MyBookie.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -4.46%E -2.53%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -3.08%E -1.45%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-18 17:09
1xBet1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -0.659%E -0.360%K -0.794%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -4.00%E -1.90%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-18 15:00
BetRivers1.81I 55.25%NM 53.71%EV -1.75%E -0.964%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.29%EV -4.00%E -1.90%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-18 16:05
Unibet1.81I 55.25%NM 53.71%EV -1.75%E -0.964%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.29%EV -4.00%E -1.90%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-18 17:10
FanDuel1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.92%E -2.21%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.00%E -1.90%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-18 15:25
Betway1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.92%E -2.21%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.00%E -1.90%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-18 15:25
ReBet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.92%E -2.21%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.00%E -1.90%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-18 15:25
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.92%E -2.21%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.00%E -1.90%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-18 14:25
Hard Rock Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.92%E -2.21%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.00%E -1.90%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-18 15:25
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.92%E -2.21%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.00%E -1.90%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-18 15:50
Bovada1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.46%E -2.53%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.00%E -1.90%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-18 17:09
Bet Right1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.00%E -2.86%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.00%E -1.90%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-18 17:05
Coolbet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.00%E -2.86%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.00%E -1.90%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-18 17:04
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.00%E -2.86%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.00%E -1.90%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-18 15:25
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.00%E -2.86%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.00%E -1.90%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-18 15:25
Dabble (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.00%E -2.86%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.00%E -1.90%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-18 15:55
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.54%E -3.19%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.00%E -1.90%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-18 15:24
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.09%E -3.52%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.00%E -1.90%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-18 15:24
Betr (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.09%E -3.52%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.00%E -1.90%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-18 17:05
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.09%E -3.52%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.00%E -1.90%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-18 17:05
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.09%E -3.52%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.00%E -1.90%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-18 17:05
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.09%E -3.52%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.00%E -1.90%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-18 17:05
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.72%E -4.54%K -11.02%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.00%E -1.90%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-18 14:15
DraftKings1.76I 56.82%NM 54.29%EV -4.46%E -2.53%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.71%EV -4.45%E -2.13%K -4.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-18 17:10
PlayUp1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.00%E -2.86%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.91%E -2.36%K -4.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-18 16:05
Unibet (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -2.83%E -1.58%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -5.37%E -2.59%K -5.02%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-18 16:05
SportsBet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.46%E -2.53%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.37%E -2.59%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-18 15:25
NordicBet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.46%E -2.53%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.37%E -2.59%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-18 15:25
Betsson1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.46%E -2.53%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.37%E -2.59%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-18 15:25
Casumo1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -3.37%E -1.90%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -5.83%E -2.83%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-18 16:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -3.37%E -1.90%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -5.83%E -2.83%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-18 16:05
Bally Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -3.37%E -1.90%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -5.83%E -2.83%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-18 16:05
ATG (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -3.37%E -1.90%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -5.83%E -2.83%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-18 16:05
Ladbrokes (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.92%E -2.21%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.28%E -3.07%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 15:25
Neds1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.92%E -2.21%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.28%E -3.07%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 15:25
TABtouch1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.92%E -2.21%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.28%E -3.07%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 16:05
Virgin Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.92%E -2.21%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.28%E -3.07%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 16:05
LiveScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.92%E -2.21%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.28%E -3.07%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 16:05
Unibet (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.54%E -3.19%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.28%E -3.07%K -5.98%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-18 17:09
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.09%E -3.52%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.28%E -3.07%K -5.98%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-18 17:09
LeoVegas1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -6.63%E -3.86%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -6.28%E -3.07%K -5.98%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-18 17:10
Marathon Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -3.37%E -1.90%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -6.74%E -3.30%K -6.48%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-18 15:00
Unibet (NL)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -3.92%E -2.21%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -6.74%E -3.30%K -6.48%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-18 17:10
betPARX1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -3.92%E -2.21%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -6.74%E -3.30%K -6.48%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-18 17:10
Svenska Spel1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -3.92%E -2.21%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -6.74%E -3.30%K -6.48%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-18 17:10
Unibet (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -0.659%E -0.360%K -0.794%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -7.65%E -3.79%K -7.50%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-18 17:10
Grosvenor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -5.00%E -2.86%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -7.65%E -3.79%K -7.50%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-18 16:05
Winamax (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.29%E -1.27%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.57%E -4.28%K -8.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-18 17:09
Fliff1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.29%E -1.27%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.57%E -4.28%K -8.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-18 16:10
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.00%E -2.86%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.57%E -4.28%K -8.57%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-18 15:25
Winamax (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -3.37%E -1.90%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -9.48%E -4.79%K -9.68%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-18 17:09
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -2.29%E -1.27%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -10.85%E -5.57%K -11.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-18 16:58
betano_uk1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -2.29%E -1.27%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -10.85%E -5.57%K -11.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-18 17:00
Betclic (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -5.00%E -2.86%K -6.67%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -10.85%E -5.57%K -11.43%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-18 17:10
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (9)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64%0.5%2026-07-18 17:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64%0.5%2026-07-18 17:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64%0.5%2026-07-18 17:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.14%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.86%0.9%2026-07-18 17:10
Novig1.83I 54.64%NM 54.02%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.98%1.2%2026-07-18 17:10
ProphetX1.83I 54.64%NM 53.90%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.10%1.4%2026-07-18 17:10
Matchbook1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45%1.9%2026-07-18 17:10
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%1.9%2026-07-18 16:30
Smarkets1.81I 55.25%NM 54.18%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.82%2.0%2026-07-18 17:10