StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Cleveland Guardians v Baltimore Orioles

Spielbeginn: 2026-04-18 22:11 UTC

Endstand: Cleveland Guardians 4–2 Baltimore Orioles

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

59 Wettanbieter (19 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Cleveland Guardians (Heim)

Prognose 55.71%1.80faire Quote
EV -1.40%
Vorteil -0.788%
Kelly -1.81%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.77

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
54.09%55.67%55.70%57.96%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.661.711.711.7760.24%58.32%58.48%56.50%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Baltimore Orioles (Auswärts)

Prognose 44.29%2.26faire Quote
EV +3.20%
Vorteil +1.37%
Kelly +2.40%
Wachstum +0.077%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.33

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
42.04%44.33%44.30%45.91%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.982.152.152.3350.51%46.41%46.51%42.92%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Cleveland Guardians (Heim): 55.71%; Baltimore Orioles (Auswärts): 44.29%. Für Baltimore Orioles (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 2.26. 4 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 2.33 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +3.20%.

Wettanbieterquoten (59 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼MargeAktualisiert
Everygame🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -5.85%E -3.46%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV +3.20%E +1.37%K +2.40%G +0.077%2.1%2026-04-18 22:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%EV -5.29%E -3.11%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%EV +1.87%E +0.813%K +1.44%G +0.027%2.3%2026-04-18 22:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78%EV -4.18%E -2.43%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22%EV +0.098%E +0.043%K +0.077%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-18 22:10
BetUS🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78%EV -4.18%E -2.43%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22%EV +0.098%E +0.043%K +0.077%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-18 22:10
Pinnacle🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -3.07%E -1.76%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -0.345%E -0.153%K -0.276%G +0.000%1.9%2026-04-18 22:05
MyBookie.ag🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.89%EV -5.85%E -3.46%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.11%EV -1.23%E -0.552%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-18 22:09
1xBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%EV -2.51%E -1.43%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%EV -1.67%E -0.754%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-18 22:00
Caesars🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -5.85%E -3.46%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -1.67%E -0.754%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-18 22:08
Bovada🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.67%EV -5.85%E -3.46%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.33%EV -2.12%E -0.958%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-18 22:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.74%E -2.77%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.56%E -1.16%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-18 22:09
ReBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.74%E -2.77%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.56%E -1.16%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-18 20:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.74%E -2.77%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.56%E -1.16%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-18 22:10
TAB🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.29%E -3.11%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.56%E -1.16%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-18 22:05
Fliff🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.85%E -3.46%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -2.56%E -1.16%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-18 22:05
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.85%E -3.46%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -2.56%E -1.16%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-18 22:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.41%E -3.81%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.56%E -1.16%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-18 22:10
Neds🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.41%E -3.81%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.56%E -1.16%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-18 22:09
Dabble (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.41%E -3.81%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.56%E -1.16%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-18 22:05
DraftKings🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.30%EV -5.29%E -3.11%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.70%EV -3.00%E -1.37%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-18 22:10
FanDuel🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -3.07%E -1.76%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -4.33%E -2.01%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-18 22:10
NordicBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.85%E -3.46%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -4.33%E -2.01%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-18 22:05
Betsson🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.85%E -3.46%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -4.33%E -2.01%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-18 22:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -1.40%E -0.788%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -4.77%E -2.22%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-18 20:25
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.07%E -1.76%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.77%E -2.22%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-18 01:45
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.74%E -2.77%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.77%E -2.22%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-18 15:29
888sport🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.74%E -2.77%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.77%E -2.22%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-18 12:20
Bet Right🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.74%E -2.77%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.77%E -2.22%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-18 22:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.74%E -2.77%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.77%E -2.22%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-18 12:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.74%E -2.77%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.77%E -2.22%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-18 12:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.29%E -3.11%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.77%E -2.22%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 12:20
PlayUp🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.29%E -3.11%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.77%E -2.22%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 22:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.29%E -3.11%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.77%E -2.22%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 22:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.29%E -3.11%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.77%E -2.22%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 20:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.85%E -3.46%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.77%E -2.22%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-18 22:00
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.97%E -4.17%K -10.40%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.77%E -2.22%K -4.15%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 22:10
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.97%E -4.17%K -10.40%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.77%E -2.22%K -4.15%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 20:15
SportsBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.74%E -2.77%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.22%E -2.44%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-18 22:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -2.51%E -1.43%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -6.10%E -2.88%K -5.45%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-18 20:24
Unibet (NL)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -2.51%E -1.43%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -6.10%E -2.88%K -5.45%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-18 20:25
Grosvenor🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.07%E -1.76%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -6.10%E -2.88%K -5.45%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-18 20:25
Casumo🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.07%E -1.76%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -6.10%E -2.88%K -5.45%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-18 20:25
LeoVegas🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.07%E -1.76%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -6.10%E -2.88%K -5.45%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-18 20:25
Unibet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.07%E -1.76%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -6.10%E -2.88%K -5.45%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-18 20:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.07%E -1.76%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -6.10%E -2.88%K -5.45%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-18 20:25
Bally Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.07%E -1.76%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -6.10%E -2.88%K -5.45%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-18 20:25
betPARX🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.07%E -1.76%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -6.10%E -2.88%K -5.45%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-18 20:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.07%E -1.76%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -6.10%E -2.88%K -5.45%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-18 20:24
Coolbet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.51%E -1.43%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.99%E -3.33%K -6.35%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-18 22:10
BetRivers🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.07%E -1.76%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.99%E -3.33%K -6.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-18 20:25
TABtouch🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.07%E -1.76%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.99%E -3.33%K -6.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-18 20:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.07%E -1.76%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.99%E -3.33%K -6.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-18 20:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.07%E -1.76%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.99%E -3.33%K -6.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-18 20:25
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.62%E -2.09%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.99%E -3.33%K -6.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-18 01:44
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.29%E -3.11%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.99%E -3.33%K -6.35%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 22:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.29%E -3.11%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.99%E -3.33%K -6.35%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 22:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.07%E -1.76%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -9.20%E -4.49%K -8.77%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 22:10
Betway🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.07%E -1.76%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -9.20%E -4.49%K -8.77%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 22:09
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.29%E -3.11%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.20%E -4.49%K -8.77%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 22:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.40%EV -7.52%E -4.53%K -11.40%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.60%EV -12.30%E -6.21%K -12.55%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-18 22:10
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (10)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
ProphetX1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%1.0%2026-04-18 22:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%1.0%2026-04-18 22:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%1.0%2026-04-18 22:10
Matchbook1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78%1.1%2026-04-18 22:10
Polymarket1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-04-18 22:10
Novig1.74I 57.47%NM 56.72%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.28%1.3%2026-04-18 22:10
BetOpenly1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%1.9%2026-04-18 22:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%2.0%2026-04-18 22:10
Smarkets1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36%2.1%2026-04-18 22:10
Kalshi1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%2.2%2026-04-18 22:10