A Escola das Odds

Cleveland Guardians v Chicago White Sox

Início: 2026-07-05 19:35 UTC

Final: Cleveland Guardians 6–7 Chicago White Sox

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

46 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Cleveland Guardians (Local)

Previsão 54.88%1.82odd justa
EV -1.22%
Vantagem -0.676%
Kelly -1.52%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
53.81%54.94%55.06%56.92%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.651.731.731.8060.61%57.80%57.97%55.56%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Chicago White Sox (Visitante)

Previsão 45.12%2.22odd justa
EV +0.168%
Vantagem +0.076%
Kelly +0.137%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.22

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
43.08%45.06%44.94%46.19%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.962.132.142.2251.02%47.00%46.73%45.05%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (46 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
DraftKings1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -7.80%E -4.64%K -11.47%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV +0.168%E +0.076%K +0.137%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-05 19:30
Dabble (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -7.80%E -4.64%K -11.47%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -0.735%E -0.334%K -0.612%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-05 19:30
Svenska Spel1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -3.96%E -2.26%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -1.64%E -0.751%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-05 19:30
GTbets1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -1.77%E -0.987%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV -2.09%E -0.962%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-05 19:29
BetUS1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%EV -1.77%E -0.987%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%EV -2.54%E -1.18%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-05 19:30
BetAnything1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -2.31%E -1.30%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -2.54%E -1.18%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-05 19:30
FanDuel1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -4.51%E -2.59%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -2.54%E -1.18%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-05 19:30
Pinnacle1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -1.22%E -0.676%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -2.99%E -1.39%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-05 19:29
LowVig.ag1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -1.77%E -0.987%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -2.99%E -1.39%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-05 19:30
BetOnline.ag1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -1.77%E -0.987%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -2.99%E -1.39%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-05 19:29
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.96%E -2.26%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -2.99%E -1.39%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-05 19:19
Caesars1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.51%E -2.59%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.99%E -1.39%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-05 19:29
PointsBet (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.51%E -2.59%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.99%E -1.39%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-05 19:29
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.51%E -2.59%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.99%E -1.39%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-05 19:29
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -5.06%E -2.92%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -2.99%E -1.39%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-05 19:29
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -5.06%E -2.92%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -2.99%E -1.39%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-05 19:30
Unibet (NL)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -5.06%E -2.92%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -2.99%E -1.39%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-05 19:30
Unibet (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -5.06%E -2.92%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -2.99%E -1.39%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-05 19:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.61%E -3.26%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -2.99%E -1.39%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-05 19:29
Neds1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.61%E -3.26%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -2.99%E -1.39%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-05 19:30
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.16%E -3.60%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -2.99%E -1.39%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-05 19:29
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -8.35%E -5.00%K -12.46%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -2.99%E -1.39%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-05 19:29
Casumo1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -5.61%E -3.26%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -3.44%E -1.61%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-05 19:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -5.61%E -3.26%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -3.44%E -1.61%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-05 19:29
Unibet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -5.61%E -3.26%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -3.44%E -1.61%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-05 19:30
ATG (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -5.61%E -3.26%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -3.44%E -1.61%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-05 19:30
Bally Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -5.61%E -3.26%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -3.44%E -1.61%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-05 19:30
betPARX1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -5.61%E -3.26%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -3.44%E -1.61%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-05 19:30
SportsBet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -6.16%E -3.60%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -3.44%E -1.61%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-05 19:29
Coolbet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.06%E -2.92%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.34%E -2.05%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-05 19:23
LiveScore Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.61%E -3.26%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.34%E -2.05%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 19:30
BetRivers1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.61%E -3.26%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.34%E -2.05%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 19:30
Virgin Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.61%E -3.26%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.34%E -2.05%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 19:30
TABtouch1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.61%E -3.26%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.34%E -2.05%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 19:29
Unibet (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -2.31%E -1.30%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-05 19:29
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.86%E -1.62%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.77%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-05 19:30
Bovada1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -7.25%E -4.29%K -10.51%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.77%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-05 19:29
Grosvenor1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -7.80%E -4.64%K -11.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.77%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-05 19:30
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -9.45%E -5.73%K -14.54%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.77%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-05 19:30
NordicBet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.57%EV -4.51%E -2.59%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.43%EV -5.70%E -2.73%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 19:20
Betsson1.74I 57.47%NM 54.57%EV -4.51%E -2.59%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.43%EV -5.70%E -2.73%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 19:20
Winamax (DE)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -3.41%E -1.94%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -7.50%E -3.66%K -7.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-05 19:29
Betway1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.51%E -2.59%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.50%E -3.66%K -7.15%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-05 19:29
LeoVegas1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.61%E -3.26%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.50%E -3.66%K -7.15%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-05 19:29
Betclic (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.71%E -3.94%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -9.76%E -4.88%K -9.76%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-05 19:28
Winamax (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 53.85%EV -7.80%E -4.64%K -11.47%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.15%EV -11.56%E -5.90%K -12.05%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-05 19:29
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
ProphetX1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%0.6%2026-07-05 19:30
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-07-05 19:30
Polymarket1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-07-05 19:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%2.5%2026-07-05 19:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%2.5%2026-07-05 19:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%2.5%2026-07-05 19:30
Matchbook1.79I 55.87%NM 54.22%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.78%3.0%2026-07-05 19:29