مدرسة الاحتمالات

Cleveland Guardians v Baltimore Orioles

البداية: 2026-04-16 22:11 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Cleveland Guardians 4–2 Baltimore Orioles

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

60 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Cleveland Guardians (المضيف)

التنبؤ 54.65%1.83السعر العادل
EV +0.016%
الأفضلية +0.009%
Kelly +0.019%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.83

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
52.63%54.54%54.83%56.28%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.671.751.741.8359.88%57.11%57.47%54.64%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Baltimore Orioles (الضيف)

التنبؤ 45.35%2.21السعر العادل
EV -0.237%
الأفضلية -0.108%
Kelly -0.198%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.20

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
43.72%45.46%45.17%47.37%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.002.112.102.2050.00%47.48%47.62%45.45%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (60 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%EV +0.016%E +0.009%K +0.019%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%EV -3.87%E -1.82%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.8%2026-04-16 21:59
theScore Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -1.08%E -0.595%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -3.41%E -1.60%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-16 22:05
BetUS1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -1.08%E -0.595%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -3.41%E -1.60%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-16 22:04
1xBet1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -1.62%E -0.902%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -2.50%E -1.16%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-16 21:49
TAB1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -1.62%E -0.902%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -7.04%E -3.43%K -6.70%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-16 22:04
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.62%E -0.902%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.31%E -4.65%K -9.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-15 21:14
GTbets1.78I 56.18%NM 55.16%EV -2.72%E -1.53%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.84%EV -0.691%E -0.315%K -0.581%G +0.000%1.8%2026-04-16 21:59
BetOnline.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -2.72%E -1.53%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -1.60%E -0.736%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-16 21:59
LowVig.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -2.72%E -1.53%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -1.60%E -0.736%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-16 22:00
Dabble (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -2.72%E -1.53%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -7.04%E -3.43%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-16 21:54
Betsson1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -2.72%E -1.53%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -7.95%E -3.91%K -7.71%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-16 22:04
NordicBet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -2.72%E -1.53%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -7.95%E -3.91%K -7.71%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-16 22:05
Everygame1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -3.26%E -1.84%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -0.237%E -0.108%K -0.198%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-16 21:58
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.26%E -1.84%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.77%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-16 22:09
ReBet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.26%E -1.84%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.77%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-16 21:20
Bovada1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -3.26%E -1.84%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -5.68%E -2.73%K -5.26%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-16 22:01
PlayUp1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.26%E -1.84%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.04%E -3.43%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 22:05
Marathon Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.26%E -1.84%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.04%E -3.43%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 21:54
Winamax (DE)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -3.81%E -2.16%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -7.04%E -3.43%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-16 22:09
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -4.36%E -2.49%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -2.50%E -1.16%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-16 21:39
FanDuel1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -4.36%E -2.49%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -2.96%E -1.38%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-16 22:04
MyBookie.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 54.90%EV -4.36%E -2.49%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%EV -3.41%E -1.60%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-16 22:09
Bet Right1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.36%E -2.49%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.77%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-16 22:04
Coolbet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.36%E -2.49%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.77%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-16 22:04
Svenska Spel1.74I 57.47%NM 55.61%EV -4.90%E -2.82%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.39%EV -1.14%E -0.525%K -0.970%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-16 22:09
PointsBet (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.90%E -2.82%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.50%E -1.16%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-16 21:44
Caesars1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.90%E -2.82%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.50%E -1.16%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-16 21:59
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.90%E -2.82%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.50%E -1.16%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-16 21:45
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%EV -4.90%E -2.82%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -3.41%E -1.60%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-16 21:59
Fliff1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.90%E -2.82%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.77%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 21:49
Grosvenor1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.90%E -2.82%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.77%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 22:09
LeoVegas (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.90%E -2.82%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.77%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 22:09
LeoVegas1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.90%E -2.82%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.77%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 22:09
Unibet (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.90%E -2.82%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.77%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 22:09
Unibet (NL)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.90%E -2.82%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.77%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 22:10
Unibet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.90%E -2.82%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.77%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 22:10
Casumo1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.90%E -2.82%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.77%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 22:09
Bally Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.90%E -2.82%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.77%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 22:09
betPARX1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.90%E -2.82%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.77%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 22:10
ATG (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.90%E -2.82%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.77%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 22:09
Hard Rock Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.90%E -2.82%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.77%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 21:50
TABtouch1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -4.90%E -2.82%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -5.68%E -2.73%K -5.26%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-16 22:09
Virgin Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -4.90%E -2.82%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -5.68%E -2.73%K -5.26%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-16 22:09
LiveScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -4.90%E -2.82%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -5.68%E -2.73%K -5.26%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-16 22:10
BetRivers1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -4.90%E -2.82%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -5.68%E -2.73%K -5.26%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-16 22:10
Betway1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.90%E -2.82%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.04%E -3.43%K -6.70%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-16 22:09
Winamax (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -4.90%E -2.82%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -9.31%E -4.65%K -9.31%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-16 22:09
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -5.45%E -3.15%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -2.50%E -1.16%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-16 21:44
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -5.45%E -3.15%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -2.50%E -1.16%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-16 21:44
SportsBet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -5.45%E -3.15%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -4.32%E -2.05%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-16 22:04
Unibet (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.45%E -3.15%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.77%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-16 21:59
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.45%E -3.15%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.77%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-16 21:44
Betr (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.45%E -3.15%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.77%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-16 22:05
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.45%E -3.15%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.77%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-16 21:44
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.45%E -3.15%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.77%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-16 21:44
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.45%E -3.15%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.77%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-16 21:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -6.00%E -3.49%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -2.50%E -1.16%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-16 21:44
Neds1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -6.00%E -3.49%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -2.50%E -1.16%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-16 21:44
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.09%E -4.17%K -10.13%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.77%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-16 21:19
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -8.73%E -5.23%K -13.03%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -2.50%E -1.16%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-16 22:09
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Novig1.82I 54.95%NM 54.61%2.19I 45.66%NM 45.39%0.6%2026-04-16 22:09
ProphetX1.83I 54.64%NM 54.25%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.75%0.7%2026-04-16 22:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.50%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.50%0.8%2026-04-16 22:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.50%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.50%0.8%2026-04-16 22:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.50%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.50%0.8%2026-04-16 22:10
Polymarket1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-04-16 22:09
BetOpenly1.83I 54.64%NM 54.14%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.86%0.9%2026-04-16 22:05
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-04-16 21:44
Smarkets1.81I 55.25%NM 54.41%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.59%1.5%2026-04-16 22:10
Matchbook1.81I 55.25%NM 54.41%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.59%1.5%2026-04-16 22:10