Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cleveland Guardians v Arizona Diamondbacks

2026-08-02 17:41 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

58 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cleveland Guardians (Local)

Prediction 56.24%1.78fair odd
EV -1.59%
Edge -0.906%
Kelly -2.11%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.26%56.27%56.27%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.691.691.7561.73%59.09%59.35%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Arizona Diamondbacks (Visit)

Prediction 43.76%2.29fair odd
EV -0.220%
Edge -0.096%
Kelly -0.172%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.28

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.86%43.73%43.73%44.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.192.202.2847.62%45.66%45.45%43.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Cleveland Guardians (Local): 56.24%; Arizona Diamondbacks (Visit): 43.76%. For Arizona Diamondbacks (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.29. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.28, with an expected value of -0.220%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%EV -1.59%E -0.906%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%EV -2.85%E -1.28%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-01 18:32
GTbets1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.15%E -1.23%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -1.53%E -0.681%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-01 18:40
Hard Rock Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.15%E -1.23%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -1.53%E -0.681%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-01 19:30
BetOnline.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.15%E -1.23%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.85%E -1.28%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-01 18:15
LowVig.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.15%E -1.23%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.85%E -1.28%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-01 18:15
Pinnacle1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.15%E -1.23%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.85%E -1.28%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-01 22:35
BetUS1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.15%E -1.23%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.85%E -1.28%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-01 23:20
FanDuel1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -3.27%E -1.90%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -0.220%E -0.096%K -0.172%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-01 18:15
Neds1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.27%E -1.90%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.91%E -2.75%K -5.14%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-01 21:29
Ladbrokes (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.27%E -1.90%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.91%E -2.75%K -5.14%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-01 21:30
Betway1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.83%E -2.24%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.72%E -1.69%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-01 18:14
PointsBet (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.83%E -2.24%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.72%E -1.69%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-01 18:19
MyBookie.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.83%E -2.24%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.72%E -1.69%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-01 23:34
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.83%E -2.24%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.72%E -1.69%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-01 20:15
BetAnything1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.83%E -2.24%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.72%E -1.69%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-02 01:20
Caesars1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -3.83%E -2.24%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.60%E -2.11%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-01 20:45
Fliff1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.83%E -2.24%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.91%E -2.75%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-01 21:25
BetRivers1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -4.40%E -2.59%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV -2.41%E -1.08%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-01 23:30
Svenska Spel1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -4.40%E -2.59%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV -2.41%E -1.08%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-01 23:29
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.40%E -2.59%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.72%E -1.69%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-01 21:29
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.40%E -2.59%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.72%E -1.69%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-01 21:30
Unibet (NL)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.40%E -2.59%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.72%E -1.69%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-01 23:30
Unibet (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.40%E -2.59%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.72%E -1.69%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-01 23:29
Unibet (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.40%E -2.59%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.60%E -2.11%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-01 20:50
DraftKings1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.40%E -2.59%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.60%E -2.11%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-01 20:45
Marathon Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.40%E -2.59%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.91%E -2.75%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 23:20
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.40%E -2.59%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.10%E -3.86%K -7.36%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-01 19:45
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -4.96%E -2.93%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -4.60%E -2.11%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-01 21:29
ReBet1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.96%E -2.93%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.91%E -2.75%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-01 20:49
Bovada1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -5.52%E -3.29%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -2.41%E -1.08%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-01 21:04
PlayUp1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.52%E -3.29%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.72%E -1.69%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 00:55
Bet Right1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.52%E -3.29%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.72%E -1.69%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-01 20:49
Casumo1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.52%E -3.29%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.72%E -1.69%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-01 23:30
Virgin Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.52%E -3.29%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.72%E -1.69%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-01 23:29
LeoVegas (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.52%E -3.29%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.72%E -1.69%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-01 23:29
LiveScore Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.52%E -3.29%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.72%E -1.69%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-01 23:29
Unibet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.52%E -3.29%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.72%E -1.69%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-01 23:30
TABtouch1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.52%E -3.29%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.72%E -1.69%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-01 23:30
Bally Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.52%E -3.29%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.72%E -1.69%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-01 23:30
ATG (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.52%E -3.29%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.72%E -1.69%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-01 23:30
betPARX1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.52%E -3.29%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.72%E -1.69%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-01 23:30
Coolbet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.52%E -3.29%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.72%E -1.69%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-01 23:44
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.52%E -3.29%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.60%E -2.11%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 23:45
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.52%E -3.29%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.60%E -2.11%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 23:45
Betclic (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.52%E -3.29%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.91%E -2.75%K -5.14%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-01 20:50
Winamax (DE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.52%E -3.29%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.91%E -2.75%K -5.14%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-01 19:05
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.08%E -3.64%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.72%E -1.69%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 18:20
Betr (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.08%E -3.64%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.72%E -1.69%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 18:20
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.08%E -3.64%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.72%E -1.69%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 18:20
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.08%E -3.64%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.72%E -1.69%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 18:19
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.08%E -3.64%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.72%E -1.69%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 18:39
betano_uk1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.08%E -3.64%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.91%E -2.75%K -5.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-01 18:15
Bet Victor1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.08%E -3.64%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.91%E -2.75%K -5.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-01 18:13
SportsBet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.21%E -4.37%K -11.09%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.72%E -1.69%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-01 18:14
Paddy Power1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.21%E -4.37%K -11.09%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.72%E -1.69%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-01 18:12
Unibet (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.21%E -4.37%K -11.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -8.10%E -3.86%K -7.36%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-01 23:45
Winamax (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.15%EV -7.77%E -4.74%K -12.14%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.85%EV -8.10%E -3.86%K -7.36%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-01 19:10
Grosvenor1.62I 61.73%NM 56.68%EV -8.90%E -5.49%K -14.35%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.32%EV -7.22%E -3.41%K -6.45%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-01 23:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%0.6%2026-08-02 01:45
Polymarket1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-08-01 23:15
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-08-01 22:50
ProphetX1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%1.9%2026-08-02 01:15
Matchbook1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%2.9%2026-08-01 22:35
Smarkets1.65I 60.61%NM 55.76%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.24%8.7%2026-08-02 01:45