مدرسة الاحتمالات

Cleveland Guardians v Baltimore Orioles

البداية: 2026-04-18 22:11 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Cleveland Guardians 4–2 Baltimore Orioles

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

59 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Cleveland Guardians (المضيف)

التنبؤ 55.71%1.80السعر العادل
EV -1.40%
الأفضلية -0.788%
Kelly -1.81%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.77

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
54.09%55.67%55.70%57.96%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.661.711.711.7760.24%58.32%58.48%56.50%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Baltimore Orioles (الضيف)

التنبؤ 44.29%2.26السعر العادل
EV +3.20%
الأفضلية +1.37%
Kelly +2.40%
النمو +0.077%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.33

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
42.04%44.33%44.30%45.91%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.982.152.152.3350.51%46.41%46.51%42.92%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (59 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
Everygame1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -5.85%E -3.46%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV +3.20%E +1.37%K +2.40%G +0.077%2.1%2026-04-18 22:05
BetOnline.ag1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%EV -5.29%E -3.11%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%EV +1.87%E +0.813%K +1.44%G +0.027%2.3%2026-04-18 22:10
LowVig.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78%EV -4.18%E -2.43%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22%EV +0.098%E +0.043%K +0.077%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-18 22:10
BetUS1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78%EV -4.18%E -2.43%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22%EV +0.098%E +0.043%K +0.077%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-18 22:10
Pinnacle1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -3.07%E -1.76%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -0.345%E -0.153%K -0.276%G +0.000%1.9%2026-04-18 22:05
MyBookie.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 56.89%EV -5.85%E -3.46%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.11%EV -1.23%E -0.552%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-18 22:09
1xBet1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%EV -2.51%E -1.43%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%EV -1.67%E -0.754%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-18 22:00
Caesars1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -5.85%E -3.46%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -1.67%E -0.754%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-18 22:08
Bovada1.69I 59.17%NM 56.67%EV -5.85%E -3.46%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.33%EV -2.12%E -0.958%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-18 22:10
PointsBet (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.74%E -2.77%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.56%E -1.16%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-18 22:09
ReBet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.74%E -2.77%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.56%E -1.16%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-18 20:05
Hard Rock Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.74%E -2.77%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.56%E -1.16%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-18 22:10
TAB1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.29%E -3.11%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.56%E -1.16%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-18 22:05
Fliff1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.85%E -3.46%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -2.56%E -1.16%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-18 22:05
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.85%E -3.46%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -2.56%E -1.16%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-18 22:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.41%E -3.81%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.56%E -1.16%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-18 22:10
Neds1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.41%E -3.81%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.56%E -1.16%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-18 22:09
Dabble (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.41%E -3.81%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.56%E -1.16%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-18 22:05
DraftKings1.70I 58.82%NM 56.30%EV -5.29%E -3.11%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.70%EV -3.00%E -1.37%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-18 22:10
FanDuel1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -3.07%E -1.76%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -4.33%E -2.01%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-18 22:10
NordicBet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.85%E -3.46%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -4.33%E -2.01%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-18 22:05
Betsson1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.85%E -3.46%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -4.33%E -2.01%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-18 22:05
Svenska Spel1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -1.40%E -0.788%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -4.77%E -2.22%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-18 20:25
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.07%E -1.76%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.77%E -2.22%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-18 01:45
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.74%E -2.77%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.77%E -2.22%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-18 15:29
888sport1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.74%E -2.77%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.77%E -2.22%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-18 12:20
Bet Right1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.74%E -2.77%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.77%E -2.22%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-18 22:09
Mr Green (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.74%E -2.77%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.77%E -2.22%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-18 12:20
888sport (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.74%E -2.77%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.77%E -2.22%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-18 12:20
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.29%E -3.11%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.77%E -2.22%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 12:20
PlayUp1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.29%E -3.11%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.77%E -2.22%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 22:05
Marathon Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.29%E -3.11%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.77%E -2.22%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 22:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.29%E -3.11%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.77%E -2.22%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 20:35
Unibet (FR)1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.85%E -3.46%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.77%E -2.22%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-18 22:00
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.97%E -4.17%K -10.40%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.77%E -2.22%K -4.15%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 22:10
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.97%E -4.17%K -10.40%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.77%E -2.22%K -4.15%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 20:15
SportsBet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.74%E -2.77%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.22%E -2.44%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-18 22:10
Unibet (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -2.51%E -1.43%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -6.10%E -2.88%K -5.45%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-18 20:24
Unibet (NL)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -2.51%E -1.43%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -6.10%E -2.88%K -5.45%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-18 20:25
Grosvenor1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.07%E -1.76%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -6.10%E -2.88%K -5.45%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-18 20:25
Casumo1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.07%E -1.76%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -6.10%E -2.88%K -5.45%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-18 20:25
LeoVegas1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.07%E -1.76%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -6.10%E -2.88%K -5.45%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-18 20:25
Unibet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.07%E -1.76%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -6.10%E -2.88%K -5.45%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-18 20:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.07%E -1.76%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -6.10%E -2.88%K -5.45%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-18 20:25
Bally Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.07%E -1.76%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -6.10%E -2.88%K -5.45%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-18 20:25
betPARX1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.07%E -1.76%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -6.10%E -2.88%K -5.45%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-18 20:25
ATG (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.07%E -1.76%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -6.10%E -2.88%K -5.45%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-18 20:24
Coolbet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.51%E -1.43%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.99%E -3.33%K -6.35%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-18 22:10
BetRivers1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.07%E -1.76%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.99%E -3.33%K -6.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-18 20:25
TABtouch1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.07%E -1.76%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.99%E -3.33%K -6.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-18 20:25
Virgin Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.07%E -1.76%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.99%E -3.33%K -6.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-18 20:25
LiveScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.07%E -1.76%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.99%E -3.33%K -6.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-18 20:25
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.62%E -2.09%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.99%E -3.33%K -6.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-18 01:44
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.29%E -3.11%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.99%E -3.33%K -6.35%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 22:10
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.29%E -3.11%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.99%E -3.33%K -6.35%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 22:00
Winamax (DE)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.07%E -1.76%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -9.20%E -4.49%K -8.77%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 22:10
Betway1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.07%E -1.76%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -9.20%E -4.49%K -8.77%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 22:09
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.29%E -3.11%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.20%E -4.49%K -8.77%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 22:10
Winamax (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 54.40%EV -7.52%E -4.53%K -11.40%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.60%EV -12.30%E -6.21%K -12.55%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-18 22:10
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
ProphetX1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%1.0%2026-04-18 22:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%1.0%2026-04-18 22:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%1.0%2026-04-18 22:10
Matchbook1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78%1.1%2026-04-18 22:10
Polymarket1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-04-18 22:10
Novig1.74I 57.47%NM 56.72%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.28%1.3%2026-04-18 22:10
BetOpenly1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%1.9%2026-04-18 22:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%2.0%2026-04-18 22:10
Smarkets1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36%2.1%2026-04-18 22:10
Kalshi1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%2.2%2026-04-18 22:10