L’École des cotes

Cleveland Guardians v Chicago White Sox

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-05 19:35 UTC

Score final : Cleveland Guardians 6–7 Chicago White Sox

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

46 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Cleveland Guardians (Local)

Prévision 54.88%1.82cote équitable
EV -1.22%
Avantage -0.676%
Kelly -1.52%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.81%54.94%55.06%56.92%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.651.731.731.8060.61%57.80%57.97%55.56%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Chicago White Sox (Visiteur)

Prévision 45.12%2.22cote équitable
EV +0.168%
Avantage +0.076%
Kelly +0.137%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.22

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
43.08%45.06%44.94%46.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.962.132.142.2251.02%47.00%46.73%45.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
DraftKings1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -7.80%E -4.64%K -11.47%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV +0.168%E +0.076%K +0.137%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-05 19:30
Dabble (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -7.80%E -4.64%K -11.47%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -0.735%E -0.334%K -0.612%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-05 19:30
Svenska Spel1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -3.96%E -2.26%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -1.64%E -0.751%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-05 19:30
GTbets1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -1.77%E -0.987%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV -2.09%E -0.962%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-05 19:29
BetUS1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%EV -1.77%E -0.987%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%EV -2.54%E -1.18%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-05 19:30
BetAnything1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -2.31%E -1.30%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -2.54%E -1.18%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-05 19:30
FanDuel1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -4.51%E -2.59%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -2.54%E -1.18%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-05 19:30
Pinnacle1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -1.22%E -0.676%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -2.99%E -1.39%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-05 19:29
LowVig.ag1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -1.77%E -0.987%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -2.99%E -1.39%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-05 19:30
BetOnline.ag1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -1.77%E -0.987%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -2.99%E -1.39%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-05 19:29
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.96%E -2.26%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -2.99%E -1.39%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-05 19:19
Caesars1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.51%E -2.59%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.99%E -1.39%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-05 19:29
PointsBet (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.51%E -2.59%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.99%E -1.39%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-05 19:29
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.51%E -2.59%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.99%E -1.39%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-05 19:29
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -5.06%E -2.92%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -2.99%E -1.39%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-05 19:29
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -5.06%E -2.92%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -2.99%E -1.39%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-05 19:30
Unibet (NL)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -5.06%E -2.92%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -2.99%E -1.39%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-05 19:30
Unibet (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -5.06%E -2.92%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -2.99%E -1.39%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-05 19:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.61%E -3.26%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -2.99%E -1.39%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-05 19:29
Neds1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.61%E -3.26%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -2.99%E -1.39%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-05 19:30
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.16%E -3.60%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -2.99%E -1.39%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-05 19:29
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -8.35%E -5.00%K -12.46%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -2.99%E -1.39%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-05 19:29
Casumo1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -5.61%E -3.26%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -3.44%E -1.61%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-05 19:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -5.61%E -3.26%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -3.44%E -1.61%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-05 19:29
Unibet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -5.61%E -3.26%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -3.44%E -1.61%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-05 19:30
ATG (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -5.61%E -3.26%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -3.44%E -1.61%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-05 19:30
Bally Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -5.61%E -3.26%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -3.44%E -1.61%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-05 19:30
betPARX1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -5.61%E -3.26%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -3.44%E -1.61%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-05 19:30
SportsBet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -6.16%E -3.60%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -3.44%E -1.61%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-05 19:29
Coolbet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.06%E -2.92%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.34%E -2.05%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-05 19:23
LiveScore Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.61%E -3.26%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.34%E -2.05%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 19:30
BetRivers1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.61%E -3.26%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.34%E -2.05%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 19:30
Virgin Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.61%E -3.26%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.34%E -2.05%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 19:30
TABtouch1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.61%E -3.26%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.34%E -2.05%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 19:29
Unibet (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -2.31%E -1.30%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-05 19:29
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.86%E -1.62%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.77%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-05 19:30
Bovada1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -7.25%E -4.29%K -10.51%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.77%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-05 19:29
Grosvenor1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -7.80%E -4.64%K -11.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.77%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-05 19:30
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -9.45%E -5.73%K -14.54%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.77%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-05 19:30
NordicBet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.57%EV -4.51%E -2.59%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.43%EV -5.70%E -2.73%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 19:20
Betsson1.74I 57.47%NM 54.57%EV -4.51%E -2.59%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.43%EV -5.70%E -2.73%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 19:20
Winamax (DE)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -3.41%E -1.94%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -7.50%E -3.66%K -7.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-05 19:29
Betway1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.51%E -2.59%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.50%E -3.66%K -7.15%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-05 19:29
LeoVegas1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.61%E -3.26%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.50%E -3.66%K -7.15%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-05 19:29
Betclic (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.71%E -3.94%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -9.76%E -4.88%K -9.76%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-05 19:28
Winamax (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 53.85%EV -7.80%E -4.64%K -11.47%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.15%EV -11.56%E -5.90%K -12.05%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-05 19:29
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
ProphetX1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%0.6%2026-07-05 19:30
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-07-05 19:30
Polymarket1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-07-05 19:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%2.5%2026-07-05 19:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%2.5%2026-07-05 19:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%2.5%2026-07-05 19:30
Matchbook1.79I 55.87%NM 54.22%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.78%3.0%2026-07-05 19:29