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Cincinnati Reds v Philadelphia Phillies
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Cincinnati Reds (Local)
Prediction 56.41%1.77fair odd
EV -1.28%
Edge -0.734%
Kelly -1.71%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.12%56.40%56.43%57.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.701.701.7561.73%58.88%58.82%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Philadelphia Phillies (Visit)
Prediction 43.59%2.29fair odd
EV -1.05%
Edge -0.462%
Kelly -0.826%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.27
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.41%43.60%43.57%44.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.182.202.2747.62%45.77%45.45%44.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -1.28%E -0.734%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -4.97%E -2.28%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-07-08 23:10 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -1.28%E -0.734%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -4.97%E -2.28%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-07-08 23:10 |
| Pinnacle | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -1.85%E -1.06%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -1.92%E -0.853%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-07-08 22:45 |
| BetAnything | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -1.85%E -1.06%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -3.23%E -1.45%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-07-08 20:20 |
| GTbets | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.75%EV -2.41%E -1.39%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.25%EV -1.05%E -0.462%K -0.826%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-07-08 22:20 |
| Everygame | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.75%EV -2.41%E -1.39%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.25%EV -1.05%E -0.462%K -0.826%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-07-08 22:19 |
| 1xBet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64%EV -2.41%E -1.39%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36%EV -1.48%E -0.657%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-08 22:09 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%EV -2.41%E -1.39%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%EV -2.36%E -1.05%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-07-08 22:20 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%EV -2.41%E -1.39%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%EV -2.36%E -1.05%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-07-08 22:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -2.41%E -1.39%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -6.28%E -2.92%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-08 23:05 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -2.41%E -1.39%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -6.28%E -2.92%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-08 23:10 |
| BetUS | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%EV -2.98%E -1.73%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%EV -1.92%E -0.853%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-07-08 23:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -2.98%E -1.73%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -6.72%E -3.14%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-08 23:10 |
| Casumo | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -2.98%E -1.73%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -6.72%E -3.14%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-08 23:10 |
| betPARX | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -2.98%E -1.73%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -6.72%E -3.14%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-08 23:10 |
| Bally Bet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -2.98%E -1.73%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -6.72%E -3.14%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-08 23:09 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -2.98%E -1.73%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -6.72%E -3.14%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-08 23:10 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.54%E -2.07%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.10%E -1.86%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-08 07:35 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.54%E -2.07%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.10%E -1.86%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-08 19:30 |
| ReBet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.54%E -2.07%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.10%E -1.86%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-08 17:15 |
| theScore Bet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.54%E -2.07%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.10%E -1.86%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-08 16:25 |
| Caesars | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -3.54%E -2.07%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.97%E -2.28%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-08 14:53 |
| TABtouch | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -3.54%E -2.07%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -6.72%E -3.14%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-08 23:10 |
| BetRivers | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -3.54%E -2.07%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -6.72%E -3.14%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-08 23:10 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -3.54%E -2.07%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -6.72%E -3.14%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-08 23:10 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -3.54%E -2.07%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -6.72%E -3.14%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-08 23:10 |
| Fliff | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.54%E -2.07%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -8.46%E -4.03%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-08 23:10 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -4.10%E -2.41%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -3.23%E -1.45%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-08 23:09 |
| TAB | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.10%E -2.41%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.10%E -1.86%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-08 14:54 |
| Coral | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.10%E -2.41%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.10%E -1.86%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-08 14:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.10%E -2.41%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.10%E -1.86%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-08 14:49 |
| Bovada | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.10%E -2.41%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.10%E -1.86%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-08 22:35 |
| LeoVegas | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.10%E -2.41%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.10%E -1.86%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-08 22:29 |
| PlayUp | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.10%E -2.41%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.28%E -2.92%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-08 14:55 |
| Fanatics | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.67%E -2.76%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.10%E -1.86%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-08 22:29 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.67%E -2.76%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.10%E -1.86%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-08 22:50 |
| BetMGM | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.67%E -2.76%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.10%E -1.86%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-08 22:39 |
| DraftKings | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.44%EV -4.67%E -2.76%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.56%EV -4.54%E -2.07%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-08 17:25 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -4.67%E -2.76%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -5.41%E -2.49%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-08 23:09 |
| Betway | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.67%E -2.76%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -6.28%E -2.92%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-08 23:09 |
| FanDuel | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -5.23%E -3.11%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -2.36%E -1.05%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-08 22:30 |
| Bet Right | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.23%E -3.11%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.10%E -1.86%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-08 22:35 |
| Coolbet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.23%E -3.11%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.10%E -1.86%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-08 22:34 |
| Neds | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.23%E -3.11%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.10%E -1.86%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-08 22:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.23%E -3.11%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.10%E -1.86%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-08 22:40 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.23%E -3.11%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.10%E -1.86%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-08 21:05 |
| NordicBet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.23%E -3.11%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.97%E -2.28%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-08 23:09 |
| Betsson | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.23%E -3.11%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.97%E -2.28%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-08 23:09 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.23%E -3.11%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.28%E -2.92%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-08 23:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.23%E -3.11%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.28%E -2.92%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-08 14:50 |
| Grosvenor | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -5.23%E -3.11%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -8.46%E -4.03%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-08 23:10 |
| SportsBet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -5.80%E -3.47%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -3.23%E -1.45%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-08 22:30 |
| 888sport | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.80%E -3.47%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.10%E -1.86%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-08 22:35 |
| William Hill | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.80%E -3.47%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.10%E -1.86%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-08 10:44 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.80%E -3.47%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.10%E -1.86%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-08 22:35 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.80%E -3.47%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.10%E -1.86%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-08 22:35 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.80%E -3.47%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.10%E -1.86%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-08 22:35 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.80%E -3.47%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.28%E -2.92%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-08 23:10 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -6.36%E -3.83%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -6.28%E -2.92%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-08 19:30 |
| Bet Victor | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.93%E -4.20%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.28%E -2.92%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-08 22:59 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.12%EV -6.93%E -4.20%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 43.88%EV -8.02%E -3.80%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-08 22:43 |
| Paddy Power | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.62%E -5.32%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -4.10%E -1.86%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-08 22:29 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.86% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 43.14% | -0.1% | 2026-07-08 23:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.65% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.35% | 0.3% | 2026-07-08 23:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.65% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.35% | 0.3% | 2026-07-08 23:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.65% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.35% | 0.3% | 2026-07-08 23:10 |
| Novig | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21% | 0.6% | 2026-07-08 23:05 |
| ProphetX | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.68% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 43.32% | 0.8% | 2026-07-08 23:10 |
| Polymarket | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 0.9% | 2026-07-08 21:35 |
| Kalshi | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.2% | 2026-07-08 23:05 |
| Matchbook | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.36% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.64% | 1.4% | 2026-07-08 23:10 |
| Smarkets | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36% | 2.1% | 2026-07-08 23:10 |