مدرسة الاحتمالات

Cleveland Guardians v Pittsburgh Pirates

البداية: 2026-07-18 17:11 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Cleveland Guardians 1–7 Pittsburgh Pirates

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

62 شركة مراهنات (21 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Cleveland Guardians (المضيف)

التنبؤ 54.28%1.84السعر العادل
EV -0.659%
الأفضلية -0.360%
Kelly -0.794%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.83

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
52.00%54.15%54.26%56.04%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.701.771.771.8358.82%56.63%56.50%54.64%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Pittsburgh Pirates (الضيف)

التنبؤ 45.72%2.19السعر العادل
EV +0.574%
الأفضلية +0.261%
Kelly +0.478%
النمو +0.003%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.20

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
43.96%45.85%45.74%48.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.952.082.092.2051.28%48.17%47.73%45.45%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (62 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -3.92%E -2.21%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV +0.574%E +0.261%K +0.478%G +0.003%2.0%2026-07-18 17:09
Caesars1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -7.17%E -4.20%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -0.340%E -0.156%K -0.288%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-18 17:04
GTbets1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -2.83%E -1.58%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV -0.797%E -0.367%K -0.682%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-18 17:05
BetUS1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%EV -2.83%E -1.58%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%EV -1.25%E -0.581%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-18 17:05
LowVig.ag1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -2.83%E -1.58%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -1.71%E -0.796%K -1.49%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-18 17:10
BetOnline.ag1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -2.83%E -1.58%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -1.71%E -0.796%K -1.49%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-18 17:05
PointsBet (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.54%E -3.19%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.71%E -0.796%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-18 17:05
BetAnything1.79I 55.87%NM 54.22%EV -2.83%E -1.58%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.78%EV -3.08%E -1.45%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-18 15:25
MyBookie.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -4.46%E -2.53%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -3.08%E -1.45%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-18 17:09
1xBet1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -0.659%E -0.360%K -0.794%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -4.00%E -1.90%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-18 15:00
BetRivers1.81I 55.25%NM 53.71%EV -1.75%E -0.964%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.29%EV -4.00%E -1.90%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-18 16:05
Unibet1.81I 55.25%NM 53.71%EV -1.75%E -0.964%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.29%EV -4.00%E -1.90%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-18 17:10
FanDuel1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.92%E -2.21%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.00%E -1.90%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-18 15:25
Betway1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.92%E -2.21%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.00%E -1.90%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-18 15:25
ReBet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.92%E -2.21%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.00%E -1.90%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-18 15:25
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.92%E -2.21%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.00%E -1.90%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-18 14:25
Hard Rock Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.92%E -2.21%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.00%E -1.90%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-18 15:25
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.92%E -2.21%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.00%E -1.90%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-18 15:50
Bovada1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.46%E -2.53%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.00%E -1.90%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-18 17:09
Bet Right1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.00%E -2.86%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.00%E -1.90%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-18 17:05
Coolbet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.00%E -2.86%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.00%E -1.90%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-18 17:04
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.00%E -2.86%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.00%E -1.90%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-18 15:25
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.00%E -2.86%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.00%E -1.90%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-18 15:25
Dabble (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.00%E -2.86%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.00%E -1.90%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-18 15:55
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.54%E -3.19%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.00%E -1.90%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-18 15:24
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.09%E -3.52%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.00%E -1.90%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-18 15:24
Betr (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.09%E -3.52%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.00%E -1.90%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-18 17:05
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.09%E -3.52%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.00%E -1.90%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-18 17:05
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.09%E -3.52%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.00%E -1.90%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-18 17:05
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.09%E -3.52%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.00%E -1.90%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-18 17:05
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.72%E -4.54%K -11.02%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.00%E -1.90%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-18 14:15
DraftKings1.76I 56.82%NM 54.29%EV -4.46%E -2.53%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.71%EV -4.45%E -2.13%K -4.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-18 17:10
PlayUp1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.00%E -2.86%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.91%E -2.36%K -4.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-18 16:05
Unibet (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -2.83%E -1.58%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -5.37%E -2.59%K -5.02%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-18 16:05
SportsBet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.46%E -2.53%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.37%E -2.59%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-18 15:25
NordicBet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.46%E -2.53%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.37%E -2.59%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-18 15:25
Betsson1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.46%E -2.53%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.37%E -2.59%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-18 15:25
Casumo1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -3.37%E -1.90%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -5.83%E -2.83%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-18 16:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -3.37%E -1.90%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -5.83%E -2.83%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-18 16:05
Bally Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -3.37%E -1.90%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -5.83%E -2.83%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-18 16:05
ATG (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -3.37%E -1.90%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -5.83%E -2.83%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-18 16:05
Ladbrokes (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.92%E -2.21%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.28%E -3.07%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 15:25
Neds1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.92%E -2.21%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.28%E -3.07%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 15:25
TABtouch1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.92%E -2.21%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.28%E -3.07%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 16:05
Virgin Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.92%E -2.21%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.28%E -3.07%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 16:05
LiveScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.92%E -2.21%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.28%E -3.07%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 16:05
Unibet (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.54%E -3.19%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.28%E -3.07%K -5.98%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-18 17:09
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.09%E -3.52%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.28%E -3.07%K -5.98%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-18 17:09
LeoVegas1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -6.63%E -3.86%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -6.28%E -3.07%K -5.98%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-18 17:10
Marathon Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -3.37%E -1.90%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -6.74%E -3.30%K -6.48%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-18 15:00
Unibet (NL)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -3.92%E -2.21%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -6.74%E -3.30%K -6.48%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-18 17:10
betPARX1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -3.92%E -2.21%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -6.74%E -3.30%K -6.48%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-18 17:10
Svenska Spel1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -3.92%E -2.21%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -6.74%E -3.30%K -6.48%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-18 17:10
Unibet (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -0.659%E -0.360%K -0.794%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -7.65%E -3.79%K -7.50%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-18 17:10
Grosvenor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -5.00%E -2.86%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -7.65%E -3.79%K -7.50%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-18 16:05
Winamax (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.29%E -1.27%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.57%E -4.28%K -8.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-18 17:09
Fliff1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.29%E -1.27%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.57%E -4.28%K -8.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-18 16:10
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.00%E -2.86%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.57%E -4.28%K -8.57%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-18 15:25
Winamax (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -3.37%E -1.90%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -9.48%E -4.79%K -9.68%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-18 17:09
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -2.29%E -1.27%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -10.85%E -5.57%K -11.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-18 16:58
betano_uk1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -2.29%E -1.27%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -10.85%E -5.57%K -11.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-18 17:00
Betclic (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -5.00%E -2.86%K -6.67%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -10.85%E -5.57%K -11.43%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-18 17:10
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (9)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
BetOpenly1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64%0.5%2026-07-18 17:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64%0.5%2026-07-18 17:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64%0.5%2026-07-18 17:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.14%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.86%0.9%2026-07-18 17:10
Novig1.83I 54.64%NM 54.02%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.98%1.2%2026-07-18 17:10
ProphetX1.83I 54.64%NM 53.90%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.10%1.4%2026-07-18 17:10
Matchbook1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45%1.9%2026-07-18 17:10
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%1.9%2026-07-18 16:30
Smarkets1.81I 55.25%NM 54.18%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.82%2.0%2026-07-18 17:10