La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Cleveland Guardians v Chicago White Sox
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Cleveland Guardians (Local)
Predicción 54.88%1.82momio equitativo
EV -1.22%
Ventaja -0.676%
Kelly -1.52%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.81%54.94%55.06%56.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.651.731.731.8060.61%57.80%57.97%55.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Chicago White Sox (Visitante)
Predicción 45.12%2.22momio equitativo
EV +0.168%
Ventaja +0.076%
Kelly +0.137%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.22
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.08%45.06%44.94%46.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.962.132.142.2251.02%47.00%46.73%45.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -7.80%E -4.64%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV +0.168%E +0.076%K +0.137%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-05 19:30 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -7.80%E -4.64%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -0.735%E -0.334%K -0.612%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-05 19:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -3.96%E -2.26%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -1.64%E -0.751%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-07-05 19:30 |
| GTbets | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -1.77%E -0.987%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV -2.09%E -0.962%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-07-05 19:29 |
| BetUS | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%EV -1.77%E -0.987%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%EV -2.54%E -1.18%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-07-05 19:30 |
| BetAnything | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -2.31%E -1.30%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -2.54%E -1.18%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-07-05 19:30 |
| FanDuel | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -4.51%E -2.59%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -2.54%E -1.18%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-05 19:30 |
| Pinnacle | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -1.22%E -0.676%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -2.99%E -1.39%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-05 19:29 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -1.77%E -0.987%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -2.99%E -1.39%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-07-05 19:30 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -1.77%E -0.987%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -2.99%E -1.39%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-07-05 19:29 |
| TAB | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.96%E -2.26%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -2.99%E -1.39%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-05 19:19 |
| Caesars | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.51%E -2.59%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.99%E -1.39%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-05 19:29 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.51%E -2.59%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.99%E -1.39%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-05 19:29 |
| theScore Bet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.51%E -2.59%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.99%E -1.39%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-05 19:29 |
| Coral | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -5.06%E -2.92%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -2.99%E -1.39%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-05 19:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -5.06%E -2.92%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -2.99%E -1.39%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-05 19:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -5.06%E -2.92%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -2.99%E -1.39%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-05 19:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -5.06%E -2.92%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -2.99%E -1.39%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-05 19:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.61%E -3.26%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -2.99%E -1.39%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-05 19:29 |
| Neds | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.61%E -3.26%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -2.99%E -1.39%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-05 19:30 |
| BetMGM | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.16%E -3.60%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -2.99%E -1.39%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-05 19:29 |
| Paddy Power | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -8.35%E -5.00%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -2.99%E -1.39%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-05 19:29 |
| Casumo | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -5.61%E -3.26%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -3.44%E -1.61%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-05 19:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -5.61%E -3.26%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -3.44%E -1.61%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-05 19:29 |
| Unibet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -5.61%E -3.26%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -3.44%E -1.61%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-05 19:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -5.61%E -3.26%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -3.44%E -1.61%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-05 19:30 |
| Bally Bet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -5.61%E -3.26%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -3.44%E -1.61%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-05 19:30 |
| betPARX | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -5.61%E -3.26%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -3.44%E -1.61%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-05 19:30 |
| SportsBet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -6.16%E -3.60%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -3.44%E -1.61%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-05 19:29 |
| Coolbet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.06%E -2.92%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.34%E -2.05%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-05 19:23 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.61%E -3.26%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.34%E -2.05%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-05 19:30 |
| BetRivers | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.61%E -3.26%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.34%E -2.05%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-05 19:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.61%E -3.26%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.34%E -2.05%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-05 19:30 |
| TABtouch | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.61%E -3.26%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.34%E -2.05%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-05 19:29 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -2.31%E -1.30%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-05 19:29 |
| Fanatics | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.86%E -1.62%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-05 19:30 |
| Bovada | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -7.25%E -4.29%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-05 19:29 |
| Grosvenor | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -7.80%E -4.64%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-05 19:30 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -9.45%E -5.73%K -14.54%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-05 19:30 |
| NordicBet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.57%EV -4.51%E -2.59%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.43%EV -5.70%E -2.73%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-05 19:20 |
| Betsson | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.57%EV -4.51%E -2.59%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.43%EV -5.70%E -2.73%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-05 19:20 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -3.41%E -1.94%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -7.50%E -3.66%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-05 19:29 |
| Betway | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.51%E -2.59%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.50%E -3.66%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-05 19:29 |
| LeoVegas | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.61%E -3.26%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.50%E -3.66%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-05 19:29 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.71%E -3.94%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -9.76%E -4.88%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-05 19:28 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.85%EV -7.80%E -4.64%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.15%EV -11.56%E -5.90%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-07-05 19:29 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78% | 0.6% | 2026-07-05 19:30 |
| Kalshi | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 0.9% | 2026-07-05 19:30 |
| Polymarket | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61% | 1.0% | 2026-07-05 19:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18% | 2.5% | 2026-07-05 19:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18% | 2.5% | 2026-07-05 19:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18% | 2.5% | 2026-07-05 19:30 |
| Matchbook | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.22% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.78% | 3.0% | 2026-07-05 19:29 |