Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Cleveland Guardians v Arizona Diamondbacks

2026-08-02 17:41 UTC — MLB

Résultat du match

58 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Cleveland Guardians (Local)

Prévision 56.24%1.78cote équitable
EV -1.59%
Avantage -0.906%
Kelly -2.11%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
55.26%56.30%56.27%57.33%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.611.691.681.7562.11%59.20%59.52%57.14%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Arizona Diamondbacks (Visiteur)

Prévision 43.76%2.29cote équitable
EV -0.220%
Avantage -0.096%
Kelly -0.172%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.28

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.67%43.70%43.73%44.74%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.102.202.202.2847.62%45.52%45.45%43.86%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Cleveland Guardians (Local) : 56.24% ; Arizona Diamondbacks (Visiteur) : 43.76%. Pour Arizona Diamondbacks (Visiteur), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 2.29. Aucun opérateur admissible ne propose de cote supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure cote disponible est 2.28, pour une espérance de -0.220% ; elle ne produit pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (58 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
1xBet1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%EV -1.59%E -0.906%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%EV -2.85%E -1.28%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-01 18:32
GTbets1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.15%E -1.23%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -1.53%E -0.681%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-01 18:40
Hard Rock Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.15%E -1.23%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -1.53%E -0.681%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-01 19:30
BetOnline.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.15%E -1.23%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.85%E -1.28%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-01 18:15
LowVig.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.15%E -1.23%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.85%E -1.28%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-01 18:15
Pinnacle1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.15%E -1.23%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.85%E -1.28%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-01 22:35
BetUS1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.15%E -1.23%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.85%E -1.28%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-01 23:20
FanDuel1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -3.27%E -1.90%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -0.220%E -0.096%K -0.172%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-01 18:15
Neds1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.27%E -1.90%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.91%E -2.75%K -5.14%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-01 21:29
Ladbrokes (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.27%E -1.90%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.91%E -2.75%K -5.14%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-01 21:30
Betway1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.83%E -2.24%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.72%E -1.69%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-01 18:14
PointsBet (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.83%E -2.24%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.72%E -1.69%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-01 18:19
MyBookie.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.83%E -2.24%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.72%E -1.69%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-01 23:34
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.83%E -2.24%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.72%E -1.69%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-01 20:15
BetAnything1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.83%E -2.24%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.72%E -1.69%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-02 01:20
Caesars1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -3.83%E -2.24%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.60%E -2.11%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-01 20:45
Fliff1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.83%E -2.24%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.91%E -2.75%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-01 21:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.40%E -2.59%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.72%E -1.69%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-01 21:29
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.40%E -2.59%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.72%E -1.69%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-01 21:30
Unibet (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.40%E -2.59%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.60%E -2.11%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-01 20:50
DraftKings1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.40%E -2.59%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.60%E -2.11%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-01 20:45
PlayUp1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.40%E -2.59%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.91%E -2.75%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 02:34
Marathon Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.40%E -2.59%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.91%E -2.75%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 23:20
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.40%E -2.59%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.10%E -3.86%K -7.36%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-01 19:45
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -4.96%E -2.93%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -4.60%E -2.11%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-01 21:29
ReBet1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.96%E -2.93%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.91%E -2.75%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-01 20:49
Unibet (NL)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -5.52%E -3.29%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -1.53%E -0.681%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-02 01:49
Unibet (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -5.52%E -3.29%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -1.53%E -0.681%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-02 01:50
BetRivers1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -5.52%E -3.29%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -1.53%E -0.681%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-02 01:49
Svenska Spel1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -5.52%E -3.29%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -1.53%E -0.681%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-02 01:50
Bovada1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -5.52%E -3.29%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -2.41%E -1.08%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-01 21:04
Bet Right1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.52%E -3.29%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.72%E -1.69%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-01 20:49
Coolbet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.52%E -3.29%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.72%E -1.69%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-01 23:44
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.52%E -3.29%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.60%E -2.11%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 23:45
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.52%E -3.29%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.60%E -2.11%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 23:45
Betclic (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.52%E -3.29%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.91%E -2.75%K -5.14%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-01 20:50
Winamax (DE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.52%E -3.29%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.91%E -2.75%K -5.14%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-01 19:05
Casumo1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -6.08%E -3.64%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -2.41%E -1.08%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 01:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -6.08%E -3.64%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -2.41%E -1.08%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 01:49
Unibet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -6.08%E -3.64%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -2.41%E -1.08%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 01:49
Bally Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -6.08%E -3.64%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -2.41%E -1.08%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 01:50
ATG (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -6.08%E -3.64%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -2.41%E -1.08%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 01:49
betPARX1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -6.08%E -3.64%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -2.41%E -1.08%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 01:50
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.08%E -3.64%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.72%E -1.69%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 18:20
Betr (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.08%E -3.64%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.72%E -1.69%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 18:20
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.08%E -3.64%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.72%E -1.69%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 18:20
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.08%E -3.64%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.72%E -1.69%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 18:19
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.08%E -3.64%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.72%E -1.69%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 18:39
betano_uk1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.08%E -3.64%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.91%E -2.75%K -5.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-01 18:15
Bet Victor1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.08%E -3.64%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.91%E -2.75%K -5.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-01 18:13
Virgin Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.65%E -4.00%K -10.07%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.41%E -1.08%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 01:49
LiveScore Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.65%E -4.00%K -10.07%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.41%E -1.08%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 01:50
TABtouch1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.65%E -4.00%K -10.07%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.41%E -1.08%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 01:49
SportsBet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.21%E -4.37%K -11.09%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.72%E -1.69%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-01 18:14
Paddy Power1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.21%E -4.37%K -11.09%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.72%E -1.69%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-01 18:12
Unibet (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.21%E -4.37%K -11.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -8.10%E -3.86%K -7.36%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-01 23:45
Winamax (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.15%EV -7.77%E -4.74%K -12.14%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.85%EV -8.10%E -3.86%K -7.36%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-01 19:10
Grosvenor1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -9.46%E -5.87%K -15.51%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -5.91%E -2.75%K -5.14%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-02 01:49
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Novig1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%0.6%2026-08-02 02:19
Polymarket1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-08-01 23:15
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-08-01 22:50
ProphetX1.74I 57.47%NM 56.50%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.50%1.7%2026-08-02 02:35
Matchbook1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%2.9%2026-08-01 22:35
Smarkets1.65I 60.61%NM 56.46%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.54%7.3%2026-08-02 02:50