Language:English
Cleveland Guardians v Arizona Diamondbacks
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Cleveland Guardians (Local)
Prediction 62.37%1.60fair odd
EV -1.45%
Edge -0.919%
Kelly -2.50%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.58
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.74%62.10%62.50%63.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.471.541.531.5868.03%65.11%65.36%63.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Arizona Diamondbacks (Visit)
Prediction 37.63%2.66fair odd
EV +0.090%
Edge +0.034%
Kelly +0.055%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.66
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.75%37.90%37.50%40.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.532.552.6643.48%39.60%39.22%37.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cleveland Guardians (Local): 62.37%; Arizona Diamondbacks (Visit): 37.63%. For Arizona Diamondbacks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.658. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.660, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.090%.
Sportsbook Odds (65 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.18%EV -3.32%E -2.14%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.82%EV +0.090%E +0.034%K +0.055%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-02 17:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.80%EV -2.08%E -1.32%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 37.20%EV -0.286%E -0.108%K -0.173%G +0.000% | 1.4% | 2026-08-02 17:30 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.25%EV -3.95%E -2.56%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.75%EV -0.286%E -0.108%K -0.173%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-08-02 17:29 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.86%EV -2.70%E -1.73%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.14%EV -0.662%E -0.251%K -0.404%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-02 17:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.53%EV -2.08%E -1.32%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.47%EV -1.41%E -0.540%K -0.873%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-08-02 17:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.98%EV -3.95%E -2.56%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.02%EV -1.41%E -0.540%K -0.873%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-02 17:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.59%EV -2.70%E -1.73%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 37.41%EV -1.79%E -0.686%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-02 17:29 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.59%EV -2.70%E -1.73%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 37.41%EV -1.79%E -0.686%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-02 17:24 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -3.32%E -2.14%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -2.17%E -0.834%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-02 17:29 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -3.32%E -2.14%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -2.17%E -0.834%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-02 17:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -3.32%E -2.14%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -2.17%E -0.834%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-02 17:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.57%E -2.99%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.17%E -0.834%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-02 17:25 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.57%E -2.99%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.17%E -0.834%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-02 17:34 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.02%EV -1.45%E -0.919%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.98%EV -2.92%E -1.13%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-02 17:26 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -4.57%E -2.99%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -2.92%E -1.13%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-02 17:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -4.57%E -2.99%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -2.92%E -1.13%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-02 17:23 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.84%EV -5.19%E -3.42%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.16%EV -3.30%E -1.28%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-02 17:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.95%E -2.56%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.05%E -1.59%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-02 17:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.95%E -2.56%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.05%E -1.59%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-02 17:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.95%E -2.56%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.05%E -1.59%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-02 17:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.57%E -2.99%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.05%E -1.59%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-02 17:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.57%E -2.99%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.05%E -1.59%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-02 17:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.57%E -2.99%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.05%E -1.59%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-02 17:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.57%E -2.99%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.05%E -1.59%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-02 17:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.57%E -2.99%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.05%E -1.59%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-02 17:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.57%E -2.99%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.05%E -1.59%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-02 17:29 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.57%E -2.99%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.05%E -1.59%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-02 17:29 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.57%E -2.99%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.05%E -1.59%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-02 17:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.57%E -2.99%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.05%E -1.59%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-02 17:34 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.57%E -2.99%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.05%E -1.59%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-02 17:29 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.19%E -3.42%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.05%E -1.59%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-02 17:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.19%E -3.42%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.05%E -1.59%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-02 17:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.82%E -3.85%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.05%E -1.59%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-02 17:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.44%E -4.29%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.05%E -1.59%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-02 17:23 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.44%E -4.29%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.05%E -1.59%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-02 17:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -5.19%E -3.42%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -4.80%E -1.90%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 17:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -4.57%E -2.99%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -5.18%E -2.05%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-02 17:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.32%E -2.14%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.93%E -2.37%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-02 17:39 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.32%E -2.14%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.93%E -2.37%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-02 17:34 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.95%E -2.56%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.93%E -2.37%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-02 17:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.57%E -2.99%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.93%E -2.37%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-02 17:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.57%E -2.99%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.93%E -2.37%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-02 17:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.57%E -2.99%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.93%E -2.37%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-02 17:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.57%E -2.99%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.93%E -2.37%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-02 17:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.57%E -2.99%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.93%E -2.37%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-02 17:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.57%E -2.99%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.93%E -2.37%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-02 17:39 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.19%E -3.42%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.93%E -2.37%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 17:29 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.19%E -3.42%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.93%E -2.37%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 17:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -5.82%E -3.85%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -5.93%E -2.37%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-02 17:34 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.44%E -4.29%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.93%E -2.37%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-02 17:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.44%E -4.29%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.93%E -2.37%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-02 17:34 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.95%E -2.56%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.68%E -2.69%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 17:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.95%E -2.56%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.68%E -2.69%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 17:34 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -1.45%E -0.919%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -7.81%E -3.19%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-02 17:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -2.08%E -1.32%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -7.81%E -3.19%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-02 17:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -2.70%E -1.73%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.81%E -3.19%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-02 17:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.32%E -2.14%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.81%E -3.19%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 17:24 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.32%E -2.14%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.81%E -3.19%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 17:24 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.18%EV -7.07%E -4.74%K -14.42%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.82%EV -7.81%E -3.19%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-02 17:38 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.50%EV -8.31%E -5.66%K -17.69%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -7.81%E -3.19%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-02 17:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -2.70%E -1.73%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -9.69%E -4.04%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 17:39 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -2.08%E -1.32%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -10.45%E -4.39%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-02 14:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -3.95%E -2.56%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -11.57%E -4.93%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-02 17:40 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -3.32%E -2.14%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -13.46%E -5.85%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-02 17:34 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -3.32%E -2.14%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -13.46%E -5.85%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-02 17:34 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.76% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.24% | 0.2% | 2026-08-02 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60% | 0.5% | 2026-08-02 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60% | 0.5% | 2026-08-02 17:40 |
| Novig◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.23% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.77% | 0.7% | 2026-08-02 17:35 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68% | 0.9% | 2026-08-02 17:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68% | 0.9% | 2026-08-02 17:30 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.15% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.85% | 0.9% | 2026-08-02 17:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.23% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.77% | 1.1% | 2026-08-02 17:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.87% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.13% | 1.7% | 2026-08-02 17:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.68% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.32% | 2.3% | 2026-08-02 17:30 |
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