语言:简体中文
Cleveland Guardians v New York Mets
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Cleveland Guardians (主队)
预测 55.12%1.81公平赔率
EV -1.88%
优势 -1.06%
Kelly -2.41%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.78
博彩公司预测分布
53.66%55.15%55.16%56.39%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.651.731.721.7860.61%57.84%58.14%56.18%最小值均值中位数最大值
New York Mets (客队)
预测 44.88%2.23公平赔率
EV +0.975%
优势 +0.433%
Kelly +0.780%
增长率 +0.008%
假设最高赔率为 2.25
博彩公司预测分布
43.61%44.85%44.84%46.34%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.052.142.152.2548.78%46.83%46.62%44.44%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Cleveland Guardians (主队)：55.12%；New York Mets (客队)：44.88%。 对于“New York Mets (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.23。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为2.25，对应+0.975%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (64 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -4.09%E -2.35%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV +0.975%E +0.433%K +0.780%G +0.008% | 1.9% | 2026-08-04 21:21 |
| DraftKings | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.28%EV -1.88%E -1.06%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.72%EV -1.27%E -0.577%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.6% | 2026-08-04 21:00 |
| FanDuel | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -2.43%E -1.37%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -1.27%E -0.577%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-04 22:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -2.43%E -1.37%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -1.27%E -0.577%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-04 20:34 |
| BetRivers | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -4.09%E -2.35%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -1.27%E -0.577%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-04 20:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -4.09%E -2.35%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -1.27%E -0.577%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-04 20:49 |
| GTbets | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.16%EV -1.88%E -1.06%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 44.84%EV -1.72%E -0.784%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-08-04 20:00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.16%EV -1.88%E -1.06%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 44.84%EV -1.72%E -0.784%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-08-04 22:25 |
| 1xBet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.30%EV -2.43%E -1.37%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 44.70%EV -1.72%E -0.784%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-08-04 19:53 |
| BetUS | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -2.43%E -1.37%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -2.17%E -0.994%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-04 19:54 |
| BetAnything | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -3.54%E -2.02%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -2.17%E -0.994%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-04 22:05 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -1.88%E -1.06%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -2.62%E -1.21%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-04 19:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -1.88%E -1.06%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -2.62%E -1.21%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-04 20:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -5.19%E -3.02%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -2.62%E -1.21%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-04 20:50 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -5.19%E -3.02%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -2.62%E -1.21%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-04 20:50 |
| Casumo | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -5.74%E -3.36%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -3.06%E -1.42%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 20:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -5.74%E -3.36%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -3.06%E -1.42%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 20:50 |
| Unibet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -5.74%E -3.36%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -3.06%E -1.42%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 20:49 |
| Bally Bet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -5.74%E -3.36%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -3.06%E -1.42%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 20:50 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -5.74%E -3.36%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -3.06%E -1.42%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 20:50 |
| betPARX | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -5.74%E -3.36%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -3.06%E -1.42%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 20:50 |
| TAB | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.54%E -2.02%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -3.51%E -1.63%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-04 20:08 |
| ReBet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.09%E -2.35%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.51%E -1.63%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-04 19:55 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.09%E -2.35%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.51%E -1.63%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-04 19:49 |
| theScore Bet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.09%E -2.35%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.51%E -1.63%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-04 19:55 |
| Bovada | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.19%E -3.02%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.51%E -1.63%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-04 22:24 |
| 888sport | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.74%E -3.36%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.51%E -1.63%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 21:19 |
| Fliff | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.74%E -3.36%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.51%E -1.63%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 21:49 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.74%E -3.36%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.51%E -1.63%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 21:20 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.74%E -3.36%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.51%E -1.63%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 21:20 |
| TABtouch | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.29%E -3.70%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.51%E -1.63%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 20:49 |
| Paddy Power | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.95%E -4.76%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -3.51%E -1.63%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-04 22:40 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -3.54%E -2.02%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -3.96%E -1.85%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-04 21:04 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -3.54%E -2.02%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -3.96%E -1.85%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-04 19:54 |
| Bet Right | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -5.19%E -3.02%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -3.96%E -1.85%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 21:20 |
| SportsBet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.74%E -3.36%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -3.96%E -1.85%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 22:39 |
| Coolbet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.64%E -2.68%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.86%E -2.29%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 21:10 |
| Betsson | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.19%E -3.02%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.86%E -2.29%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 20:04 |
| NordicBet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.19%E -3.02%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.86%E -2.29%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 20:04 |
| PlayUp | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.19%E -3.02%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.86%E -2.29%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 20:04 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.19%E -3.02%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.86%E -2.29%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 19:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -7.39%E -4.40%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -4.86%E -2.29%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-04 20:49 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -7.39%E -4.40%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -4.86%E -2.29%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-04 20:49 |
| Fanatics | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.43%E -1.37%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.76%E -2.74%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-04 20:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.54%E -2.02%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.76%E -2.74%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 20:00 |
| Coral | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.54%E -2.02%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.76%E -2.74%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 20:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.54%E -2.02%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.76%E -2.74%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 19:49 |
| BetMGM | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.09%E -2.35%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.76%E -2.74%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 20:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.64%E -2.68%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.76%E -2.74%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 21:09 |
| William Hill | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.64%E -2.68%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.76%E -2.74%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 21:25 |
| BoyleSports | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.64%E -2.68%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.76%E -2.74%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 20:35 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.19%E -3.02%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.76%E -2.74%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 22:25 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.19%E -3.02%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.76%E -2.74%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 20:35 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.19%E -3.02%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.76%E -2.74%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 21:15 |
| Betway | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.74%E -3.36%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.76%E -2.74%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-04 22:40 |
| LeoVegas | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.29%E -3.70%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.76%E -2.74%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-04 22:40 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.29%E -3.70%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.76%E -2.74%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-04 21:04 |
| Grosvenor | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.76%EV -9.05%E -5.48%K -13.92%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.24%EV -6.65%E -3.20%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-04 20:50 |
| Neds | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -2.43%E -1.37%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -8.00%E -3.90%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 20:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -2.43%E -1.37%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -8.00%E -3.90%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 20:00 |
| Bet Victor | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.29%E -3.70%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.00%E -3.90%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-04 22:33 |
| betano_uk | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.29%E -3.70%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.00%E -3.90%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-04 22:34 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.29%E -3.70%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.00%E -3.90%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-04 21:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -6.84%E -4.05%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -8.00%E -3.90%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-04 22:13 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (10)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.56% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 44.44% | 0.0% | 2026-08-04 22:39 |
| Polymarket | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 0.9% | 2026-08-04 22:40 |
| ProphetX | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.61% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 44.39% | 1.0% | 2026-08-04 22:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.86% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.14% | 1.1% | 2026-08-04 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.86% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.14% | 1.1% | 2026-08-04 22:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.86% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.14% | 1.1% | 2026-08-04 22:40 |
| Matchbook | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.64% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.36% | 1.5% | 2026-08-04 22:40 |
| Novig | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.64% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.36% | 1.5% | 2026-08-04 22:40 |
| Kalshi | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08% | 2.2% | 2026-08-04 21:50 |
| Smarkets | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44% | 2.3% | 2026-08-04 22:35 |