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Cleveland Guardians v Houston Astros
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Cleveland Guardians (Local)
Prediction 57.97%1.73fair odd
EV -2.03%
Edge -1.20%
Kelly -2.94%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.69
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.58%57.89%58.10%59.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.581.641.651.6963.29%60.85%60.61%59.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Houston Astros (Visit)
Prediction 42.03%2.38fair odd
EV +0.032%
Edge +0.013%
Kelly +0.023%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.38
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.87%42.11%41.90%43.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.262.252.3847.62%44.34%44.44%42.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cleveland Guardians (Local): 57.97%; Houston Astros (Visit): 42.03%. For Houston Astros (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.379. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.380, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.032%.
Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%EV -4.35%E -2.64%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%EV +0.032%E +0.013%K +0.023%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-04-21 22:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.66%EV -3.19%E -1.91%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 41.34%EV -0.388%E -0.164%K -0.284%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-04-21 22:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.31%EV -2.61%E -1.55%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.69%EV -1.23%E -0.523%K -0.910%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-04-21 22:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%EV -3.19%E -1.91%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%EV -1.23%E -0.523%K -0.910%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-04-21 22:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%EV -3.19%E -1.91%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%EV -1.23%E -0.523%K -0.910%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-04-21 22:10 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%EV -3.19%E -1.91%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%EV -1.23%E -0.523%K -0.910%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-04-21 20:14 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.35%EV -3.19%E -1.91%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.65%EV -1.65%E -0.705%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-04-21 22:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -2.03%E -1.20%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -2.07%E -0.888%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-04-21 19:25 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -4.93%E -3.01%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -2.49%E -1.07%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-21 21:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.73%EV -5.51%E -3.38%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.27%EV -2.49%E -1.07%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-21 21:56 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.35%E -2.64%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.33%E -1.45%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-21 19:20 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.35%E -2.64%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.33%E -1.45%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-21 19:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.35%E -2.64%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.33%E -1.45%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-21 20:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.35%E -2.64%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.33%E -1.45%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-21 20:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.35%E -2.64%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.33%E -1.45%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-21 20:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.35%E -2.64%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.33%E -1.45%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-21 20:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.35%E -2.64%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.33%E -1.45%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-21 19:19 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.09%E -3.76%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.33%E -1.45%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-21 22:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.25%E -4.53%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.33%E -1.45%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-21 19:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -7.83%E -4.92%K -13.27%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -3.33%E -1.45%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-21 22:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -4.93%E -3.01%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -4.59%E -2.02%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-21 19:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.66%EV -7.25%E -4.53%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.34%EV -4.59%E -2.02%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-21 22:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -4.93%E -3.01%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -5.01%E -2.22%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-21 19:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.03%E -1.20%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -5.43%E -2.41%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-21 21:45 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -2.61%E -1.55%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -5.43%E -2.41%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-21 19:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -3.77%E -2.27%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -5.43%E -2.41%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-21 22:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.35%E -2.64%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.43%E -2.41%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-21 19:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.35%E -2.64%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.43%E -2.41%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-21 19:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.35%E -2.64%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.43%E -2.41%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-21 19:19 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.93%E -3.01%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.43%E -2.41%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-21 19:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.93%E -3.01%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.43%E -2.41%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-21 20:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.93%E -3.01%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.43%E -2.41%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-21 20:30 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.93%E -3.01%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.43%E -2.41%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-21 22:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.51%E -3.38%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.43%E -2.41%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-21 21:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.09%E -3.76%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.43%E -2.41%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-21 19:19 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.67%E -4.14%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.43%E -2.41%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-21 22:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.25%E -4.53%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.43%E -2.41%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-21 19:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.25%E -4.53%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.43%E -2.41%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-21 22:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -3.77%E -2.27%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -6.27%E -2.81%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-21 22:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.35%E -2.64%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.27%E -2.81%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-21 22:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.35%E -2.64%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.27%E -2.81%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-21 22:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.35%E -2.64%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.27%E -2.81%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-21 22:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.35%E -2.64%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.27%E -2.81%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-21 22:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.35%E -2.64%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.27%E -2.81%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-21 22:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.35%E -2.64%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.27%E -2.81%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-21 22:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -3.19%E -1.91%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -6.69%E -3.01%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-21 22:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -2.61%E -1.55%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -7.53%E -3.42%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-21 22:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.19%E -1.91%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.53%E -3.42%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-21 22:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.19%E -1.91%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.53%E -3.42%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-21 22:09 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.19%E -1.91%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.53%E -3.42%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-21 02:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -3.77%E -2.27%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -7.53%E -3.42%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-21 22:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -4.93%E -3.01%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -7.53%E -3.42%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-21 22:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.63%EV -6.67%E -4.14%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 42.37%EV -7.95%E -3.63%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-21 22:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.63%EV -6.67%E -4.14%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 42.37%EV -7.95%E -3.63%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-21 22:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.22%EV -5.51%E -3.38%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.78%EV -8.37%E -3.84%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-21 22:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.26%EV -6.09%E -3.76%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.74%EV -8.79%E -4.05%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-21 22:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.29%EV -6.67%E -4.14%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.71%EV -9.21%E -4.27%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-21 22:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -4.35%E -2.64%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -9.64%E -4.48%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-21 21:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -7.25%E -4.53%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -9.64%E -4.48%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-21 22:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.07%EV -8.41%E -5.32%K -14.50%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -11.74%E -5.59%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-21 22:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.74% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.26% | 0.1% | 2026-04-21 22:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12% | 0.5% | 2026-04-21 22:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78% | 0.5% | 2026-04-21 22:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32% | 0.8% | 2026-04-21 22:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67% | 0.8% | 2026-04-21 22:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.2% | 2026-04-21 21:25 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.2% | 2026-04-21 21:25 |
| Novig◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38% | 1.5% | 2026-04-21 22:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.42% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.58% | 1.9% | 2026-04-21 22:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.06% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.94% | 1.9% | 2026-04-21 22:10 |