StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Cleveland Guardians v New York Mets

Matchstart: 2026-08-04 22:41 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

64 spelbolag (21 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Cleveland Guardians (Hemma)

Prognos 55.12%1.81rättvist odds
EV -1.88%
Fördel -1.06%
Kelly -2.41%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.78

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
53.66%55.15%55.16%56.39%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.651.731.721.7860.61%57.84%58.14%56.18%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

New York Mets (Borta)

Prognos 44.88%2.23rättvist odds
EV +0.975%
Fördel +0.433%
Kelly +0.780%
Tillväxt +0.008%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.25

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
43.61%44.85%44.84%46.34%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.052.142.152.2548.78%46.83%46.62%44.44%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Cleveland Guardians (Hemma): 55.12%; New York Mets (Borta): 44.88%. För New York Mets (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 2.23. 1 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 2.25, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +0.975%.

Spelbolagsodds (64 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼MarginalUppdaterat
Caesars1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -4.09%E -2.35%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV +0.975%E +0.433%K +0.780%G +0.008%1.9%2026-08-04 21:21
DraftKings1.78I 56.18%NM 55.28%EV -1.88%E -1.06%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.72%EV -1.27%E -0.577%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.6%2026-08-04 21:00
FanDuel1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -2.43%E -1.37%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -1.27%E -0.577%K -1.06%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-04 22:40
Hard Rock Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -2.43%E -1.37%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -1.27%E -0.577%K -1.06%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-04 20:34
BetRivers1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -4.09%E -2.35%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -1.27%E -0.577%K -1.06%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-04 20:50
Svenska Spel1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -4.09%E -2.35%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -1.27%E -0.577%K -1.06%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-04 20:49
GTbets1.78I 56.18%NM 55.16%EV -1.88%E -1.06%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.84%EV -1.72%E -0.784%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.8%2026-08-04 20:00
Pinnacle1.78I 56.18%NM 55.16%EV -1.88%E -1.06%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.84%EV -1.72%E -0.784%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.8%2026-08-04 22:25
1xBet1.77I 56.50%NM 55.30%EV -2.43%E -1.37%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.70%EV -1.72%E -0.784%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-04 19:53
BetUS1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -2.43%E -1.37%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -2.17%E -0.994%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-04 19:54
BetAnything1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -3.54%E -2.02%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -2.17%E -0.994%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-04 22:05
LowVig.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -1.88%E -1.06%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -2.62%E -1.21%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-04 19:59
BetOnline.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -1.88%E -1.06%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -2.62%E -1.21%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-04 20:00
Unibet (NL)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -5.19%E -3.02%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -2.62%E -1.21%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-04 20:50
Unibet (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -5.19%E -3.02%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -2.62%E -1.21%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-04 20:50
Casumo1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -5.74%E -3.36%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -3.06%E -1.42%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 20:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -5.74%E -3.36%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -3.06%E -1.42%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 20:50
Unibet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -5.74%E -3.36%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -3.06%E -1.42%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 20:49
Bally Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -5.74%E -3.36%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -3.06%E -1.42%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 20:50
ATG (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -5.74%E -3.36%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -3.06%E -1.42%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 20:50
betPARX1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -5.74%E -3.36%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -3.06%E -1.42%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 20:50
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.54%E -2.02%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -3.51%E -1.63%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-04 20:08
ReBet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.09%E -2.35%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.51%E -1.63%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-04 19:55
PointsBet (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.09%E -2.35%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.51%E -1.63%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-04 19:49
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.09%E -2.35%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.51%E -1.63%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-04 19:55
Bovada1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.19%E -3.02%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.51%E -1.63%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 22:24
888sport1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.74%E -3.36%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.51%E -1.63%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 21:19
Fliff1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.74%E -3.36%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.51%E -1.63%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 21:49
Mr Green (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.74%E -3.36%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.51%E -1.63%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 21:20
888sport (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.74%E -3.36%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.51%E -1.63%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 21:20
TABtouch1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.29%E -3.70%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.51%E -1.63%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 20:49
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.95%E -4.76%K -11.86%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -3.51%E -1.63%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-04 22:40
Unibet (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -3.54%E -2.02%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -3.96%E -1.85%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-04 21:04
MyBookie.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -3.54%E -2.02%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -3.96%E -1.85%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-04 19:54
Bet Right1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -5.19%E -3.02%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -3.96%E -1.85%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 21:20
SportsBet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.74%E -3.36%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -3.96%E -1.85%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 22:39
Coolbet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.64%E -2.68%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.86%E -2.29%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 21:10
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.19%E -3.02%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.86%E -2.29%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 20:04
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.19%E -3.02%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.86%E -2.29%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 20:04
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.19%E -3.02%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.86%E -2.29%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 20:04
Marathon Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.19%E -3.02%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.86%E -2.29%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 19:50
LiveScore Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -7.39%E -4.40%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -4.86%E -2.29%K -4.34%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-04 20:49
Virgin Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -7.39%E -4.40%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -4.86%E -2.29%K -4.34%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-04 20:49
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.43%E -1.37%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.76%E -2.74%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-04 20:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.54%E -2.02%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.76%E -2.74%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 20:00
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.54%E -2.02%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.76%E -2.74%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 20:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.54%E -2.02%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.76%E -2.74%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 19:49
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.09%E -2.35%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.76%E -2.74%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 20:00
Betr (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.64%E -2.68%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.76%E -2.74%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 21:09
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.64%E -2.68%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.76%E -2.74%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 21:25
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.64%E -2.68%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.76%E -2.74%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 20:35
Unibet (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.19%E -3.02%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.76%E -2.74%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 22:25
Winamax (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.19%E -3.02%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.76%E -2.74%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 20:35
Dabble (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.19%E -3.02%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.76%E -2.74%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 21:15
Betway1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.74%E -3.36%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.76%E -2.74%K -5.23%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 22:40
LeoVegas1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.29%E -3.70%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.76%E -2.74%K -5.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-04 22:40
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.29%E -3.70%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.76%E -2.74%K -5.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-04 21:04
Grosvenor1.65I 60.61%NM 55.76%EV -9.05%E -5.48%K -13.92%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.24%EV -6.65%E -3.20%K -6.16%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-04 20:50
Neds1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -2.43%E -1.37%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -8.00%E -3.90%K -7.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 20:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -2.43%E -1.37%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -8.00%E -3.90%K -7.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 20:00
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.29%E -3.70%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.00%E -3.90%K -7.62%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-04 22:33
betano_uk1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.29%E -3.70%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.00%E -3.90%K -7.62%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-04 22:34
Winamax (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.29%E -3.70%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.00%E -3.90%K -7.62%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-04 21:00
Betclic (FR)1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -6.84%E -4.05%K -9.92%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -8.00%E -3.90%K -7.62%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-04 22:13
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (10)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
BetOpenly1.80I 55.56%NM 55.56%2.25I 44.44%NM 44.44%0.0%2026-08-04 22:39
Polymarket1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-08-04 22:40
ProphetX1.78I 56.18%NM 55.61%2.23I 44.84%NM 44.39%1.0%2026-08-04 22:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.77I 56.50%NM 55.86%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.14%1.1%2026-08-04 22:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.77I 56.50%NM 55.86%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.14%1.1%2026-08-04 22:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 55.86%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.14%1.1%2026-08-04 22:40
Matchbook1.77I 56.50%NM 55.64%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.36%1.5%2026-08-04 22:40
Novig1.77I 56.50%NM 55.64%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.36%1.5%2026-08-04 22:40
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%2.2%2026-08-04 21:50
Smarkets1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%2.3%2026-08-04 22:35