La scuola delle quote

Cincinnati Reds v Philadelphia Phillies

Inizio: 2026-07-08 23:11 UTC

Finale: Cincinnati Reds 11–5 Philadelphia Phillies

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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62 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Cincinnati Reds (Casa)

Previsione 56.41%1.77quota equa
EV -1.28%
Vantaggio -0.734%
Kelly -1.71%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.75

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
55.12%56.40%56.43%57.59%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.621.701.701.7561.73%58.88%58.82%57.14%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Philadelphia Phillies (Trasferta)

Previsione 43.59%2.29quota equa
EV -1.05%
Vantaggio -0.462%
Kelly -0.826%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.27

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
42.41%43.60%43.57%44.88%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.102.182.202.2747.62%45.77%45.45%44.05%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (62 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Unibet1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -1.28%E -0.734%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -4.97%E -2.28%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-08 23:10
Svenska Spel1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -1.28%E -0.734%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -4.97%E -2.28%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-08 23:10
Pinnacle1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -1.85%E -1.06%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -1.92%E -0.853%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-08 22:45
BetAnything1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -1.85%E -1.06%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -3.23%E -1.45%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-08 20:20
GTbets1.73I 57.80%NM 56.75%EV -2.41%E -1.39%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.25%EV -1.05%E -0.462%K -0.826%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-08 22:20
Everygame1.73I 57.80%NM 56.75%EV -2.41%E -1.39%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.25%EV -1.05%E -0.462%K -0.826%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-08 22:19
1xBet1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64%EV -2.41%E -1.39%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36%EV -1.48%E -0.657%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-08 22:09
BetOnline.ag1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%EV -2.41%E -1.39%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%EV -2.36%E -1.05%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-08 22:20
LowVig.ag1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%EV -2.41%E -1.39%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%EV -2.36%E -1.05%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-08 22:20
Unibet (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -2.41%E -1.39%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -6.28%E -2.92%K -5.46%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-08 23:05
Unibet (NL)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -2.41%E -1.39%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -6.28%E -2.92%K -5.46%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-08 23:10
BetUS1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%EV -2.98%E -1.73%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%EV -1.92%E -0.853%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-08 23:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -2.98%E -1.73%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -6.72%E -3.14%K -5.89%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-08 23:10
Casumo1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -2.98%E -1.73%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -6.72%E -3.14%K -5.89%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-08 23:10
betPARX1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -2.98%E -1.73%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -6.72%E -3.14%K -5.89%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-08 23:10
Bally Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -2.98%E -1.73%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -6.72%E -3.14%K -5.89%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-08 23:09
ATG (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -2.98%E -1.73%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -6.72%E -3.14%K -5.89%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-08 23:10
PointsBet (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.54%E -2.07%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.10%E -1.86%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-08 07:35
MyBookie.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.54%E -2.07%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.10%E -1.86%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-08 19:30
ReBet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.54%E -2.07%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.10%E -1.86%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-08 17:15
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.54%E -2.07%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.10%E -1.86%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-08 16:25
Caesars1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -3.54%E -2.07%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.97%E -2.28%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-08 14:53
TABtouch1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -3.54%E -2.07%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -6.72%E -3.14%K -5.89%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-08 23:10
BetRivers1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -3.54%E -2.07%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -6.72%E -3.14%K -5.89%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-08 23:10
LiveScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -3.54%E -2.07%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -6.72%E -3.14%K -5.89%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-08 23:10
Virgin Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -3.54%E -2.07%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -6.72%E -3.14%K -5.89%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-08 23:10
Fliff1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.54%E -2.07%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -8.46%E -4.03%K -7.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-08 23:10
Unibet (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -4.10%E -2.41%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -3.23%E -1.45%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-08 23:09
TAB1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.10%E -2.41%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.10%E -1.86%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-08 14:54
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.10%E -2.41%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.10%E -1.86%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-08 14:49
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.10%E -2.41%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.10%E -1.86%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-08 14:49
Bovada1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.10%E -2.41%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.10%E -1.86%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-08 22:35
LeoVegas1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.10%E -2.41%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.10%E -1.86%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-08 22:29
PlayUp1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.10%E -2.41%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.28%E -2.92%K -5.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-08 14:55
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.67%E -2.76%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.10%E -1.86%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-08 22:29
Hard Rock Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.67%E -2.76%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.10%E -1.86%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-08 22:50
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.67%E -2.76%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.10%E -1.86%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-08 22:39
DraftKings1.69I 59.17%NM 56.44%EV -4.67%E -2.76%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.56%EV -4.54%E -2.07%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-08 17:25
Marathon Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -4.67%E -2.76%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -5.41%E -2.49%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-08 23:09
Betway1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.67%E -2.76%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -6.28%E -2.92%K -5.46%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-08 23:09
FanDuel1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -5.23%E -3.11%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -2.36%E -1.05%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-08 22:30
Bet Right1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.23%E -3.11%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.10%E -1.86%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-08 22:35
Coolbet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.23%E -3.11%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.10%E -1.86%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-08 22:34
Neds1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.23%E -3.11%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.10%E -1.86%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-08 22:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.23%E -3.11%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.10%E -1.86%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-08 22:40
Dabble (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.23%E -3.11%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.10%E -1.86%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-08 21:05
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.23%E -3.11%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.97%E -2.28%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-08 23:09
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.23%E -3.11%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.97%E -2.28%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-08 23:09
Unibet (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.23%E -3.11%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.28%E -2.92%K -5.46%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-08 23:00
Winamax (DE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.23%E -3.11%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.28%E -2.92%K -5.46%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-08 14:50
Grosvenor1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -5.23%E -3.11%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -8.46%E -4.03%K -7.69%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-08 23:10
SportsBet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -5.80%E -3.47%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -3.23%E -1.45%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-08 22:30
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.80%E -3.47%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.10%E -1.86%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-08 22:35
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.80%E -3.47%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.10%E -1.86%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-08 10:44
Betr (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.80%E -3.47%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.10%E -1.86%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-08 22:35
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.80%E -3.47%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.10%E -1.86%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-08 22:35
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.80%E -3.47%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.10%E -1.86%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-08 22:35
Tipico (DE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.80%E -3.47%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.28%E -2.92%K -5.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-08 23:10
Winamax (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -6.36%E -3.83%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -6.28%E -2.92%K -5.46%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-08 19:30
Bet Victor1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.93%E -4.20%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.28%E -2.92%K -5.46%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-08 22:59
Betclic (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.12%EV -6.93%E -4.20%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 43.88%EV -8.02%E -3.80%K -7.23%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-08 22:43
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.62%E -5.32%K -13.90%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -4.10%E -1.86%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-08 22:29
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (10)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
BetOpenly1.76I 56.82%NM 56.86%2.32I 43.10%NM 43.14%-0.1%2026-07-08 23:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.65%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.35%0.3%2026-07-08 23:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.65%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.35%0.3%2026-07-08 23:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.65%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.35%0.3%2026-07-08 23:10
Novig1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%0.6%2026-07-08 23:05
ProphetX1.75I 57.14%NM 56.68%2.29I 43.67%NM 43.32%0.8%2026-07-08 23:10
Polymarket1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-07-08 21:35
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-07-08 23:05
Matchbook1.75I 57.14%NM 56.36%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.64%1.4%2026-07-08 23:10
Smarkets1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36%2.1%2026-07-08 23:10