The School of Odds

Cleveland Guardians v Chicago White Sox

Kickoff: 2026-07-05 19:35 UTC

Final: Cleveland Guardians 6–7 Chicago White Sox

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. See how the models score across every settled game →

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Head to Head

46 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Cleveland Guardians (Local)

Prediction 54.88%1.82fair odd
EV -1.22%
Edge -0.676%
Kelly -1.52%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.81%54.94%55.06%56.92%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.651.731.731.8061%58%58%56%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Chicago White Sox (Visit)

Prediction 45.12%2.22fair odd
EV +0.168%
Edge +0.076%
Kelly +0.137%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.22

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.08%45.06%44.94%46.19%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.962.132.142.2251%47%47%45%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
DraftKings1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -7.80%E -4.64%K -11.47%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV +0.168%E +0.076%K +0.137%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-05 19:30
Dabble (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -7.80%E -4.64%K -11.47%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -0.735%E -0.334%K -0.612%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-05 19:30
Svenska Spel1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -3.96%E -2.26%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -1.64%E -0.751%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-05 19:30
GTbets1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -1.77%E -0.987%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV -2.09%E -0.962%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-05 19:29
BetUS1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%EV -1.77%E -0.987%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%EV -2.54%E -1.18%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-05 19:30
BetAnything1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -2.31%E -1.30%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -2.54%E -1.18%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-05 19:30
FanDuel1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -4.51%E -2.59%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -2.54%E -1.18%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-05 19:30
Pinnacle1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -1.22%E -0.676%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -2.99%E -1.39%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-05 19:29
LowVig.ag1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -1.77%E -0.987%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -2.99%E -1.39%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-05 19:30
BetOnline.ag1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -1.77%E -0.987%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -2.99%E -1.39%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-05 19:29
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.96%E -2.26%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -2.99%E -1.39%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-05 19:19
Caesars1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.51%E -2.59%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.99%E -1.39%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-05 19:29
PointsBet (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.51%E -2.59%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.99%E -1.39%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-05 19:29
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.51%E -2.59%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.99%E -1.39%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-05 19:29
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -5.06%E -2.92%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -2.99%E -1.39%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-05 19:29
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -5.06%E -2.92%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -2.99%E -1.39%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-05 19:30
Unibet (NL)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -5.06%E -2.92%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -2.99%E -1.39%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-05 19:30
Unibet (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -5.06%E -2.92%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -2.99%E -1.39%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-05 19:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.61%E -3.26%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -2.99%E -1.39%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-05 19:29
Neds1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.61%E -3.26%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -2.99%E -1.39%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-05 19:30
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.16%E -3.60%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -2.99%E -1.39%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-05 19:29
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -8.35%E -5.00%K -12.46%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -2.99%E -1.39%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-05 19:29
Casumo1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -5.61%E -3.26%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -3.44%E -1.61%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-05 19:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -5.61%E -3.26%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -3.44%E -1.61%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-05 19:29
Unibet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -5.61%E -3.26%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -3.44%E -1.61%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-05 19:30
ATG (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -5.61%E -3.26%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -3.44%E -1.61%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-05 19:30
Bally Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -5.61%E -3.26%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -3.44%E -1.61%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-05 19:30
betPARX1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -5.61%E -3.26%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -3.44%E -1.61%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-05 19:30
SportsBet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -6.16%E -3.60%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -3.44%E -1.61%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-05 19:29
Coolbet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.06%E -2.92%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.34%E -2.05%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-05 19:23
LiveScore Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.61%E -3.26%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.34%E -2.05%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 19:30
BetRivers1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.61%E -3.26%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.34%E -2.05%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 19:30
Virgin Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.61%E -3.26%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.34%E -2.05%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 19:30
TABtouch1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.61%E -3.26%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.34%E -2.05%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 19:29
Unibet (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -2.31%E -1.30%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-05 19:29
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.86%E -1.62%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.77%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-05 19:30
Bovada1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -7.25%E -4.29%K -10.51%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.77%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-05 19:29
Grosvenor1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -7.80%E -4.64%K -11.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.77%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-05 19:30
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -9.45%E -5.73%K -14.54%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.77%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-05 19:30
NordicBet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.57%EV -4.51%E -2.59%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.43%EV -5.70%E -2.73%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 19:20
Betsson1.74I 57.47%NM 54.57%EV -4.51%E -2.59%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.43%EV -5.70%E -2.73%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 19:20
Winamax (DE)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -3.41%E -1.94%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -7.50%E -3.66%K -7.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-05 19:29
Betway1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.51%E -2.59%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.50%E -3.66%K -7.15%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-05 19:29
LeoVegas1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.61%E -3.26%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.50%E -3.66%K -7.15%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-05 19:29
Betclic (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.71%E -3.94%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -9.76%E -4.88%K -9.76%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-05 19:28
Winamax (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 53.85%EV -7.80%E -4.64%K -11.47%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.15%EV -11.56%E -5.90%K -12.05%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-05 19:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
ProphetX1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%0.6%2026-07-05 19:30
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-07-05 19:30
Polymarket1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-07-05 19:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%2.5%2026-07-05 19:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%2.5%2026-07-05 19:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%2.5%2026-07-05 19:30
Matchbook1.79I 55.87%NM 54.22%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.78%3.0%2026-07-05 19:29