Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Cleveland Guardians v Arizona Diamondbacks

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-02 17:42 UTC

Score final : Cleveland Guardians 5–0 Arizona Diamondbacks

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

65 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Cleveland Guardians (Local)

Prévision 62.37%1.60cote équitable
EV -1.45%
Avantage -0.919%
Kelly -2.50%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.58

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
59.74%62.10%62.50%63.25%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.471.541.531.5868.03%65.11%65.36%63.29%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Arizona Diamondbacks (Visiteur)

Prévision 37.63%2.66cote équitable
EV +0.090%
Avantage +0.034%
Kelly +0.055%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.66

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.75%37.90%37.50%40.26%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.302.532.552.6643.48%39.60%39.22%37.59%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Cleveland Guardians (Local) : 62.37% ; Arizona Diamondbacks (Visiteur) : 37.63%. Pour Arizona Diamondbacks (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.658. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 2.660, soit une espérance positive de +0.090%.

Cotes des opérateurs (65 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 63.18%EV -3.32%E -2.14%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.82%EV +0.090%E +0.034%K +0.055%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-02 17:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 62.80%EV -2.08%E -1.32%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 37.20%EV -0.286%E -0.108%K -0.173%G +0.000%1.4%2026-08-02 17:30
Everygame🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 63.25%EV -3.95%E -2.56%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.75%EV -0.286%E -0.108%K -0.173%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-02 17:29
GTbets🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.86%EV -2.70%E -1.73%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.14%EV -0.662%E -0.251%K -0.404%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-02 17:29
FanDuel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 62.53%EV -2.08%E -1.32%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.47%EV -1.41%E -0.540%K -0.873%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-02 17:40
BetAnything🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.98%EV -3.95%E -2.56%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.02%EV -1.41%E -0.540%K -0.873%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-02 17:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.59%EV -2.70%E -1.73%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.41%EV -1.79%E -0.686%K -1.11%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-02 17:29
LowVig.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.59%EV -2.70%E -1.73%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.41%EV -1.79%E -0.686%K -1.11%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-02 17:24
BetUS🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -3.32%E -2.14%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -2.17%E -0.834%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-02 17:29
BetRivers🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -3.32%E -2.14%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -2.17%E -0.834%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-02 17:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -3.32%E -2.14%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -2.17%E -0.834%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-02 17:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.57%E -2.99%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.17%E -0.834%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-02 17:25
ReBet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.57%E -2.99%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.17%E -0.834%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-02 17:34
1xBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 62.02%EV -1.45%E -0.919%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.98%EV -2.92%E -1.13%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-02 17:26
MyBookie.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -4.57%E -2.99%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -2.92%E -1.13%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-02 17:40
Caesars🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -4.57%E -2.99%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -2.92%E -1.13%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-02 17:23
DraftKings🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.84%EV -5.19%E -3.42%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.16%EV -3.30%E -1.28%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 17:30
theScore Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.95%E -2.56%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.05%E -1.59%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-02 17:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.95%E -2.56%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.05%E -1.59%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-02 17:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.95%E -2.56%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.05%E -1.59%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-02 17:30
Bovada🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.57%E -2.99%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.05%E -1.59%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-02 17:29
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.57%E -2.99%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.05%E -1.59%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-02 17:25
Casumo🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.57%E -2.99%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.05%E -1.59%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-02 17:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.57%E -2.99%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.05%E -1.59%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-02 17:29
Unibet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.57%E -2.99%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.05%E -1.59%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-02 17:30
Bally Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.57%E -2.99%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.05%E -1.59%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-02 17:29
ATG (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.57%E -2.99%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.05%E -1.59%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-02 17:29
betPARX🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.57%E -2.99%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.05%E -1.59%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-02 17:30
LeoVegas🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.57%E -2.99%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.05%E -1.59%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-02 17:34
Fanatics🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.57%E -2.99%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.05%E -1.59%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-02 17:29
Virgin Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.19%E -3.42%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.05%E -1.59%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 17:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.19%E -3.42%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.05%E -1.59%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 17:30
TABtouch🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.82%E -3.85%K -11.41%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.05%E -1.59%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 17:30
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.44%E -4.29%K -12.88%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.05%E -1.59%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-02 17:23
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.44%E -4.29%K -12.88%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.05%E -1.59%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-02 17:39
SportsBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -5.19%E -3.42%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -4.80%E -1.90%K -3.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 17:40
Coolbet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -4.57%E -2.99%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -5.18%E -2.05%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 17:39
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.32%E -2.14%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.93%E -2.37%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-02 17:39
TAB🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.32%E -2.14%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.93%E -2.37%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-02 17:34
Bet Right🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.95%E -2.56%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.93%E -2.37%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-02 17:30
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.57%E -2.99%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.93%E -2.37%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 17:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.57%E -2.99%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.93%E -2.37%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 17:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.57%E -2.99%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.93%E -2.37%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 17:29
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.57%E -2.99%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.93%E -2.37%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 17:25
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.57%E -2.99%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.93%E -2.37%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 17:25
Marathon Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.57%E -2.99%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.93%E -2.37%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 17:39
Winamax (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.19%E -3.42%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.93%E -2.37%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-02 17:29
Dabble (AU)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.19%E -3.42%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.93%E -2.37%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-02 17:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -5.82%E -3.85%K -11.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -5.93%E -2.37%K -3.95%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 17:34
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.44%E -4.29%K -12.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.93%E -2.37%K -3.95%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-02 17:40
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.44%E -4.29%K -12.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.93%E -2.37%K -3.95%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-02 17:34
Betsson🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.95%E -2.56%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.68%E -2.69%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 17:34
NordicBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.95%E -2.56%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.68%E -2.69%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 17:34
Unibet (UK)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -1.45%E -0.919%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -7.81%E -3.19%K -5.39%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-02 17:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -2.08%E -1.32%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -7.81%E -3.19%K -5.39%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-02 17:40
Fliff🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -2.70%E -1.73%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.81%E -3.19%K -5.39%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-02 17:35
Neds🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.32%E -2.14%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.81%E -3.19%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 17:24
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.32%E -2.14%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.81%E -3.19%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 17:24
Betclic (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.18%EV -7.07%E -4.74%K -14.42%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.82%EV -7.81%E -3.19%K -5.39%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-02 17:38
Grosvenor🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.50%EV -8.31%E -5.66%K -17.69%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -7.81%E -3.19%K -5.39%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-02 17:29
Betway🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -2.70%E -1.73%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -9.69%E -4.04%K -6.92%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-02 17:39
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -2.08%E -1.32%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -10.45%E -4.39%K -7.57%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-02 14:49
Winamax (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -3.95%E -2.56%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -11.57%E -4.93%K -8.57%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-02 17:40
betano_uk🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -3.32%E -2.14%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -13.46%E -5.85%K -10.35%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-02 17:34
Bet Victor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -3.32%E -2.14%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -13.46%E -5.85%K -10.35%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-02 17:34
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
ProphetX◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.76%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.24%0.2%2026-08-02 17:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60%0.5%2026-08-02 17:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60%0.5%2026-08-02 17:40
Novig◎1.57I 63.69%NM 63.23%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.77%0.7%2026-08-02 17:35
Polymarket◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-08-02 17:30
Kalshi◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-08-02 17:30
BetOpenly◎1.62I 61.73%NM 61.15%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.85%0.9%2026-08-02 17:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.23%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.77%1.1%2026-08-02 17:40
Matchbook◎1.59I 62.89%NM 61.87%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.13%1.7%2026-08-02 17:40
Smarkets◎1.56I 64.10%NM 62.68%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.32%2.3%2026-08-02 17:30