La scuola delle quote

Cleveland Guardians v Houston Astros

Inizio: 2026-04-21 22:11 UTC

Finale: Cleveland Guardians 8–5 Houston Astros

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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60 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Cleveland Guardians (Casa)

Previsione 57.97%1.73quota equa
EV -2.03%
Vantaggio -1.20%
Kelly -2.94%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.69

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
56.58%57.89%58.10%59.13%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.581.641.651.6963.29%60.85%60.61%59.17%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Houston Astros (Trasferta)

Previsione 42.03%2.38quota equa
EV +0.032%
Vantaggio +0.013%
Kelly +0.023%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.38

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
40.87%42.11%41.90%43.42%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.102.262.252.3847.62%44.34%44.44%42.02%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (60 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
BetAnything1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%EV -4.35%E -2.64%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%EV +0.032%E +0.013%K +0.023%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-21 22:10
GTbets1.67I 59.88%NM 58.66%EV -3.19%E -1.91%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 41.34%EV -0.388%E -0.164%K -0.284%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-21 22:09
Pinnacle1.68I 59.52%NM 58.31%EV -2.61%E -1.55%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.69%EV -1.23%E -0.523%K -0.910%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-21 22:00
LowVig.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%EV -3.19%E -1.91%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%EV -1.23%E -0.523%K -0.910%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-21 22:10
BetOnline.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%EV -3.19%E -1.91%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%EV -1.23%E -0.523%K -0.910%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-21 22:10
Everygame1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%EV -3.19%E -1.91%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%EV -1.23%E -0.523%K -0.910%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-21 20:14
BetUS1.67I 59.88%NM 58.35%EV -3.19%E -1.91%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.65%EV -1.65%E -0.705%K -1.23%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-21 22:10
1xBet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -2.03%E -1.20%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -2.07%E -0.888%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-21 19:25
MyBookie.ag1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -4.93%E -3.01%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -2.49%E -1.07%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-21 21:39
Bovada1.63I 61.35%NM 58.73%EV -5.51%E -3.38%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.27%EV -2.49%E -1.07%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-21 21:56
FanDuel1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.35%E -2.64%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.33%E -1.45%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-21 19:20
ReBet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.35%E -2.64%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.33%E -1.45%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-21 19:24
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.35%E -2.64%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.33%E -1.45%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-21 20:30
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.35%E -2.64%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.33%E -1.45%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-21 20:29
BetMGM1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.35%E -2.64%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.33%E -1.45%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-21 20:30
Caesars1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.35%E -2.64%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.33%E -1.45%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-21 20:30
Hard Rock Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.35%E -2.64%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.33%E -1.45%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-21 19:19
Fliff1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.09%E -3.76%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.33%E -1.45%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-21 22:10
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.25%E -4.53%K -12.08%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.33%E -1.45%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-21 19:20
PointsBet (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -7.83%E -4.92%K -13.27%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -3.33%E -1.45%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-21 22:10
Coolbet1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -4.93%E -3.01%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -4.59%E -2.02%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-21 19:40
DraftKings1.60I 62.50%NM 58.66%EV -7.25%E -4.53%K -12.08%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.34%EV -4.59%E -2.02%K -3.62%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-21 22:10
Marathon Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -4.93%E -3.01%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -5.01%E -2.22%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-21 19:20
theScore Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.03%E -1.20%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -5.43%E -2.41%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-21 21:45
TAB1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -2.61%E -1.55%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -5.43%E -2.41%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-21 19:20
betPARX1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -3.77%E -2.27%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -5.43%E -2.41%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-21 22:05
888sport1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.35%E -2.64%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.43%E -2.41%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-21 19:25
888sport (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.35%E -2.64%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.43%E -2.41%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-21 19:20
Mr Green (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.35%E -2.64%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.43%E -2.41%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-21 19:19
Betr (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.93%E -3.01%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.43%E -2.41%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 19:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.93%E -3.01%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.43%E -2.41%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 20:30
Neds1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.93%E -3.01%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.43%E -2.41%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 20:30
Dabble (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.93%E -3.01%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.43%E -2.41%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 22:05
Unibet (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.51%E -3.38%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.43%E -2.41%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-21 21:59
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.09%E -3.76%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.43%E -2.41%K -4.35%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-21 19:19
Fanatics1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.67%E -4.14%K -10.93%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.43%E -2.41%K -4.35%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-21 22:10
Paddy Power1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.25%E -4.53%K -12.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.43%E -2.41%K -4.35%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-21 19:45
SportsBet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.25%E -4.53%K -12.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.43%E -2.41%K -4.35%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-21 22:10
Bally Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -3.77%E -2.27%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -6.27%E -2.81%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-21 22:10
Casumo1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.35%E -2.64%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.27%E -2.81%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 22:10
Unibet (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.35%E -2.64%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.27%E -2.81%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 22:10
Unibet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.35%E -2.64%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.27%E -2.81%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 22:10
Unibet (NL)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.35%E -2.64%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.27%E -2.81%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 22:10
Svenska Spel1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.35%E -2.64%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.27%E -2.81%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 22:10
ATG (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.35%E -2.64%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.27%E -2.81%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 22:10
Unibet (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -3.19%E -1.91%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -6.69%E -3.01%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-21 22:10
PlayUp1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -2.61%E -1.55%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -7.53%E -3.42%K -6.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-21 22:00
Bet Right1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.19%E -1.91%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.53%E -3.42%K -6.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-21 22:05
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.19%E -1.91%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.53%E -3.42%K -6.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-21 22:09
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.19%E -1.91%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.53%E -3.42%K -6.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-21 02:25
Winamax (DE)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -3.77%E -2.27%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -7.53%E -3.42%K -6.28%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-21 22:10
TABtouch1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -4.93%E -3.01%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -7.53%E -3.42%K -6.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-21 22:10
NordicBet1.61I 62.11%NM 57.63%EV -6.67%E -4.14%K -10.93%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 42.37%EV -7.95%E -3.63%K -6.68%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-21 22:10
Betsson1.61I 62.11%NM 57.63%EV -6.67%E -4.14%K -10.93%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 42.37%EV -7.95%E -3.63%K -6.68%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-21 22:10
Grosvenor1.63I 61.35%NM 57.22%EV -5.51%E -3.38%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.78%EV -8.37%E -3.84%K -7.10%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-21 22:10
BetRivers1.62I 61.73%NM 57.26%EV -6.09%E -3.76%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.74%EV -8.79%E -4.05%K -7.52%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-21 22:10
LeoVegas1.61I 62.11%NM 57.29%EV -6.67%E -4.14%K -10.93%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.71%EV -9.21%E -4.27%K -7.94%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-21 22:10
Bet Victor1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -4.35%E -2.64%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -9.64%E -4.48%K -8.38%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-21 21:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -7.25%E -4.53%K -12.08%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -9.64%E -4.48%K -8.38%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-21 22:10
Winamax (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 57.07%EV -8.41%E -5.32%K -14.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -11.74%E -5.59%K -10.67%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-21 22:10
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (10)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
BetOpenly1.70I 58.82%NM 58.74%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.26%0.1%2026-04-21 22:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%0.5%2026-04-21 22:10
ProphetX1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%0.5%2026-04-21 22:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32%0.8%2026-04-21 22:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67%0.8%2026-04-21 22:10
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-04-21 21:25
Polymarket1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-04-21 21:25
Novig1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38%1.5%2026-04-21 22:10
Matchbook1.68I 59.52%NM 58.42%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.58%1.9%2026-04-21 22:10
Smarkets1.69I 59.17%NM 58.06%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.94%1.9%2026-04-21 22:10