Language:English
Cleveland Guardians v Baltimore Orioles
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Cleveland Guardians (Local)
Prediction 55.71%1.80fair odd
EV -1.40%
Edge -0.788%
Kelly -1.81%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.77
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.09%55.67%55.70%57.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.661.711.711.7760.24%58.32%58.48%56.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Baltimore Orioles (Visit)
Prediction 44.29%2.26fair odd
EV +3.20%
Edge +1.37%
Kelly +2.40%
Growth +0.077%
assuming max odds 2.33
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.04%44.33%44.30%45.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.982.152.152.3350.51%46.41%46.51%42.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cleveland Guardians (Local): 55.71%; Baltimore Orioles (Visit): 44.29%. For Baltimore Orioles (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.26. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.33, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.20%.
Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everygame🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -5.85%E -3.46%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV +3.20%E +1.37%K +2.40%G +0.077% | 2.1% | 2026-04-18 22:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%EV -5.29%E -3.11%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%EV +1.87%E +0.813%K +1.44%G +0.027% | 2.3% | 2026-04-18 22:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78%EV -4.18%E -2.43%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22%EV +0.098%E +0.043%K +0.077%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-04-18 22:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78%EV -4.18%E -2.43%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22%EV +0.098%E +0.043%K +0.077%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-04-18 22:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -3.07%E -1.76%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -0.345%E -0.153%K -0.276%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-04-18 22:05 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.89%EV -5.85%E -3.46%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.11%EV -1.23%E -0.552%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-18 22:09 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%EV -2.51%E -1.43%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%EV -1.67%E -0.754%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-04-18 22:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -5.85%E -3.46%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -1.67%E -0.754%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-18 22:08 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.67%EV -5.85%E -3.46%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.33%EV -2.12%E -0.958%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-18 22:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.74%E -2.77%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.56%E -1.16%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-18 22:09 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.74%E -2.77%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.56%E -1.16%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-18 20:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.74%E -2.77%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.56%E -1.16%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-18 22:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.29%E -3.11%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.56%E -1.16%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-18 22:05 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.85%E -3.46%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -2.56%E -1.16%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-18 22:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.85%E -3.46%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -2.56%E -1.16%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-18 22:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.41%E -3.81%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.56%E -1.16%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-18 22:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.41%E -3.81%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.56%E -1.16%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-18 22:09 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.41%E -3.81%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.56%E -1.16%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-18 22:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.30%EV -5.29%E -3.11%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.70%EV -3.00%E -1.37%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-18 22:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -3.07%E -1.76%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -4.33%E -2.01%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-18 22:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.85%E -3.46%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -4.33%E -2.01%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-18 22:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.85%E -3.46%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -4.33%E -2.01%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-18 22:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -1.40%E -0.788%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -4.77%E -2.22%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-18 20:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.07%E -1.76%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.77%E -2.22%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-18 01:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.74%E -2.77%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.77%E -2.22%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-18 15:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.74%E -2.77%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.77%E -2.22%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-18 12:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.74%E -2.77%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.77%E -2.22%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-18 22:09 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.74%E -2.77%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.77%E -2.22%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-18 12:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.74%E -2.77%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.77%E -2.22%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-18 12:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.29%E -3.11%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.77%E -2.22%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-18 12:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.29%E -3.11%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.77%E -2.22%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-18 22:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.29%E -3.11%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.77%E -2.22%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-18 22:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.29%E -3.11%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.77%E -2.22%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-18 20:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.85%E -3.46%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.77%E -2.22%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-18 22:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.97%E -4.17%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.77%E -2.22%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-18 22:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.97%E -4.17%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.77%E -2.22%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-18 20:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.74%E -2.77%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.22%E -2.44%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-18 22:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -2.51%E -1.43%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -6.10%E -2.88%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-18 20:24 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -2.51%E -1.43%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -6.10%E -2.88%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-18 20:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.07%E -1.76%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -6.10%E -2.88%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-18 20:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.07%E -1.76%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -6.10%E -2.88%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-18 20:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.07%E -1.76%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -6.10%E -2.88%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-18 20:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.07%E -1.76%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -6.10%E -2.88%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-18 20:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.07%E -1.76%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -6.10%E -2.88%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-18 20:25 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.07%E -1.76%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -6.10%E -2.88%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-18 20:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.07%E -1.76%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -6.10%E -2.88%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-18 20:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.07%E -1.76%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -6.10%E -2.88%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-18 20:24 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.51%E -1.43%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.99%E -3.33%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-18 22:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.07%E -1.76%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.99%E -3.33%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-18 20:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.07%E -1.76%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.99%E -3.33%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-18 20:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.07%E -1.76%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.99%E -3.33%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-18 20:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.07%E -1.76%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.99%E -3.33%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-18 20:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.62%E -2.09%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.99%E -3.33%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-18 01:44 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.29%E -3.11%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.99%E -3.33%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-18 22:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.29%E -3.11%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.99%E -3.33%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-18 22:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.07%E -1.76%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -9.20%E -4.49%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-18 22:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.07%E -1.76%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -9.20%E -4.49%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-18 22:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.29%E -3.11%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.20%E -4.49%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-18 22:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.40%EV -7.52%E -4.53%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.60%EV -12.30%E -6.21%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-18 22:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42% | 1.0% | 2026-04-18 22:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42% | 1.0% | 2026-04-18 22:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42% | 1.0% | 2026-04-18 22:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78% | 1.1% | 2026-04-18 22:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.2% | 2026-04-18 22:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.72% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.28% | 1.3% | 2026-04-18 22:10 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61% | 1.9% | 2026-04-18 22:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64% | 2.0% | 2026-04-18 22:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36% | 2.1% | 2026-04-18 22:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11% | 2.2% | 2026-04-18 22:10 |