L’École des cotes

Cleveland Guardians v Houston Astros

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-21 22:11 UTC

Score final : Cleveland Guardians 8–5 Houston Astros

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

60 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Cleveland Guardians (Local)

Prévision 57.97%1.73cote équitable
EV -2.03%
Avantage -1.20%
Kelly -2.94%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.69

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
56.58%57.89%58.10%59.13%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.581.641.651.6963.29%60.85%60.61%59.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Houston Astros (Visiteur)

Prévision 42.03%2.38cote équitable
EV +0.032%
Avantage +0.013%
Kelly +0.023%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.38

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.87%42.11%41.90%43.42%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.102.262.252.3847.62%44.34%44.44%42.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (60 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
BetAnything1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%EV -4.35%E -2.64%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%EV +0.032%E +0.013%K +0.023%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-21 22:10
GTbets1.67I 59.88%NM 58.66%EV -3.19%E -1.91%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 41.34%EV -0.388%E -0.164%K -0.284%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-21 22:09
Pinnacle1.68I 59.52%NM 58.31%EV -2.61%E -1.55%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.69%EV -1.23%E -0.523%K -0.910%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-21 22:00
LowVig.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%EV -3.19%E -1.91%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%EV -1.23%E -0.523%K -0.910%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-21 22:10
BetOnline.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%EV -3.19%E -1.91%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%EV -1.23%E -0.523%K -0.910%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-21 22:10
Everygame1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%EV -3.19%E -1.91%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%EV -1.23%E -0.523%K -0.910%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-21 20:14
BetUS1.67I 59.88%NM 58.35%EV -3.19%E -1.91%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.65%EV -1.65%E -0.705%K -1.23%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-21 22:10
1xBet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -2.03%E -1.20%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -2.07%E -0.888%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-21 19:25
MyBookie.ag1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -4.93%E -3.01%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -2.49%E -1.07%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-21 21:39
Bovada1.63I 61.35%NM 58.73%EV -5.51%E -3.38%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.27%EV -2.49%E -1.07%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-21 21:56
FanDuel1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.35%E -2.64%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.33%E -1.45%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-21 19:20
ReBet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.35%E -2.64%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.33%E -1.45%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-21 19:24
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.35%E -2.64%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.33%E -1.45%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-21 20:30
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.35%E -2.64%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.33%E -1.45%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-21 20:29
BetMGM1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.35%E -2.64%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.33%E -1.45%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-21 20:30
Caesars1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.35%E -2.64%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.33%E -1.45%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-21 20:30
Hard Rock Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.35%E -2.64%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.33%E -1.45%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-21 19:19
Fliff1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.09%E -3.76%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.33%E -1.45%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-21 22:10
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.25%E -4.53%K -12.08%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.33%E -1.45%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-21 19:20
PointsBet (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -7.83%E -4.92%K -13.27%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -3.33%E -1.45%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-21 22:10
Coolbet1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -4.93%E -3.01%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -4.59%E -2.02%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-21 19:40
DraftKings1.60I 62.50%NM 58.66%EV -7.25%E -4.53%K -12.08%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.34%EV -4.59%E -2.02%K -3.62%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-21 22:10
Marathon Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -4.93%E -3.01%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -5.01%E -2.22%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-21 19:20
theScore Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.03%E -1.20%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -5.43%E -2.41%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-21 21:45
TAB1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -2.61%E -1.55%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -5.43%E -2.41%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-21 19:20
betPARX1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -3.77%E -2.27%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -5.43%E -2.41%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-21 22:05
888sport1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.35%E -2.64%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.43%E -2.41%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-21 19:25
888sport (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.35%E -2.64%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.43%E -2.41%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-21 19:20
Mr Green (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.35%E -2.64%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.43%E -2.41%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-21 19:19
Betr (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.93%E -3.01%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.43%E -2.41%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 19:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.93%E -3.01%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.43%E -2.41%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 20:30
Neds1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.93%E -3.01%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.43%E -2.41%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 20:30
Dabble (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.93%E -3.01%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.43%E -2.41%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 22:05
Unibet (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.51%E -3.38%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.43%E -2.41%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-21 21:59
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.09%E -3.76%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.43%E -2.41%K -4.35%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-21 19:19
Fanatics1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.67%E -4.14%K -10.93%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.43%E -2.41%K -4.35%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-21 22:10
Paddy Power1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.25%E -4.53%K -12.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.43%E -2.41%K -4.35%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-21 19:45
SportsBet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.25%E -4.53%K -12.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.43%E -2.41%K -4.35%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-21 22:10
Bally Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -3.77%E -2.27%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -6.27%E -2.81%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-21 22:10
Casumo1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.35%E -2.64%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.27%E -2.81%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 22:10
Unibet (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.35%E -2.64%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.27%E -2.81%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 22:10
Unibet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.35%E -2.64%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.27%E -2.81%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 22:10
Unibet (NL)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.35%E -2.64%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.27%E -2.81%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 22:10
Svenska Spel1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.35%E -2.64%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.27%E -2.81%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 22:10
ATG (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.35%E -2.64%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.27%E -2.81%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 22:10
Unibet (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -3.19%E -1.91%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -6.69%E -3.01%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-21 22:10
PlayUp1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -2.61%E -1.55%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -7.53%E -3.42%K -6.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-21 22:00
Bet Right1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.19%E -1.91%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.53%E -3.42%K -6.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-21 22:05
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.19%E -1.91%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.53%E -3.42%K -6.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-21 22:09
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.19%E -1.91%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.53%E -3.42%K -6.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-21 02:25
Winamax (DE)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -3.77%E -2.27%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -7.53%E -3.42%K -6.28%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-21 22:10
TABtouch1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -4.93%E -3.01%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -7.53%E -3.42%K -6.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-21 22:10
NordicBet1.61I 62.11%NM 57.63%EV -6.67%E -4.14%K -10.93%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 42.37%EV -7.95%E -3.63%K -6.68%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-21 22:10
Betsson1.61I 62.11%NM 57.63%EV -6.67%E -4.14%K -10.93%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 42.37%EV -7.95%E -3.63%K -6.68%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-21 22:10
Grosvenor1.63I 61.35%NM 57.22%EV -5.51%E -3.38%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.78%EV -8.37%E -3.84%K -7.10%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-21 22:10
BetRivers1.62I 61.73%NM 57.26%EV -6.09%E -3.76%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.74%EV -8.79%E -4.05%K -7.52%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-21 22:10
LeoVegas1.61I 62.11%NM 57.29%EV -6.67%E -4.14%K -10.93%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.71%EV -9.21%E -4.27%K -7.94%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-21 22:10
Bet Victor1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -4.35%E -2.64%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -9.64%E -4.48%K -8.38%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-21 21:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -7.25%E -4.53%K -12.08%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -9.64%E -4.48%K -8.38%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-21 22:10
Winamax (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 57.07%EV -8.41%E -5.32%K -14.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -11.74%E -5.59%K -10.67%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-21 22:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.70I 58.82%NM 58.74%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.26%0.1%2026-04-21 22:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%0.5%2026-04-21 22:10
ProphetX1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%0.5%2026-04-21 22:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32%0.8%2026-04-21 22:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67%0.8%2026-04-21 22:10
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-04-21 21:25
Polymarket1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-04-21 21:25
Novig1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38%1.5%2026-04-21 22:10
Matchbook1.68I 59.52%NM 58.42%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.58%1.9%2026-04-21 22:10
Smarkets1.69I 59.17%NM 58.06%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.94%1.9%2026-04-21 22:10