Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Cleveland Guardians v Arizona Diamondbacks

Início: 2026-08-02 17:42 UTC

Final: Cleveland Guardians 5–0 Arizona Diamondbacks

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

65 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Cleveland Guardians (Local)

Previsão 62.37%1.60odd justa
EV -1.45%
Vantagem -0.919%
Kelly -2.50%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.58

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
59.74%62.10%62.50%63.25%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.471.541.531.5868.03%65.11%65.36%63.29%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Arizona Diamondbacks (Visitante)

Previsão 37.63%2.66odd justa
EV +0.090%
Vantagem +0.034%
Kelly +0.055%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.66

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
36.75%37.90%37.50%40.26%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.302.532.552.6643.48%39.60%39.22%37.59%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Cleveland Guardians (Local): 62.37%; Arizona Diamondbacks (Visitante): 37.63%. Para Arizona Diamondbacks (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.658. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.660, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.090%.

Odds das casas de apostas (65 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 63.18%EV -3.32%E -2.14%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.82%EV +0.090%E +0.034%K +0.055%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-02 17:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 62.80%EV -2.08%E -1.32%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 37.20%EV -0.286%E -0.108%K -0.173%G +0.000%1.4%2026-08-02 17:30
Everygame🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 63.25%EV -3.95%E -2.56%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.75%EV -0.286%E -0.108%K -0.173%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-02 17:29
GTbets🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.86%EV -2.70%E -1.73%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.14%EV -0.662%E -0.251%K -0.404%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-02 17:29
FanDuel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 62.53%EV -2.08%E -1.32%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.47%EV -1.41%E -0.540%K -0.873%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-02 17:40
BetAnything🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.98%EV -3.95%E -2.56%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.02%EV -1.41%E -0.540%K -0.873%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-02 17:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.59%EV -2.70%E -1.73%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.41%EV -1.79%E -0.686%K -1.11%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-02 17:29
LowVig.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.59%EV -2.70%E -1.73%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.41%EV -1.79%E -0.686%K -1.11%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-02 17:24
BetUS🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -3.32%E -2.14%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -2.17%E -0.834%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-02 17:29
BetRivers🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -3.32%E -2.14%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -2.17%E -0.834%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-02 17:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -3.32%E -2.14%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -2.17%E -0.834%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-02 17:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.57%E -2.99%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.17%E -0.834%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-02 17:25
ReBet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.57%E -2.99%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.17%E -0.834%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-02 17:34
1xBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 62.02%EV -1.45%E -0.919%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.98%EV -2.92%E -1.13%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-02 17:26
MyBookie.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -4.57%E -2.99%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -2.92%E -1.13%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-02 17:40
Caesars🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -4.57%E -2.99%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -2.92%E -1.13%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-02 17:23
DraftKings🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.84%EV -5.19%E -3.42%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.16%EV -3.30%E -1.28%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 17:30
theScore Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.95%E -2.56%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.05%E -1.59%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-02 17:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.95%E -2.56%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.05%E -1.59%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-02 17:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.95%E -2.56%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.05%E -1.59%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-02 17:30
Bovada🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.57%E -2.99%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.05%E -1.59%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-02 17:29
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.57%E -2.99%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.05%E -1.59%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-02 17:25
Casumo🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.57%E -2.99%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.05%E -1.59%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-02 17:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.57%E -2.99%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.05%E -1.59%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-02 17:29
Unibet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.57%E -2.99%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.05%E -1.59%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-02 17:30
Bally Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.57%E -2.99%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.05%E -1.59%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-02 17:29
ATG (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.57%E -2.99%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.05%E -1.59%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-02 17:29
betPARX🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.57%E -2.99%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.05%E -1.59%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-02 17:30
LeoVegas🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.57%E -2.99%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.05%E -1.59%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-02 17:34
Fanatics🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.57%E -2.99%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.05%E -1.59%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-02 17:29
Virgin Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.19%E -3.42%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.05%E -1.59%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 17:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.19%E -3.42%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.05%E -1.59%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 17:30
TABtouch🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.82%E -3.85%K -11.41%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.05%E -1.59%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 17:30
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.44%E -4.29%K -12.88%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.05%E -1.59%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-02 17:23
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.44%E -4.29%K -12.88%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.05%E -1.59%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-02 17:39
SportsBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -5.19%E -3.42%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -4.80%E -1.90%K -3.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 17:40
Coolbet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -4.57%E -2.99%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -5.18%E -2.05%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 17:39
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.32%E -2.14%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.93%E -2.37%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-02 17:39
TAB🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.32%E -2.14%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.93%E -2.37%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-02 17:34
Bet Right🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.95%E -2.56%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.93%E -2.37%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-02 17:30
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.57%E -2.99%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.93%E -2.37%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 17:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.57%E -2.99%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.93%E -2.37%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 17:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.57%E -2.99%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.93%E -2.37%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 17:29
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.57%E -2.99%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.93%E -2.37%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 17:25
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.57%E -2.99%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.93%E -2.37%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 17:25
Marathon Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.57%E -2.99%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.93%E -2.37%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 17:39
Winamax (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.19%E -3.42%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.93%E -2.37%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-02 17:29
Dabble (AU)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.19%E -3.42%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.93%E -2.37%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-02 17:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -5.82%E -3.85%K -11.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -5.93%E -2.37%K -3.95%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 17:34
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.44%E -4.29%K -12.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.93%E -2.37%K -3.95%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-02 17:40
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.44%E -4.29%K -12.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.93%E -2.37%K -3.95%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-02 17:34
Betsson🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.95%E -2.56%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.68%E -2.69%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 17:34
NordicBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.95%E -2.56%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.68%E -2.69%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 17:34
Unibet (UK)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -1.45%E -0.919%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -7.81%E -3.19%K -5.39%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-02 17:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -2.08%E -1.32%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -7.81%E -3.19%K -5.39%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-02 17:40
Fliff🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -2.70%E -1.73%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.81%E -3.19%K -5.39%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-02 17:35
Neds🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.32%E -2.14%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.81%E -3.19%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 17:24
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.32%E -2.14%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.81%E -3.19%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 17:24
Betclic (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.18%EV -7.07%E -4.74%K -14.42%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.82%EV -7.81%E -3.19%K -5.39%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-02 17:38
Grosvenor🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.50%EV -8.31%E -5.66%K -17.69%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -7.81%E -3.19%K -5.39%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-02 17:29
Betway🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -2.70%E -1.73%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -9.69%E -4.04%K -6.92%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-02 17:39
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -2.08%E -1.32%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -10.45%E -4.39%K -7.57%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-02 14:49
Winamax (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -3.95%E -2.56%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -11.57%E -4.93%K -8.57%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-02 17:40
betano_uk🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -3.32%E -2.14%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -13.46%E -5.85%K -10.35%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-02 17:34
Bet Victor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -3.32%E -2.14%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -13.46%E -5.85%K -10.35%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-02 17:34
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
ProphetX◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.76%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.24%0.2%2026-08-02 17:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60%0.5%2026-08-02 17:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60%0.5%2026-08-02 17:40
Novig◎1.57I 63.69%NM 63.23%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.77%0.7%2026-08-02 17:35
Polymarket◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-08-02 17:30
Kalshi◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-08-02 17:30
BetOpenly◎1.62I 61.73%NM 61.15%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.85%0.9%2026-08-02 17:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.23%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.77%1.1%2026-08-02 17:40
Matchbook◎1.59I 62.89%NM 61.87%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.13%1.7%2026-08-02 17:40
Smarkets◎1.56I 64.10%NM 62.68%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.32%2.3%2026-08-02 17:30