Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Cleveland Guardians v Baltimore Orioles

Início: 2026-04-16 22:11 UTC

Final: Cleveland Guardians 4–2 Baltimore Orioles

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

60 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Cleveland Guardians (Local)

Previsão 54.65%1.83odd justa
EV +0.016%
Vantagem +0.009%
Kelly +0.019%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.83

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
52.63%54.54%54.83%56.28%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.671.751.741.8359.88%57.11%57.47%54.64%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Baltimore Orioles (Visitante)

Previsão 45.35%2.21odd justa
EV -0.237%
Vantagem -0.108%
Kelly -0.198%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.20

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
43.72%45.46%45.17%47.37%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.002.112.102.2050.00%47.48%47.62%45.45%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Cleveland Guardians (Local): 54.65%; Baltimore Orioles (Visitante): 45.35%. Para Cleveland Guardians (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 1.8297. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 1.8300, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.016%.

Odds das casas de apostas (60 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%EV +0.016%E +0.009%K +0.019%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%EV -3.87%E -1.82%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.8%2026-04-16 21:59
theScore Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -1.08%E -0.595%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -3.41%E -1.60%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-16 22:05
BetUS🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -1.08%E -0.595%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -3.41%E -1.60%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-16 22:04
1xBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -1.62%E -0.902%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -2.50%E -1.16%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-16 21:49
TAB🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -1.62%E -0.902%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -7.04%E -3.43%K -6.70%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-16 22:04
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.62%E -0.902%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.31%E -4.65%K -9.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-15 21:14
GTbets🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 55.16%EV -2.72%E -1.53%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.84%EV -0.691%E -0.315%K -0.581%G +0.000%1.8%2026-04-16 21:59
BetOnline.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -2.72%E -1.53%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -1.60%E -0.736%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-16 21:59
LowVig.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -2.72%E -1.53%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -1.60%E -0.736%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-16 22:00
Dabble (AU)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -2.72%E -1.53%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -7.04%E -3.43%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-16 21:54
Betsson🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -2.72%E -1.53%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -7.95%E -3.91%K -7.71%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-16 22:04
NordicBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -2.72%E -1.53%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -7.95%E -3.91%K -7.71%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-16 22:05
Everygame🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -3.26%E -1.84%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -0.237%E -0.108%K -0.198%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-16 21:58
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.26%E -1.84%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.77%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-16 22:09
ReBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.26%E -1.84%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.77%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-16 21:20
Bovada🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -3.26%E -1.84%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -5.68%E -2.73%K -5.26%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-16 22:01
PlayUp🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.26%E -1.84%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.04%E -3.43%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 22:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.26%E -1.84%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.04%E -3.43%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 21:54
Winamax (DE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -3.81%E -2.16%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -7.04%E -3.43%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-16 22:09
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -4.36%E -2.49%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -2.50%E -1.16%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-16 21:39
FanDuel🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -4.36%E -2.49%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -2.96%E -1.38%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-16 22:04
MyBookie.ag🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.90%EV -4.36%E -2.49%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%EV -3.41%E -1.60%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-16 22:09
Bet Right🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.36%E -2.49%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.77%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-16 22:04
Coolbet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.36%E -2.49%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.77%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-16 22:04
Svenska Spel🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.61%EV -4.90%E -2.82%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.39%EV -1.14%E -0.525%K -0.970%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-16 22:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.90%E -2.82%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.50%E -1.16%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-16 21:44
Caesars🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.90%E -2.82%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.50%E -1.16%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-16 21:59
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.90%E -2.82%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.50%E -1.16%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-16 21:45
DraftKings🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%EV -4.90%E -2.82%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -3.41%E -1.60%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-16 21:59
Fliff🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.90%E -2.82%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.77%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 21:49
Grosvenor🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.90%E -2.82%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.77%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 22:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.90%E -2.82%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.77%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 22:09
LeoVegas🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.90%E -2.82%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.77%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 22:09
Unibet (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.90%E -2.82%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.77%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 22:09
Unibet (NL)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.90%E -2.82%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.77%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 22:10
Unibet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.90%E -2.82%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.77%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 22:10
Casumo🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.90%E -2.82%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.77%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 22:09
Bally Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.90%E -2.82%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.77%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 22:09
betPARX🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.90%E -2.82%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.77%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 22:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.90%E -2.82%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.77%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 22:09
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.90%E -2.82%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.77%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 21:50
TABtouch🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -4.90%E -2.82%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -5.68%E -2.73%K -5.26%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-16 22:09
Virgin Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -4.90%E -2.82%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -5.68%E -2.73%K -5.26%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-16 22:09
LiveScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -4.90%E -2.82%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -5.68%E -2.73%K -5.26%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-16 22:10
BetRivers🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -4.90%E -2.82%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -5.68%E -2.73%K -5.26%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-16 22:10
Betway🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.90%E -2.82%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.04%E -3.43%K -6.70%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-16 22:09
Winamax (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -4.90%E -2.82%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -9.31%E -4.65%K -9.31%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-16 22:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -5.45%E -3.15%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -2.50%E -1.16%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-16 21:44
Coral🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -5.45%E -3.15%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -2.50%E -1.16%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-16 21:44
SportsBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -5.45%E -3.15%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -4.32%E -2.05%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-16 22:04
Unibet (FR)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.45%E -3.15%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.77%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-16 21:59
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.45%E -3.15%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.77%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-16 21:44
Betr (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.45%E -3.15%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.77%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-16 22:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.45%E -3.15%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.77%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-16 21:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.45%E -3.15%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.77%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-16 21:44
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.45%E -3.15%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.77%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-16 21:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -6.00%E -3.49%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -2.50%E -1.16%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-16 21:44
Neds🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -6.00%E -3.49%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -2.50%E -1.16%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-16 21:44
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.09%E -4.17%K -10.13%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.77%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-16 21:19
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -8.73%E -5.23%K -13.03%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -2.50%E -1.16%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-16 22:09
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Novig1.82I 54.95%NM 54.61%2.19I 45.66%NM 45.39%0.6%2026-04-16 22:09
ProphetX1.83I 54.64%NM 54.25%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.75%0.7%2026-04-16 22:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.50%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.50%0.8%2026-04-16 22:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.50%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.50%0.8%2026-04-16 22:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.50%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.50%0.8%2026-04-16 22:10
Polymarket1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-04-16 22:09
BetOpenly1.83I 54.64%NM 54.14%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.86%0.9%2026-04-16 22:05
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-04-16 21:44
Smarkets1.81I 55.25%NM 54.41%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.59%1.5%2026-04-16 22:10
Matchbook1.81I 55.25%NM 54.41%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.59%1.5%2026-04-16 22:10