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Cleveland Guardians v New York Mets
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Cleveland Guardians (Local)
Predicción 55.12%1.81momio equitativo
EV -1.88%
Ventaja -1.06%
Kelly -2.41%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.78
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.66%55.15%55.16%56.39%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.651.731.721.7860.61%57.84%58.14%56.18%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
New York Mets (Visitante)
Predicción 44.88%2.23momio equitativo
EV +0.975%
Ventaja +0.433%
Kelly +0.780%
Crecimiento +0.008%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.61%44.85%44.84%46.34%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.052.142.152.2548.78%46.83%46.62%44.44%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Cleveland Guardians (Local): 55.12%; New York Mets (Visitante): 44.88%. Para New York Mets (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.23. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.25, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.975%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -4.09%E -2.35%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV +0.975%E +0.433%K +0.780%G +0.008% | 1.9% | 2026-08-04 21:21 |
| DraftKings | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.28%EV -1.88%E -1.06%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.72%EV -1.27%E -0.577%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.6% | 2026-08-04 21:00 |
| FanDuel | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -2.43%E -1.37%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -1.27%E -0.577%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-04 22:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -2.43%E -1.37%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -1.27%E -0.577%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-04 20:34 |
| BetRivers | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -4.09%E -2.35%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -1.27%E -0.577%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-04 20:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -4.09%E -2.35%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -1.27%E -0.577%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-04 20:49 |
| GTbets | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.16%EV -1.88%E -1.06%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 44.84%EV -1.72%E -0.784%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-08-04 20:00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.16%EV -1.88%E -1.06%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 44.84%EV -1.72%E -0.784%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-08-04 22:25 |
| 1xBet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.30%EV -2.43%E -1.37%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 44.70%EV -1.72%E -0.784%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-08-04 19:53 |
| BetUS | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -2.43%E -1.37%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -2.17%E -0.994%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-04 19:54 |
| BetAnything | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -3.54%E -2.02%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -2.17%E -0.994%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-04 22:05 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -1.88%E -1.06%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -2.62%E -1.21%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-04 19:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -1.88%E -1.06%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -2.62%E -1.21%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-04 20:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -5.19%E -3.02%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -2.62%E -1.21%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-04 20:50 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -5.19%E -3.02%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -2.62%E -1.21%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-04 20:50 |
| Casumo | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -5.74%E -3.36%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -3.06%E -1.42%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 20:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -5.74%E -3.36%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -3.06%E -1.42%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 20:50 |
| Unibet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -5.74%E -3.36%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -3.06%E -1.42%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 20:49 |
| Bally Bet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -5.74%E -3.36%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -3.06%E -1.42%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 20:50 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -5.74%E -3.36%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -3.06%E -1.42%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 20:50 |
| betPARX | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -5.74%E -3.36%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -3.06%E -1.42%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 20:50 |
| TAB | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.54%E -2.02%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -3.51%E -1.63%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-04 20:08 |
| ReBet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.09%E -2.35%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.51%E -1.63%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-04 19:55 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.09%E -2.35%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.51%E -1.63%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-04 19:49 |
| theScore Bet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.09%E -2.35%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.51%E -1.63%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-04 19:55 |
| Bovada | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.19%E -3.02%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.51%E -1.63%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-04 22:24 |
| 888sport | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.74%E -3.36%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.51%E -1.63%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 21:19 |
| Fliff | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.74%E -3.36%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.51%E -1.63%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 21:49 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.74%E -3.36%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.51%E -1.63%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 21:20 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.74%E -3.36%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.51%E -1.63%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 21:20 |
| TABtouch | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.29%E -3.70%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.51%E -1.63%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 20:49 |
| Paddy Power | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.95%E -4.76%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -3.51%E -1.63%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-04 22:40 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -3.54%E -2.02%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -3.96%E -1.85%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-04 21:04 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -3.54%E -2.02%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -3.96%E -1.85%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-04 19:54 |
| Bet Right | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -5.19%E -3.02%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -3.96%E -1.85%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 21:20 |
| SportsBet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.74%E -3.36%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -3.96%E -1.85%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 22:39 |
| Coolbet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.64%E -2.68%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.86%E -2.29%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 21:10 |
| Betsson | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.19%E -3.02%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.86%E -2.29%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 20:04 |
| NordicBet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.19%E -3.02%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.86%E -2.29%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 20:04 |
| PlayUp | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.19%E -3.02%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.86%E -2.29%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 20:04 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.19%E -3.02%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.86%E -2.29%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 19:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -7.39%E -4.40%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -4.86%E -2.29%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-04 20:49 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -7.39%E -4.40%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -4.86%E -2.29%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-04 20:49 |
| Fanatics | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.43%E -1.37%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.76%E -2.74%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-04 20:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.54%E -2.02%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.76%E -2.74%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 20:00 |
| Coral | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.54%E -2.02%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.76%E -2.74%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 20:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.54%E -2.02%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.76%E -2.74%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 19:49 |
| BetMGM | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.09%E -2.35%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.76%E -2.74%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 20:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.64%E -2.68%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.76%E -2.74%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 21:09 |
| William Hill | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.64%E -2.68%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.76%E -2.74%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 21:25 |
| BoyleSports | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.64%E -2.68%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.76%E -2.74%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 20:35 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.19%E -3.02%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.76%E -2.74%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 22:25 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.19%E -3.02%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.76%E -2.74%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 20:35 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.19%E -3.02%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.76%E -2.74%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 21:15 |
| Betway | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.74%E -3.36%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.76%E -2.74%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-04 22:40 |
| LeoVegas | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.29%E -3.70%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.76%E -2.74%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-04 22:40 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.29%E -3.70%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.76%E -2.74%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-04 21:04 |
| Grosvenor | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.76%EV -9.05%E -5.48%K -13.92%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.24%EV -6.65%E -3.20%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-04 20:50 |
| Neds | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -2.43%E -1.37%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -8.00%E -3.90%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 20:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -2.43%E -1.37%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -8.00%E -3.90%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 20:00 |
| Bet Victor | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.29%E -3.70%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.00%E -3.90%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-04 22:33 |
| betano_uk | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.29%E -3.70%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.00%E -3.90%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-04 22:34 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.29%E -3.70%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.00%E -3.90%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-04 21:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -6.84%E -4.05%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -8.00%E -3.90%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-04 22:13 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (10)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.56% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 44.44% | 0.0% | 2026-08-04 22:39 |
| Polymarket | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 0.9% | 2026-08-04 22:40 |
| ProphetX | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.61% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 44.39% | 1.0% | 2026-08-04 22:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.86% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.14% | 1.1% | 2026-08-04 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.86% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.14% | 1.1% | 2026-08-04 22:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.86% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.14% | 1.1% | 2026-08-04 22:40 |
| Matchbook | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.64% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.36% | 1.5% | 2026-08-04 22:40 |
| Novig | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.64% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.36% | 1.5% | 2026-08-04 22:40 |
| Kalshi | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08% | 2.2% | 2026-08-04 21:50 |
| Smarkets | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44% | 2.3% | 2026-08-04 22:35 |