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Cleveland Guardians v New York Mets
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Cleveland Guardians (Хозяева)
Прогноз 55.12%1.81справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.88%
Преимущество -1.06%
Kelly -2.41%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.78
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
53.66%55.15%55.16%56.39%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.651.731.721.7860.61%57.84%58.14%56.18%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
New York Mets (Гости)
Прогноз 44.88%2.23справедливый коэффициент
EV +0.975%
Преимущество +0.433%
Kelly +0.780%
Рост +0.008%
при максимальном коэффициенте 2.25
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
43.61%44.85%44.84%46.34%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.052.142.152.2548.78%46.83%46.62%44.44%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Cleveland Guardians (Хозяева): 55.12%; New York Mets (Гости): 44.88%. Для исхода «New York Mets (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 2.23. 1 букмекер предлагал итоговый коэффициент выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 2.25, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +0.975%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (64 букмекерские конторы)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости ▼ | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -4.09%E -2.35%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV +0.975%E +0.433%K +0.780%G +0.008% | 1.9% | 2026-08-04 21:21 |
| DraftKings | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.28%EV -1.88%E -1.06%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.72%EV -1.27%E -0.577%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.6% | 2026-08-04 21:00 |
| FanDuel | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -2.43%E -1.37%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -1.27%E -0.577%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-04 22:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -2.43%E -1.37%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -1.27%E -0.577%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-04 20:34 |
| BetRivers | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -4.09%E -2.35%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -1.27%E -0.577%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-04 20:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -4.09%E -2.35%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -1.27%E -0.577%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-04 20:49 |
| GTbets | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.16%EV -1.88%E -1.06%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 44.84%EV -1.72%E -0.784%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-08-04 20:00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.16%EV -1.88%E -1.06%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 44.84%EV -1.72%E -0.784%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-08-04 22:25 |
| 1xBet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.30%EV -2.43%E -1.37%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 44.70%EV -1.72%E -0.784%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-08-04 19:53 |
| BetUS | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -2.43%E -1.37%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -2.17%E -0.994%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-04 19:54 |
| BetAnything | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -3.54%E -2.02%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -2.17%E -0.994%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-04 22:05 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -1.88%E -1.06%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -2.62%E -1.21%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-04 19:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -1.88%E -1.06%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -2.62%E -1.21%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-04 20:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -5.19%E -3.02%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -2.62%E -1.21%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-04 20:50 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -5.19%E -3.02%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -2.62%E -1.21%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-04 20:50 |
| Casumo | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -5.74%E -3.36%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -3.06%E -1.42%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 20:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -5.74%E -3.36%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -3.06%E -1.42%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 20:50 |
| Unibet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -5.74%E -3.36%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -3.06%E -1.42%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 20:49 |
| Bally Bet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -5.74%E -3.36%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -3.06%E -1.42%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 20:50 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -5.74%E -3.36%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -3.06%E -1.42%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 20:50 |
| betPARX | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -5.74%E -3.36%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -3.06%E -1.42%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 20:50 |
| TAB | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.54%E -2.02%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -3.51%E -1.63%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-04 20:08 |
| ReBet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.09%E -2.35%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.51%E -1.63%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-04 19:55 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.09%E -2.35%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.51%E -1.63%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-04 19:49 |
| theScore Bet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.09%E -2.35%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.51%E -1.63%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-04 19:55 |
| Bovada | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.19%E -3.02%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.51%E -1.63%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-04 22:24 |
| 888sport | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.74%E -3.36%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.51%E -1.63%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 21:19 |
| Fliff | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.74%E -3.36%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.51%E -1.63%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 21:49 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.74%E -3.36%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.51%E -1.63%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 21:20 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.74%E -3.36%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.51%E -1.63%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 21:20 |
| TABtouch | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.29%E -3.70%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.51%E -1.63%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 20:49 |
| Paddy Power | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.95%E -4.76%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -3.51%E -1.63%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-04 22:40 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -3.54%E -2.02%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -3.96%E -1.85%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-04 21:04 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -3.54%E -2.02%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -3.96%E -1.85%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-04 19:54 |
| Bet Right | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -5.19%E -3.02%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -3.96%E -1.85%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 21:20 |
| SportsBet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.74%E -3.36%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -3.96%E -1.85%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 22:39 |
| Coolbet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.64%E -2.68%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.86%E -2.29%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 21:10 |
| Betsson | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.19%E -3.02%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.86%E -2.29%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 20:04 |
| NordicBet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.19%E -3.02%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.86%E -2.29%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 20:04 |
| PlayUp | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.19%E -3.02%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.86%E -2.29%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 20:04 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.19%E -3.02%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.86%E -2.29%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 19:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -7.39%E -4.40%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -4.86%E -2.29%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-04 20:49 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -7.39%E -4.40%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -4.86%E -2.29%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-04 20:49 |
| Fanatics | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.43%E -1.37%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.76%E -2.74%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-04 20:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.54%E -2.02%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.76%E -2.74%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 20:00 |
| Coral | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.54%E -2.02%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.76%E -2.74%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 20:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.54%E -2.02%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.76%E -2.74%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 19:49 |
| BetMGM | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.09%E -2.35%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.76%E -2.74%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 20:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.64%E -2.68%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.76%E -2.74%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 21:09 |
| William Hill | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.64%E -2.68%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.76%E -2.74%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 21:25 |
| BoyleSports | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.64%E -2.68%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.76%E -2.74%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 20:35 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.19%E -3.02%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.76%E -2.74%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 22:25 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.19%E -3.02%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.76%E -2.74%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 20:35 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.19%E -3.02%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.76%E -2.74%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 21:15 |
| Betway | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.74%E -3.36%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.76%E -2.74%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-04 22:40 |
| LeoVegas | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.29%E -3.70%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.76%E -2.74%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-04 22:40 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.29%E -3.70%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.76%E -2.74%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-04 21:04 |
| Grosvenor | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.76%EV -9.05%E -5.48%K -13.92%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.24%EV -6.65%E -3.20%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-04 20:50 |
| Neds | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -2.43%E -1.37%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -8.00%E -3.90%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 20:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -2.43%E -1.37%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -8.00%E -3.90%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 20:00 |
| Bet Victor | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.29%E -3.70%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.00%E -3.90%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-04 22:33 |
| betano_uk | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.29%E -3.70%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.00%E -3.90%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-04 22:34 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.29%E -3.70%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.00%E -3.90%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-04 21:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -6.84%E -4.05%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -8.00%E -3.90%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-04 22:13 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (10)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.56% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 44.44% | 0.0% | 2026-08-04 22:39 |
| Polymarket | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 0.9% | 2026-08-04 22:40 |
| ProphetX | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.61% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 44.39% | 1.0% | 2026-08-04 22:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.86% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.14% | 1.1% | 2026-08-04 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.86% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.14% | 1.1% | 2026-08-04 22:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.86% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.14% | 1.1% | 2026-08-04 22:40 |
| Matchbook | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.64% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.36% | 1.5% | 2026-08-04 22:40 |
| Novig | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.64% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.36% | 1.5% | 2026-08-04 22:40 |
| Kalshi | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08% | 2.2% | 2026-08-04 21:50 |
| Smarkets | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44% | 2.3% | 2026-08-04 22:35 |