StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Cleveland Guardians v Baltimore Orioles

Matchstart: 2026-04-18 22:11 UTC

Slutresultat: Cleveland Guardians 4–2 Baltimore Orioles

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

59 spelbolag (19 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Cleveland Guardians (Hemma)

Prognos 55.71%1.80rättvist odds
EV -1.40%
Fördel -0.788%
Kelly -1.81%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.77

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
54.09%55.67%55.70%57.96%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.661.711.711.7760.24%58.32%58.48%56.50%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Baltimore Orioles (Borta)

Prognos 44.29%2.26rättvist odds
EV +3.20%
Fördel +1.37%
Kelly +2.40%
Tillväxt +0.077%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.33

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
42.04%44.33%44.30%45.91%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.982.152.152.3350.51%46.41%46.51%42.92%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Cleveland Guardians (Hemma): 55.71%; Baltimore Orioles (Borta): 44.29%. För Baltimore Orioles (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 2.26. 4 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 2.33, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +3.20%.

Spelbolagsodds (59 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼MarginalUppdaterat
Everygame🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -5.85%E -3.46%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV +3.20%E +1.37%K +2.40%G +0.077%2.1%2026-04-18 22:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%EV -5.29%E -3.11%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%EV +1.87%E +0.813%K +1.44%G +0.027%2.3%2026-04-18 22:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78%EV -4.18%E -2.43%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22%EV +0.098%E +0.043%K +0.077%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-18 22:10
BetUS🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78%EV -4.18%E -2.43%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22%EV +0.098%E +0.043%K +0.077%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-18 22:10
Pinnacle🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -3.07%E -1.76%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -0.345%E -0.153%K -0.276%G +0.000%1.9%2026-04-18 22:05
MyBookie.ag🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.89%EV -5.85%E -3.46%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.11%EV -1.23%E -0.552%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-18 22:09
1xBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%EV -2.51%E -1.43%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%EV -1.67%E -0.754%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-18 22:00
Caesars🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -5.85%E -3.46%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -1.67%E -0.754%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-18 22:08
Bovada🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.67%EV -5.85%E -3.46%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.33%EV -2.12%E -0.958%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-18 22:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.74%E -2.77%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.56%E -1.16%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-18 22:09
ReBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.74%E -2.77%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.56%E -1.16%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-18 20:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.74%E -2.77%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.56%E -1.16%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-18 22:10
TAB🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.29%E -3.11%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.56%E -1.16%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-18 22:05
Fliff🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.85%E -3.46%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -2.56%E -1.16%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-18 22:05
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.85%E -3.46%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -2.56%E -1.16%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-18 22:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.41%E -3.81%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.56%E -1.16%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-18 22:10
Neds🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.41%E -3.81%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.56%E -1.16%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-18 22:09
Dabble (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.41%E -3.81%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.56%E -1.16%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-18 22:05
DraftKings🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.30%EV -5.29%E -3.11%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.70%EV -3.00%E -1.37%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-18 22:10
FanDuel🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -3.07%E -1.76%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -4.33%E -2.01%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-18 22:10
NordicBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.85%E -3.46%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -4.33%E -2.01%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-18 22:05
Betsson🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.85%E -3.46%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -4.33%E -2.01%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-18 22:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -1.40%E -0.788%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -4.77%E -2.22%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-18 20:25
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.07%E -1.76%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.77%E -2.22%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-18 01:45
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.74%E -2.77%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.77%E -2.22%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-18 15:29
888sport🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.74%E -2.77%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.77%E -2.22%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-18 12:20
Bet Right🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.74%E -2.77%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.77%E -2.22%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-18 22:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.74%E -2.77%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.77%E -2.22%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-18 12:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.74%E -2.77%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.77%E -2.22%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-18 12:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.29%E -3.11%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.77%E -2.22%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 12:20
PlayUp🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.29%E -3.11%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.77%E -2.22%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 22:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.29%E -3.11%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.77%E -2.22%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 22:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.29%E -3.11%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.77%E -2.22%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 20:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.85%E -3.46%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.77%E -2.22%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-18 22:00
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.97%E -4.17%K -10.40%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.77%E -2.22%K -4.15%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 22:10
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.97%E -4.17%K -10.40%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.77%E -2.22%K -4.15%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 20:15
SportsBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.74%E -2.77%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.22%E -2.44%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-18 22:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -2.51%E -1.43%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -6.10%E -2.88%K -5.45%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-18 20:24
Unibet (NL)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -2.51%E -1.43%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -6.10%E -2.88%K -5.45%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-18 20:25
Grosvenor🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.07%E -1.76%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -6.10%E -2.88%K -5.45%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-18 20:25
Casumo🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.07%E -1.76%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -6.10%E -2.88%K -5.45%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-18 20:25
LeoVegas🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.07%E -1.76%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -6.10%E -2.88%K -5.45%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-18 20:25
Unibet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.07%E -1.76%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -6.10%E -2.88%K -5.45%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-18 20:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.07%E -1.76%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -6.10%E -2.88%K -5.45%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-18 20:25
Bally Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.07%E -1.76%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -6.10%E -2.88%K -5.45%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-18 20:25
betPARX🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.07%E -1.76%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -6.10%E -2.88%K -5.45%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-18 20:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.07%E -1.76%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -6.10%E -2.88%K -5.45%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-18 20:24
Coolbet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.51%E -1.43%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.99%E -3.33%K -6.35%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-18 22:10
BetRivers🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.07%E -1.76%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.99%E -3.33%K -6.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-18 20:25
TABtouch🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.07%E -1.76%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.99%E -3.33%K -6.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-18 20:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.07%E -1.76%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.99%E -3.33%K -6.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-18 20:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.07%E -1.76%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.99%E -3.33%K -6.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-18 20:25
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.62%E -2.09%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.99%E -3.33%K -6.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-18 01:44
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.29%E -3.11%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.99%E -3.33%K -6.35%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 22:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.29%E -3.11%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.99%E -3.33%K -6.35%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 22:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.07%E -1.76%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -9.20%E -4.49%K -8.77%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 22:10
Betway🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.07%E -1.76%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -9.20%E -4.49%K -8.77%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 22:09
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.29%E -3.11%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.20%E -4.49%K -8.77%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 22:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.40%EV -7.52%E -4.53%K -11.40%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.60%EV -12.30%E -6.21%K -12.55%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-18 22:10
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (10)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
ProphetX1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%1.0%2026-04-18 22:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%1.0%2026-04-18 22:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%1.0%2026-04-18 22:10
Matchbook1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78%1.1%2026-04-18 22:10
Polymarket1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-04-18 22:10
Novig1.74I 57.47%NM 56.72%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.28%1.3%2026-04-18 22:10
BetOpenly1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%1.9%2026-04-18 22:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%2.0%2026-04-18 22:10
Smarkets1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36%2.1%2026-04-18 22:10
Kalshi1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%2.2%2026-04-18 22:10