مدرسة الاحتمالات

Cincinnati Reds v Philadelphia Phillies

البداية: 2026-07-08 23:11 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Cincinnati Reds 11–5 Philadelphia Phillies

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

62 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Cincinnati Reds (المضيف)

التنبؤ 56.41%1.77السعر العادل
EV -1.28%
الأفضلية -0.734%
Kelly -1.71%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.75

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
55.12%56.40%56.43%57.59%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.621.701.701.7561.73%58.88%58.82%57.14%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Philadelphia Phillies (الضيف)

التنبؤ 43.59%2.29السعر العادل
EV -1.05%
الأفضلية -0.462%
Kelly -0.826%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.27

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
42.41%43.60%43.57%44.88%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.102.182.202.2747.62%45.77%45.45%44.05%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (62 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
Unibet1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -1.28%E -0.734%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -4.97%E -2.28%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-08 23:10
Svenska Spel1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -1.28%E -0.734%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -4.97%E -2.28%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-08 23:10
Pinnacle1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -1.85%E -1.06%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -1.92%E -0.853%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-08 22:45
BetAnything1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -1.85%E -1.06%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -3.23%E -1.45%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-08 20:20
GTbets1.73I 57.80%NM 56.75%EV -2.41%E -1.39%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.25%EV -1.05%E -0.462%K -0.826%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-08 22:20
Everygame1.73I 57.80%NM 56.75%EV -2.41%E -1.39%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.25%EV -1.05%E -0.462%K -0.826%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-08 22:19
1xBet1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64%EV -2.41%E -1.39%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36%EV -1.48%E -0.657%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-08 22:09
BetOnline.ag1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%EV -2.41%E -1.39%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%EV -2.36%E -1.05%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-08 22:20
LowVig.ag1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%EV -2.41%E -1.39%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%EV -2.36%E -1.05%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-08 22:20
Unibet (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -2.41%E -1.39%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -6.28%E -2.92%K -5.46%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-08 23:05
Unibet (NL)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -2.41%E -1.39%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -6.28%E -2.92%K -5.46%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-08 23:10
BetUS1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%EV -2.98%E -1.73%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%EV -1.92%E -0.853%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-08 23:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -2.98%E -1.73%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -6.72%E -3.14%K -5.89%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-08 23:10
Casumo1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -2.98%E -1.73%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -6.72%E -3.14%K -5.89%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-08 23:10
betPARX1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -2.98%E -1.73%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -6.72%E -3.14%K -5.89%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-08 23:10
Bally Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -2.98%E -1.73%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -6.72%E -3.14%K -5.89%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-08 23:09
ATG (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -2.98%E -1.73%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -6.72%E -3.14%K -5.89%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-08 23:10
PointsBet (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.54%E -2.07%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.10%E -1.86%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-08 07:35
MyBookie.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.54%E -2.07%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.10%E -1.86%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-08 19:30
ReBet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.54%E -2.07%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.10%E -1.86%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-08 17:15
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.54%E -2.07%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.10%E -1.86%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-08 16:25
Caesars1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -3.54%E -2.07%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.97%E -2.28%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-08 14:53
TABtouch1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -3.54%E -2.07%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -6.72%E -3.14%K -5.89%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-08 23:10
BetRivers1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -3.54%E -2.07%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -6.72%E -3.14%K -5.89%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-08 23:10
LiveScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -3.54%E -2.07%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -6.72%E -3.14%K -5.89%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-08 23:10
Virgin Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -3.54%E -2.07%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -6.72%E -3.14%K -5.89%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-08 23:10
Fliff1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.54%E -2.07%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -8.46%E -4.03%K -7.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-08 23:10
Unibet (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -4.10%E -2.41%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -3.23%E -1.45%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-08 23:09
TAB1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.10%E -2.41%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.10%E -1.86%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-08 14:54
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.10%E -2.41%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.10%E -1.86%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-08 14:49
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.10%E -2.41%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.10%E -1.86%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-08 14:49
Bovada1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.10%E -2.41%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.10%E -1.86%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-08 22:35
LeoVegas1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.10%E -2.41%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.10%E -1.86%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-08 22:29
PlayUp1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.10%E -2.41%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.28%E -2.92%K -5.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-08 14:55
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.67%E -2.76%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.10%E -1.86%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-08 22:29
Hard Rock Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.67%E -2.76%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.10%E -1.86%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-08 22:50
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.67%E -2.76%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.10%E -1.86%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-08 22:39
DraftKings1.69I 59.17%NM 56.44%EV -4.67%E -2.76%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.56%EV -4.54%E -2.07%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-08 17:25
Marathon Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -4.67%E -2.76%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -5.41%E -2.49%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-08 23:09
Betway1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.67%E -2.76%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -6.28%E -2.92%K -5.46%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-08 23:09
FanDuel1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -5.23%E -3.11%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -2.36%E -1.05%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-08 22:30
Bet Right1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.23%E -3.11%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.10%E -1.86%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-08 22:35
Coolbet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.23%E -3.11%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.10%E -1.86%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-08 22:34
Neds1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.23%E -3.11%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.10%E -1.86%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-08 22:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.23%E -3.11%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.10%E -1.86%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-08 22:40
Dabble (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.23%E -3.11%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.10%E -1.86%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-08 21:05
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.23%E -3.11%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.97%E -2.28%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-08 23:09
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.23%E -3.11%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.97%E -2.28%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-08 23:09
Unibet (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.23%E -3.11%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.28%E -2.92%K -5.46%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-08 23:00
Winamax (DE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.23%E -3.11%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.28%E -2.92%K -5.46%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-08 14:50
Grosvenor1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -5.23%E -3.11%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -8.46%E -4.03%K -7.69%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-08 23:10
SportsBet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -5.80%E -3.47%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -3.23%E -1.45%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-08 22:30
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.80%E -3.47%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.10%E -1.86%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-08 22:35
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.80%E -3.47%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.10%E -1.86%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-08 10:44
Betr (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.80%E -3.47%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.10%E -1.86%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-08 22:35
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.80%E -3.47%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.10%E -1.86%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-08 22:35
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.80%E -3.47%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.10%E -1.86%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-08 22:35
Tipico (DE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.80%E -3.47%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.28%E -2.92%K -5.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-08 23:10
Winamax (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -6.36%E -3.83%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -6.28%E -2.92%K -5.46%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-08 19:30
Bet Victor1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.93%E -4.20%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.28%E -2.92%K -5.46%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-08 22:59
Betclic (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.12%EV -6.93%E -4.20%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 43.88%EV -8.02%E -3.80%K -7.23%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-08 22:43
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.62%E -5.32%K -13.90%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -4.10%E -1.86%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-08 22:29
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
BetOpenly1.76I 56.82%NM 56.86%2.32I 43.10%NM 43.14%-0.1%2026-07-08 23:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.65%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.35%0.3%2026-07-08 23:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.65%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.35%0.3%2026-07-08 23:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.65%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.35%0.3%2026-07-08 23:10
Novig1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%0.6%2026-07-08 23:05
ProphetX1.75I 57.14%NM 56.68%2.29I 43.67%NM 43.32%0.8%2026-07-08 23:10
Polymarket1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-07-08 21:35
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-07-08 23:05
Matchbook1.75I 57.14%NM 56.36%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.64%1.4%2026-07-08 23:10
Smarkets1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36%2.1%2026-07-08 23:10