La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Cleveland Guardians v Baltimore Orioles
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Cleveland Guardians (Local)
Predicción 54.65%1.83momio equitativo
EV +0.016%
Ventaja +0.009%
Kelly +0.019%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.83
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.63%54.54%54.83%56.28%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.671.751.741.8359.88%57.11%57.47%54.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Baltimore Orioles (Visitante)
Predicción 45.35%2.21momio equitativo
EV -0.237%
Ventaja -0.108%
Kelly -0.198%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.72%45.46%45.17%47.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.112.102.2050.00%47.48%47.62%45.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%EV +0.016%E +0.009%K +0.019%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%EV -3.87%E -1.82%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-04-16 21:59 |
| theScore Bet | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -1.08%E -0.595%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -3.41%E -1.60%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-04-16 22:05 |
| BetUS | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -1.08%E -0.595%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -3.41%E -1.60%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-04-16 22:04 |
| 1xBet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -1.62%E -0.902%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -2.50%E -1.16%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-04-16 21:49 |
| TAB | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -1.62%E -0.902%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -7.04%E -3.43%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-16 22:04 |
| William Hill | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.62%E -0.902%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.31%E -4.65%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-15 21:14 |
| GTbets | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.16%EV -2.72%E -1.53%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 44.84%EV -0.691%E -0.315%K -0.581%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-04-16 21:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -2.72%E -1.53%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -1.60%E -0.736%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-04-16 21:59 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -2.72%E -1.53%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -1.60%E -0.736%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-04-16 22:00 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -2.72%E -1.53%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -7.04%E -3.43%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-16 21:54 |
| Betsson | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -2.72%E -1.53%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -7.95%E -3.91%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-16 22:04 |
| NordicBet | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -2.72%E -1.53%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -7.95%E -3.91%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-16 22:05 |
| Everygame | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -3.26%E -1.84%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -0.237%E -0.108%K -0.198%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-04-16 21:58 |
| Fanatics | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.26%E -1.84%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.77%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-16 22:09 |
| ReBet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.26%E -1.84%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.77%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-16 21:20 |
| Bovada | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -3.26%E -1.84%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -5.68%E -2.73%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-16 22:01 |
| PlayUp | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.26%E -1.84%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.04%E -3.43%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-16 22:05 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.26%E -1.84%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.04%E -3.43%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-16 21:54 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -3.81%E -2.16%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -7.04%E -3.43%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-16 22:09 |
| Bet Victor | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -4.36%E -2.49%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -2.50%E -1.16%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-16 21:39 |
| FanDuel | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -4.36%E -2.49%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -2.96%E -1.38%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-16 22:04 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.90%EV -4.36%E -2.49%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%EV -3.41%E -1.60%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-16 22:09 |
| Bet Right | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.36%E -2.49%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.77%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-16 22:04 |
| Coolbet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.36%E -2.49%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.77%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-16 22:04 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.61%EV -4.90%E -2.82%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.39%EV -1.14%E -0.525%K -0.970%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-16 22:09 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.90%E -2.82%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.50%E -1.16%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-16 21:44 |
| Caesars | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.90%E -2.82%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.50%E -1.16%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-16 21:59 |
| BetMGM | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.90%E -2.82%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.50%E -1.16%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-16 21:45 |
| DraftKings | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%EV -4.90%E -2.82%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -3.41%E -1.60%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-16 21:59 |
| Fliff | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.90%E -2.82%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.77%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-16 21:49 |
| Grosvenor | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.90%E -2.82%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.77%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-16 22:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.90%E -2.82%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.77%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-16 22:09 |
| LeoVegas | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.90%E -2.82%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.77%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-16 22:09 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.90%E -2.82%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.77%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-16 22:09 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.90%E -2.82%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.77%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-16 22:10 |
| Unibet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.90%E -2.82%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.77%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-16 22:10 |
| Casumo | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.90%E -2.82%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.77%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-16 22:09 |
| Bally Bet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.90%E -2.82%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.77%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-16 22:09 |
| betPARX | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.90%E -2.82%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.77%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-16 22:10 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.90%E -2.82%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.77%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-16 22:09 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.90%E -2.82%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.77%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-16 21:50 |
| TABtouch | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -4.90%E -2.82%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -5.68%E -2.73%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-16 22:09 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -4.90%E -2.82%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -5.68%E -2.73%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-16 22:09 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -4.90%E -2.82%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -5.68%E -2.73%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-16 22:10 |
| BetRivers | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -4.90%E -2.82%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -5.68%E -2.73%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-16 22:10 |
| Betway | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.90%E -2.82%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.04%E -3.43%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-16 22:09 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -4.90%E -2.82%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -9.31%E -4.65%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-16 22:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -5.45%E -3.15%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -2.50%E -1.16%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-16 21:44 |
| Coral | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -5.45%E -3.15%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -2.50%E -1.16%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-16 21:44 |
| SportsBet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -5.45%E -3.15%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -4.32%E -2.05%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-16 22:04 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.45%E -3.15%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.77%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-16 21:59 |
| 888sport | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.45%E -3.15%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.77%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-16 21:44 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.45%E -3.15%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.77%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-16 22:05 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.45%E -3.15%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.77%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-16 21:44 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.45%E -3.15%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.77%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-16 21:44 |
| BoyleSports | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.45%E -3.15%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.77%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-16 21:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -6.00%E -3.49%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -2.50%E -1.16%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-16 21:44 |
| Neds | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -6.00%E -3.49%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -2.50%E -1.16%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-16 21:44 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.09%E -4.17%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.77%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-16 21:19 |
| Paddy Power | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -8.73%E -5.23%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -2.50%E -1.16%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-16 22:09 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (10)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.61% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 45.39% | 0.6% | 2026-04-16 22:09 |
| ProphetX | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.25% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.75% | 0.7% | 2026-04-16 22:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.50% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.50% | 0.8% | 2026-04-16 22:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.50% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.50% | 0.8% | 2026-04-16 22:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.50% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.50% | 0.8% | 2026-04-16 22:10 |
| Polymarket | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 0.9% | 2026-04-16 22:09 |
| BetOpenly | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.14% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.86% | 0.9% | 2026-04-16 22:05 |
| Kalshi | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61% | 1.0% | 2026-04-16 21:44 |
| Smarkets | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.41% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.59% | 1.5% | 2026-04-16 22:10 |
| Matchbook | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.41% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.59% | 1.5% | 2026-04-16 22:10 |