The School of Odds

Cincinnati Reds v Philadelphia Phillies

2026-07-08 23:11 — MLB

Head to Head

61 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Option 1: Cincinnati Reds (Local)

1.6560.61%Min
1.7058.69%Mean
1.7158.48%Median
1.7557.14%Max
55.12%1.814Min
57.36%1.743Max
56.24%1.778Mean
56.27%1.777Median
56.24%1.778IQM
56.30%1.776Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.75 under the IQM model: 56.24%

EV -1.58%Edge -0.905%Kelly -2.11%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Philadelphia Phillies (Visit)

2.1047.62%Min
2.1845.97%Mean
2.1646.30%Median
2.3043.48%Max
42.64%2.345Min
44.88%2.228Max
43.76%2.285Mean
43.73%2.287Median
43.76%2.285IQM
43.70%2.288Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.30 under the IQM model: 43.76%

EV +0.652%Edge +0.284%Kelly +0.502%Growth +0.003%

Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)

BookmakerCincinnati Reds (Local)Philadelphia Phillies (Visit) ▼MarginUpdated
GTbets1.71I 58.48% NM 57.36%EV -3.83% E -2.24% K -5.40% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 42.64%EV +0.652% E +0.284% K +0.502% G +0.003%2.0%2026-07-08 16:39
Everygame1.72I 58.14% NM 57.00%EV -3.27% E -1.90% K -4.54% G +0.000%2.28I 43.86% NM 43.00%EV -0.223% E -0.098% K -0.174% G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-08 16:45
Pinnacle1.72I 58.14% NM 56.89%EV -3.27% E -1.90% K -4.54% G +0.000%2.27I 44.05% NM 43.11%EV -0.661% E -0.291% K -0.520% G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-08 16:55
BetOnline.ag1.71I 58.48% NM 57.04%EV -3.83% E -2.24% K -5.40% G +0.000%2.27I 44.05% NM 42.96%EV -0.661% E -0.291% K -0.520% G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-08 16:40
LowVig.ag1.71I 58.48% NM 57.04%EV -3.83% E -2.24% K -5.40% G +0.000%2.27I 44.05% NM 42.96%EV -0.661% E -0.291% K -0.520% G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-08 16:39
BetUS1.71I 58.48% NM 56.93%EV -3.83% E -2.24% K -5.40% G +0.000%2.26I 44.25% NM 43.07%EV -1.10% E -0.486% K -0.872% G +0.000%2.7%2026-07-08 16:40
1xBet1.75I 57.14% NM 55.92%EV -1.58% E -0.905% K -2.11% G +0.000%2.22I 45.05% NM 44.08%EV -2.85% E -1.28% K -2.34% G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-08 08:25
Bovada1.69I 59.17% NM 56.78%EV -4.96% E -2.93% K -7.18% G +0.000%2.22I 45.05% NM 43.22%EV -2.85% E -1.28% K -2.34% G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-08 16:55
PointsBet (AU)1.71I 58.48% NM 56.27%EV -3.83% E -2.24% K -5.40% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 43.73%EV -3.72% E -1.69% K -3.10% G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-08 07:35
Betway1.71I 58.48% NM 56.27%EV -3.83% E -2.24% K -5.40% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 43.73%EV -3.72% E -1.69% K -3.10% G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-08 14:49
ReBet1.71I 58.48% NM 56.27%EV -3.83% E -2.24% K -5.40% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 43.73%EV -3.72% E -1.69% K -3.10% G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-08 17:15
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48% NM 56.27%EV -3.83% E -2.24% K -5.40% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 43.73%EV -3.72% E -1.69% K -3.10% G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-08 16:25
BetAnything1.71I 58.48% NM 56.27%EV -3.83% E -2.24% K -5.40% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 43.73%EV -3.72% E -1.69% K -3.10% G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-08 17:14
FanDuel1.70I 58.82% NM 56.41%EV -4.40% E -2.59% K -6.28% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 43.59%EV -3.72% E -1.69% K -3.10% G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-08 07:35
TAB1.70I 58.82% NM 56.41%EV -4.40% E -2.59% K -6.28% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 43.59%EV -3.72% E -1.69% K -3.10% G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-08 14:54
Coral1.70I 58.82% NM 56.41%EV -4.40% E -2.59% K -6.28% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 43.59%EV -3.72% E -1.69% K -3.10% G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-08 14:49
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82% NM 56.41%EV -4.40% E -2.59% K -6.28% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 43.59%EV -3.72% E -1.69% K -3.10% G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-08 14:49
Fanatics1.69I 59.17% NM 56.56%EV -4.96% E -2.93% K -7.18% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 43.44%EV -3.72% E -1.69% K -3.10% G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-08 14:49
BetMGM1.69I 59.17% NM 56.56%EV -4.96% E -2.93% K -7.18% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 43.44%EV -3.72% E -1.69% K -3.10% G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-08 15:20
Neds1.68I 59.52% NM 56.70%EV -5.52% E -3.29% K -8.12% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 43.30%EV -3.72% E -1.69% K -3.10% G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-08 15:25
Ladbrokes (AU)1.68I 59.52% NM 56.70%EV -5.52% E -3.29% K -8.12% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 43.30%EV -3.72% E -1.69% K -3.10% G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-08 15:20
William Hill1.67I 59.88% NM 56.85%EV -6.08% E -3.64% K -9.08% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 43.15%EV -3.72% E -1.69% K -3.10% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-08 10:44
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61% NM 57.14%EV -7.21% E -4.37% K -11.09% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 42.86%EV -3.72% E -1.69% K -3.10% G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-08 12:10
MyBookie.ag1.71I 58.48% NM 56.15%EV -3.83% E -2.24% K -5.40% G +0.000%2.19I 45.66% NM 43.85%EV -4.16% E -1.90% K -3.50% G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-08 14:54
DraftKings1.69I 59.17% NM 56.44%EV -4.96% E -2.93% K -7.18% G +0.000%2.19I 45.66% NM 43.56%EV -4.16% E -1.90% K -3.50% G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-08 17:25
Caesars1.71I 58.48% NM 56.04%EV -3.83% E -2.24% K -5.40% G +0.000%2.18I 45.87% NM 43.96%EV -4.60% E -2.11% K -3.90% G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-08 14:53
Unibet (UK)1.70I 58.82% NM 56.19%EV -4.40% E -2.59% K -6.28% G +0.000%2.18I 45.87% NM 43.81%EV -4.60% E -2.11% K -3.90% G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-08 14:50
Bet Right1.70I 58.82% NM 56.19%EV -4.40% E -2.59% K -6.28% G +0.000%2.18I 45.87% NM 43.81%EV -4.60% E -2.11% K -3.90% G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-08 14:54
Coolbet1.70I 58.82% NM 56.07%EV -4.40% E -2.59% K -6.28% G +0.000%2.17I 46.08% NM 43.93%EV -5.04% E -2.32% K -4.30% G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-08 14:55
SportsBet1.69I 59.17% NM 56.22%EV -4.96% E -2.93% K -7.18% G +0.000%2.17I 46.08% NM 43.78%EV -5.04% E -2.32% K -4.30% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-08 11:14
Svenska Spel1.74I 57.47% NM 55.38%EV -2.15% E -1.23% K -2.90% G +0.000%2.16I 46.30% NM 44.62%EV -5.47% E -2.53% K -4.72% G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-08 12:09
NordicBet1.69I 59.17% NM 56.10%EV -4.96% E -2.93% K -7.18% G +0.000%2.16I 46.30% NM 43.90%EV -5.47% E -2.53% K -4.72% G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-08 14:55
Betsson1.69I 59.17% NM 56.10%EV -4.96% E -2.93% K -7.18% G +0.000%2.16I 46.30% NM 43.90%EV -5.47% E -2.53% K -4.72% G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-08 14:54
Unibet (SE)1.74I 57.47% NM 55.27%EV -2.15% E -1.23% K -2.90% G +0.000%2.15I 46.51% NM 44.73%EV -5.91% E -2.75% K -5.14% G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-08 12:10
Unibet (NL)1.74I 57.47% NM 55.27%EV -2.15% E -1.23% K -2.90% G +0.000%2.15I 46.51% NM 44.73%EV -5.91% E -2.75% K -5.14% G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-08 12:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80% NM 55.41%EV -2.71% E -1.57% K -3.71% G +0.000%2.15I 46.51% NM 44.59%EV -5.91% E -2.75% K -5.14% G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-08 07:40
888sport1.71I 58.48% NM 55.70%EV -3.83% E -2.24% K -5.40% G +0.000%2.15I 46.51% NM 44.30%EV -5.91% E -2.75% K -5.14% G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-08 12:10
Mr Green (SE)1.71I 58.48% NM 55.70%EV -3.83% E -2.24% K -5.40% G +0.000%2.15I 46.51% NM 44.30%EV -5.91% E -2.75% K -5.14% G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-08 12:15
888sport (SE)1.71I 58.48% NM 55.70%EV -3.83% E -2.24% K -5.40% G +0.000%2.15I 46.51% NM 44.30%EV -5.91% E -2.75% K -5.14% G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-08 12:15
Hard Rock Bet1.71I 58.48% NM 55.70%EV -3.83% E -2.24% K -5.40% G +0.000%2.15I 46.51% NM 44.30%EV -5.91% E -2.75% K -5.14% G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-08 13:55
Paddy Power1.70I 58.82% NM 55.84%EV -4.40% E -2.59% K -6.28% G +0.000%2.15I 46.51% NM 44.16%EV -5.91% E -2.75% K -5.14% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-08 16:14
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82% NM 55.84%EV -4.40% E -2.59% K -6.28% G +0.000%2.15I 46.51% NM 44.16%EV -5.91% E -2.75% K -5.14% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-08 08:44
PlayUp1.70I 58.82% NM 55.84%EV -4.40% E -2.59% K -6.28% G +0.000%2.15I 46.51% NM 44.16%EV -5.91% E -2.75% K -5.14% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-08 14:55
Marathon Bet1.70I 58.82% NM 55.84%EV -4.40% E -2.59% K -6.28% G +0.000%2.15I 46.51% NM 44.16%EV -5.91% E -2.75% K -5.14% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-08 08:19
Unibet (FR)1.69I 59.17% NM 55.99%EV -4.96% E -2.93% K -7.18% G +0.000%2.15I 46.51% NM 44.01%EV -5.91% E -2.75% K -5.14% G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-08 17:14
Winamax (DE)1.68I 59.52% NM 56.14%EV -5.52% E -3.29% K -8.12% G +0.000%2.15I 46.51% NM 43.86%EV -5.91% E -2.75% K -5.14% G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-08 14:50
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88% NM 56.28%EV -6.08% E -3.64% K -9.08% G +0.000%2.15I 46.51% NM 43.72%EV -5.91% E -2.75% K -5.14% G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-08 14:50
Bet Victor1.67I 59.88% NM 56.28%EV -6.08% E -3.64% K -9.08% G +0.000%2.15I 46.51% NM 43.72%EV -5.91% E -2.75% K -5.14% G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-08 14:49
Unibet1.72I 58.14% NM 55.44%EV -3.27% E -1.90% K -4.54% G +0.000%2.14I 46.73% NM 44.56%EV -6.35% E -2.97% K -5.57% G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-08 12:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.72I 58.14% NM 55.44%EV -3.27% E -1.90% K -4.54% G +0.000%2.14I 46.73% NM 44.56%EV -6.35% E -2.97% K -5.57% G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-08 12:09
Casumo1.72I 58.14% NM 55.44%EV -3.27% E -1.90% K -4.54% G +0.000%2.14I 46.73% NM 44.56%EV -6.35% E -2.97% K -5.57% G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-08 12:10
betPARX1.72I 58.14% NM 55.44%EV -3.27% E -1.90% K -4.54% G +0.000%2.14I 46.73% NM 44.56%EV -6.35% E -2.97% K -5.57% G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-08 12:10
Bally Bet1.72I 58.14% NM 55.44%EV -3.27% E -1.90% K -4.54% G +0.000%2.14I 46.73% NM 44.56%EV -6.35% E -2.97% K -5.57% G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-08 12:10
ATG (SE)1.72I 58.14% NM 55.44%EV -3.27% E -1.90% K -4.54% G +0.000%2.14I 46.73% NM 44.56%EV -6.35% E -2.97% K -5.57% G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-08 12:10
Betclic (FR)1.69I 59.17% NM 55.87%EV -4.96% E -2.93% K -7.18% G +0.000%2.14I 46.73% NM 44.13%EV -6.35% E -2.97% K -5.57% G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-08 14:50
TABtouch1.72I 58.14% NM 55.21%EV -3.27% E -1.90% K -4.54% G +0.000%2.12I 47.17% NM 44.79%EV -7.22% E -3.41% K -6.45% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-08 12:10
BetRivers1.72I 58.14% NM 55.21%EV -3.27% E -1.90% K -4.54% G +0.000%2.12I 47.17% NM 44.79%EV -7.22% E -3.41% K -6.45% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-08 12:09
LiveScore Bet1.72I 58.14% NM 55.21%EV -3.27% E -1.90% K -4.54% G +0.000%2.12I 47.17% NM 44.79%EV -7.22% E -3.41% K -6.45% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-08 12:09
Virgin Bet1.72I 58.14% NM 55.21%EV -3.27% E -1.90% K -4.54% G +0.000%2.12I 47.17% NM 44.79%EV -7.22% E -3.41% K -6.45% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-08 12:10
Fliff1.71I 58.48% NM 55.12%EV -3.83% E -2.24% K -5.40% G +0.000%2.10I 47.62% NM 44.88%EV -8.10% E -3.86% K -7.36% G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-08 17:15
Winamax (FR)1.68I 59.52% NM 55.56%EV -5.52% E -3.29% K -8.12% G +0.000%2.10I 47.62% NM 44.44%EV -8.10% E -3.86% K -7.36% G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-08 13:49
Grosvenor1.68I 59.52% NM 55.56%EV -5.52% E -3.29% K -8.12% G +0.000%2.10I 47.62% NM 44.44%EV -8.10% E -3.86% K -7.36% G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-08 12:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerCincinnati Reds (Local)Philadelphia Phillies (Visit)Margin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.76I 56.82% NM 56.86%2.32I 43.10% NM 43.14%-0.1%2026-07-08 17:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.75I 57.14% NM 56.79%2.30I 43.48% NM 43.21%0.6%2026-07-08 17:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.75I 57.14% NM 56.79%2.30I 43.48% NM 43.21%0.6%2026-07-08 17:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.75I 57.14% NM 56.79%2.30I 43.48% NM 43.21%0.6%2026-07-08 17:00
Novig1.74I 57.47% NM 56.93%2.30I 43.48% NM 43.07%0.9%2026-07-08 17:30
ProphetX1.74I 57.47% NM 56.93%2.30I 43.48% NM 43.07%0.9%2026-07-08 17:30
Polymarket1.72I 58.14% NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92% NM 42.47%1.1%2026-07-08 16:50
Matchbook1.74I 57.47% NM 56.50%2.26I 44.25% NM 43.50%1.7%2026-07-08 16:55
Smarkets1.73I 57.80% NM 56.64%2.26I 44.25% NM 43.36%2.1%2026-07-08 17:30
Kalshi1.72I 58.14% NM 56.89%2.27I 44.05% NM 43.11%2.2%2026-07-08 17:25