La escuela de los momios

Cleveland Guardians v Houston Astros

Inicio: 2026-04-21 22:11 UTC

Final: Cleveland Guardians 8–5 Houston Astros

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

60 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Cleveland Guardians (Local)

Predicción 57.97%1.73momio equitativo
EV -2.03%
Ventaja -1.20%
Kelly -2.94%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.69

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.58%57.89%58.10%59.13%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.581.641.651.6963.29%60.85%60.61%59.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Houston Astros (Visitante)

Predicción 42.03%2.38momio equitativo
EV +0.032%
Ventaja +0.013%
Kelly +0.023%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.38

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.87%42.11%41.90%43.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.102.262.252.3847.62%44.34%44.44%42.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
BetAnything1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%EV -4.35%E -2.64%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%EV +0.032%E +0.013%K +0.023%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-21 22:10
GTbets1.67I 59.88%NM 58.66%EV -3.19%E -1.91%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 41.34%EV -0.388%E -0.164%K -0.284%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-21 22:09
Pinnacle1.68I 59.52%NM 58.31%EV -2.61%E -1.55%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.69%EV -1.23%E -0.523%K -0.910%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-21 22:00
LowVig.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%EV -3.19%E -1.91%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%EV -1.23%E -0.523%K -0.910%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-21 22:10
BetOnline.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%EV -3.19%E -1.91%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%EV -1.23%E -0.523%K -0.910%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-21 22:10
Everygame1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%EV -3.19%E -1.91%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%EV -1.23%E -0.523%K -0.910%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-21 20:14
BetUS1.67I 59.88%NM 58.35%EV -3.19%E -1.91%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.65%EV -1.65%E -0.705%K -1.23%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-21 22:10
1xBet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -2.03%E -1.20%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -2.07%E -0.888%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-21 19:25
MyBookie.ag1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -4.93%E -3.01%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -2.49%E -1.07%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-21 21:39
Bovada1.63I 61.35%NM 58.73%EV -5.51%E -3.38%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.27%EV -2.49%E -1.07%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-21 21:56
FanDuel1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.35%E -2.64%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.33%E -1.45%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-21 19:20
ReBet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.35%E -2.64%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.33%E -1.45%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-21 19:24
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.35%E -2.64%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.33%E -1.45%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-21 20:30
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.35%E -2.64%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.33%E -1.45%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-21 20:29
BetMGM1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.35%E -2.64%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.33%E -1.45%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-21 20:30
Caesars1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.35%E -2.64%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.33%E -1.45%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-21 20:30
Hard Rock Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.35%E -2.64%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.33%E -1.45%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-21 19:19
Fliff1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.09%E -3.76%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.33%E -1.45%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-21 22:10
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.25%E -4.53%K -12.08%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.33%E -1.45%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-21 19:20
PointsBet (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -7.83%E -4.92%K -13.27%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -3.33%E -1.45%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-21 22:10
Coolbet1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -4.93%E -3.01%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -4.59%E -2.02%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-21 19:40
DraftKings1.60I 62.50%NM 58.66%EV -7.25%E -4.53%K -12.08%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.34%EV -4.59%E -2.02%K -3.62%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-21 22:10
Marathon Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -4.93%E -3.01%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -5.01%E -2.22%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-21 19:20
theScore Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.03%E -1.20%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -5.43%E -2.41%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-21 21:45
TAB1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -2.61%E -1.55%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -5.43%E -2.41%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-21 19:20
betPARX1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -3.77%E -2.27%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -5.43%E -2.41%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-21 22:05
888sport1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.35%E -2.64%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.43%E -2.41%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-21 19:25
888sport (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.35%E -2.64%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.43%E -2.41%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-21 19:20
Mr Green (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.35%E -2.64%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.43%E -2.41%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-21 19:19
Betr (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.93%E -3.01%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.43%E -2.41%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 19:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.93%E -3.01%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.43%E -2.41%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 20:30
Neds1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.93%E -3.01%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.43%E -2.41%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 20:30
Dabble (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.93%E -3.01%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.43%E -2.41%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 22:05
Unibet (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.51%E -3.38%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.43%E -2.41%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-21 21:59
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.09%E -3.76%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.43%E -2.41%K -4.35%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-21 19:19
Fanatics1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.67%E -4.14%K -10.93%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.43%E -2.41%K -4.35%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-21 22:10
Paddy Power1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.25%E -4.53%K -12.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.43%E -2.41%K -4.35%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-21 19:45
SportsBet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.25%E -4.53%K -12.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.43%E -2.41%K -4.35%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-21 22:10
Bally Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -3.77%E -2.27%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -6.27%E -2.81%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-21 22:10
Casumo1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.35%E -2.64%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.27%E -2.81%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 22:10
Unibet (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.35%E -2.64%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.27%E -2.81%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 22:10
Unibet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.35%E -2.64%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.27%E -2.81%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 22:10
Unibet (NL)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.35%E -2.64%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.27%E -2.81%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 22:10
Svenska Spel1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.35%E -2.64%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.27%E -2.81%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 22:10
ATG (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.35%E -2.64%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.27%E -2.81%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 22:10
Unibet (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -3.19%E -1.91%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -6.69%E -3.01%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-21 22:10
PlayUp1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -2.61%E -1.55%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -7.53%E -3.42%K -6.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-21 22:00
Bet Right1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.19%E -1.91%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.53%E -3.42%K -6.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-21 22:05
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.19%E -1.91%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.53%E -3.42%K -6.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-21 22:09
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.19%E -1.91%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.53%E -3.42%K -6.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-21 02:25
Winamax (DE)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -3.77%E -2.27%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -7.53%E -3.42%K -6.28%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-21 22:10
TABtouch1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -4.93%E -3.01%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -7.53%E -3.42%K -6.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-21 22:10
NordicBet1.61I 62.11%NM 57.63%EV -6.67%E -4.14%K -10.93%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 42.37%EV -7.95%E -3.63%K -6.68%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-21 22:10
Betsson1.61I 62.11%NM 57.63%EV -6.67%E -4.14%K -10.93%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 42.37%EV -7.95%E -3.63%K -6.68%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-21 22:10
Grosvenor1.63I 61.35%NM 57.22%EV -5.51%E -3.38%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.78%EV -8.37%E -3.84%K -7.10%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-21 22:10
BetRivers1.62I 61.73%NM 57.26%EV -6.09%E -3.76%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.74%EV -8.79%E -4.05%K -7.52%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-21 22:10
LeoVegas1.61I 62.11%NM 57.29%EV -6.67%E -4.14%K -10.93%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.71%EV -9.21%E -4.27%K -7.94%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-21 22:10
Bet Victor1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -4.35%E -2.64%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -9.64%E -4.48%K -8.38%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-21 21:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -7.25%E -4.53%K -12.08%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -9.64%E -4.48%K -8.38%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-21 22:10
Winamax (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 57.07%EV -8.41%E -5.32%K -14.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -11.74%E -5.59%K -10.67%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-21 22:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.70I 58.82%NM 58.74%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.26%0.1%2026-04-21 22:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%0.5%2026-04-21 22:10
ProphetX1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%0.5%2026-04-21 22:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32%0.8%2026-04-21 22:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67%0.8%2026-04-21 22:10
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-04-21 21:25
Polymarket1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-04-21 21:25
Novig1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38%1.5%2026-04-21 22:10
Matchbook1.68I 59.52%NM 58.42%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.58%1.9%2026-04-21 22:10
Smarkets1.69I 59.17%NM 58.06%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.94%1.9%2026-04-21 22:10