La scuola delle quote

Cleveland Guardians v Baltimore Orioles

Inizio: 2026-04-16 22:11 UTC

Finale: Cleveland Guardians 4–2 Baltimore Orioles

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

60 bookmaker (19 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Cleveland Guardians (Casa)

Previsione 54.65%1.83quota equa
EV +0.016%
Vantaggio +0.009%
Kelly +0.019%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.83

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
52.63%54.54%54.83%56.28%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.671.751.741.8359.88%57.11%57.47%54.64%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Baltimore Orioles (Trasferta)

Previsione 45.35%2.21quota equa
EV -0.237%
Vantaggio -0.108%
Kelly -0.198%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.20

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
43.72%45.46%45.17%47.37%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.002.112.102.2050.00%47.48%47.62%45.45%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (60 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%EV +0.016%E +0.009%K +0.019%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%EV -3.87%E -1.82%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.8%2026-04-16 21:59
theScore Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -1.08%E -0.595%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -3.41%E -1.60%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-16 22:05
BetUS1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -1.08%E -0.595%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -3.41%E -1.60%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-16 22:04
1xBet1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -1.62%E -0.902%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -2.50%E -1.16%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-16 21:49
TAB1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -1.62%E -0.902%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -7.04%E -3.43%K -6.70%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-16 22:04
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.62%E -0.902%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.31%E -4.65%K -9.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-15 21:14
GTbets1.78I 56.18%NM 55.16%EV -2.72%E -1.53%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.84%EV -0.691%E -0.315%K -0.581%G +0.000%1.8%2026-04-16 21:59
BetOnline.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -2.72%E -1.53%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -1.60%E -0.736%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-16 21:59
LowVig.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -2.72%E -1.53%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -1.60%E -0.736%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-16 22:00
Dabble (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -2.72%E -1.53%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -7.04%E -3.43%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-16 21:54
Betsson1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -2.72%E -1.53%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -7.95%E -3.91%K -7.71%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-16 22:04
NordicBet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -2.72%E -1.53%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -7.95%E -3.91%K -7.71%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-16 22:05
Everygame1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -3.26%E -1.84%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -0.237%E -0.108%K -0.198%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-16 21:58
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.26%E -1.84%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.77%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-16 22:09
ReBet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.26%E -1.84%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.77%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-16 21:20
Bovada1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -3.26%E -1.84%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -5.68%E -2.73%K -5.26%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-16 22:01
PlayUp1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.26%E -1.84%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.04%E -3.43%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 22:05
Marathon Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.26%E -1.84%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.04%E -3.43%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 21:54
Winamax (DE)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -3.81%E -2.16%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -7.04%E -3.43%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-16 22:09
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -4.36%E -2.49%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -2.50%E -1.16%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-16 21:39
FanDuel1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -4.36%E -2.49%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -2.96%E -1.38%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-16 22:04
MyBookie.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 54.90%EV -4.36%E -2.49%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%EV -3.41%E -1.60%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-16 22:09
Bet Right1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.36%E -2.49%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.77%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-16 22:04
Coolbet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.36%E -2.49%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.77%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-16 22:04
Svenska Spel1.74I 57.47%NM 55.61%EV -4.90%E -2.82%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.39%EV -1.14%E -0.525%K -0.970%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-16 22:09
PointsBet (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.90%E -2.82%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.50%E -1.16%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-16 21:44
Caesars1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.90%E -2.82%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.50%E -1.16%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-16 21:59
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.90%E -2.82%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.50%E -1.16%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-16 21:45
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%EV -4.90%E -2.82%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -3.41%E -1.60%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-16 21:59
Fliff1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.90%E -2.82%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.77%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 21:49
Grosvenor1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.90%E -2.82%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.77%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 22:09
LeoVegas (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.90%E -2.82%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.77%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 22:09
LeoVegas1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.90%E -2.82%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.77%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 22:09
Unibet (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.90%E -2.82%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.77%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 22:09
Unibet (NL)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.90%E -2.82%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.77%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 22:10
Unibet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.90%E -2.82%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.77%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 22:10
Casumo1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.90%E -2.82%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.77%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 22:09
Bally Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.90%E -2.82%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.77%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 22:09
betPARX1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.90%E -2.82%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.77%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 22:10
ATG (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.90%E -2.82%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.77%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 22:09
Hard Rock Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.90%E -2.82%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.77%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 21:50
TABtouch1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -4.90%E -2.82%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -5.68%E -2.73%K -5.26%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-16 22:09
Virgin Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -4.90%E -2.82%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -5.68%E -2.73%K -5.26%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-16 22:09
LiveScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -4.90%E -2.82%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -5.68%E -2.73%K -5.26%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-16 22:10
BetRivers1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -4.90%E -2.82%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -5.68%E -2.73%K -5.26%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-16 22:10
Betway1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.90%E -2.82%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.04%E -3.43%K -6.70%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-16 22:09
Winamax (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -4.90%E -2.82%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -9.31%E -4.65%K -9.31%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-16 22:09
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -5.45%E -3.15%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -2.50%E -1.16%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-16 21:44
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -5.45%E -3.15%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -2.50%E -1.16%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-16 21:44
SportsBet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -5.45%E -3.15%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -4.32%E -2.05%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-16 22:04
Unibet (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.45%E -3.15%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.77%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-16 21:59
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.45%E -3.15%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.77%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-16 21:44
Betr (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.45%E -3.15%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.77%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-16 22:05
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.45%E -3.15%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.77%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-16 21:44
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.45%E -3.15%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.77%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-16 21:44
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.45%E -3.15%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.77%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-16 21:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -6.00%E -3.49%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -2.50%E -1.16%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-16 21:44
Neds1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -6.00%E -3.49%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -2.50%E -1.16%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-16 21:44
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.09%E -4.17%K -10.13%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.77%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-16 21:19
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -8.73%E -5.23%K -13.03%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -2.50%E -1.16%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-16 22:09
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (10)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Novig1.82I 54.95%NM 54.61%2.19I 45.66%NM 45.39%0.6%2026-04-16 22:09
ProphetX1.83I 54.64%NM 54.25%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.75%0.7%2026-04-16 22:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.50%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.50%0.8%2026-04-16 22:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.50%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.50%0.8%2026-04-16 22:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.50%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.50%0.8%2026-04-16 22:10
Polymarket1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-04-16 22:09
BetOpenly1.83I 54.64%NM 54.14%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.86%0.9%2026-04-16 22:05
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-04-16 21:44
Smarkets1.81I 55.25%NM 54.41%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.59%1.5%2026-04-16 22:10
Matchbook1.81I 55.25%NM 54.41%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.59%1.5%2026-04-16 22:10