L’École des cotes

Cleveland Guardians v Baltimore Orioles

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-16 22:11 UTC

Score final : Cleveland Guardians 4–2 Baltimore Orioles

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

60 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Cleveland Guardians (Local)

Prévision 54.65%1.83cote équitable
EV +0.016%
Avantage +0.009%
Kelly +0.019%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.83

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
52.63%54.54%54.83%56.28%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.671.751.741.8359.88%57.11%57.47%54.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Baltimore Orioles (Visiteur)

Prévision 45.35%2.21cote équitable
EV -0.237%
Avantage -0.108%
Kelly -0.198%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
43.72%45.46%45.17%47.37%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.002.112.102.2050.00%47.48%47.62%45.45%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (60 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%EV +0.016%E +0.009%K +0.019%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%EV -3.87%E -1.82%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.8%2026-04-16 21:59
theScore Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -1.08%E -0.595%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -3.41%E -1.60%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-16 22:05
BetUS1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -1.08%E -0.595%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -3.41%E -1.60%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-16 22:04
1xBet1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -1.62%E -0.902%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -2.50%E -1.16%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-16 21:49
TAB1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -1.62%E -0.902%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -7.04%E -3.43%K -6.70%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-16 22:04
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.62%E -0.902%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.31%E -4.65%K -9.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-15 21:14
GTbets1.78I 56.18%NM 55.16%EV -2.72%E -1.53%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.84%EV -0.691%E -0.315%K -0.581%G +0.000%1.8%2026-04-16 21:59
BetOnline.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -2.72%E -1.53%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -1.60%E -0.736%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-16 21:59
LowVig.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -2.72%E -1.53%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -1.60%E -0.736%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-16 22:00
Dabble (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -2.72%E -1.53%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -7.04%E -3.43%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-16 21:54
Betsson1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -2.72%E -1.53%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -7.95%E -3.91%K -7.71%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-16 22:04
NordicBet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -2.72%E -1.53%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -7.95%E -3.91%K -7.71%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-16 22:05
Everygame1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -3.26%E -1.84%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -0.237%E -0.108%K -0.198%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-16 21:58
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.26%E -1.84%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.77%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-16 22:09
ReBet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.26%E -1.84%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.77%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-16 21:20
Bovada1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -3.26%E -1.84%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -5.68%E -2.73%K -5.26%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-16 22:01
PlayUp1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.26%E -1.84%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.04%E -3.43%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 22:05
Marathon Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.26%E -1.84%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.04%E -3.43%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 21:54
Winamax (DE)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -3.81%E -2.16%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -7.04%E -3.43%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-16 22:09
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -4.36%E -2.49%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -2.50%E -1.16%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-16 21:39
FanDuel1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -4.36%E -2.49%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -2.96%E -1.38%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-16 22:04
MyBookie.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 54.90%EV -4.36%E -2.49%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%EV -3.41%E -1.60%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-16 22:09
Bet Right1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.36%E -2.49%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.77%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-16 22:04
Coolbet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.36%E -2.49%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.77%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-16 22:04
Svenska Spel1.74I 57.47%NM 55.61%EV -4.90%E -2.82%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.39%EV -1.14%E -0.525%K -0.970%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-16 22:09
PointsBet (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.90%E -2.82%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.50%E -1.16%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-16 21:44
Caesars1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.90%E -2.82%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.50%E -1.16%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-16 21:59
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.90%E -2.82%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.50%E -1.16%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-16 21:45
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%EV -4.90%E -2.82%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -3.41%E -1.60%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-16 21:59
Fliff1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.90%E -2.82%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.77%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 21:49
Grosvenor1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.90%E -2.82%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.77%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 22:09
LeoVegas (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.90%E -2.82%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.77%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 22:09
LeoVegas1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.90%E -2.82%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.77%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 22:09
Unibet (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.90%E -2.82%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.77%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 22:09
Unibet (NL)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.90%E -2.82%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.77%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 22:10
Unibet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.90%E -2.82%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.77%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 22:10
Casumo1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.90%E -2.82%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.77%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 22:09
Bally Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.90%E -2.82%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.77%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 22:09
betPARX1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.90%E -2.82%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.77%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 22:10
ATG (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.90%E -2.82%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.77%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 22:09
Hard Rock Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.90%E -2.82%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.77%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 21:50
TABtouch1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -4.90%E -2.82%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -5.68%E -2.73%K -5.26%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-16 22:09
Virgin Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -4.90%E -2.82%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -5.68%E -2.73%K -5.26%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-16 22:09
LiveScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -4.90%E -2.82%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -5.68%E -2.73%K -5.26%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-16 22:10
BetRivers1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -4.90%E -2.82%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -5.68%E -2.73%K -5.26%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-16 22:10
Betway1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.90%E -2.82%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.04%E -3.43%K -6.70%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-16 22:09
Winamax (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -4.90%E -2.82%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -9.31%E -4.65%K -9.31%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-16 22:09
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -5.45%E -3.15%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -2.50%E -1.16%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-16 21:44
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -5.45%E -3.15%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -2.50%E -1.16%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-16 21:44
SportsBet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -5.45%E -3.15%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -4.32%E -2.05%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-16 22:04
Unibet (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.45%E -3.15%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.77%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-16 21:59
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.45%E -3.15%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.77%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-16 21:44
Betr (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.45%E -3.15%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.77%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-16 22:05
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.45%E -3.15%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.77%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-16 21:44
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.45%E -3.15%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.77%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-16 21:44
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.45%E -3.15%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.77%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-16 21:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -6.00%E -3.49%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -2.50%E -1.16%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-16 21:44
Neds1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -6.00%E -3.49%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -2.50%E -1.16%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-16 21:44
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.09%E -4.17%K -10.13%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.77%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-16 21:19
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -8.73%E -5.23%K -13.03%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -2.50%E -1.16%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-16 22:09
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Novig1.82I 54.95%NM 54.61%2.19I 45.66%NM 45.39%0.6%2026-04-16 22:09
ProphetX1.83I 54.64%NM 54.25%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.75%0.7%2026-04-16 22:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.50%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.50%0.8%2026-04-16 22:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.50%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.50%0.8%2026-04-16 22:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.50%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.50%0.8%2026-04-16 22:10
Polymarket1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-04-16 22:09
BetOpenly1.83I 54.64%NM 54.14%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.86%0.9%2026-04-16 22:05
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-04-16 21:44
Smarkets1.81I 55.25%NM 54.41%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.59%1.5%2026-04-16 22:10
Matchbook1.81I 55.25%NM 54.41%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.59%1.5%2026-04-16 22:10