L’École des cotes

Cincinnati Reds v Philadelphia Phillies

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-08 23:11 UTC

Score final : Cincinnati Reds 11–5 Philadelphia Phillies

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

62 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Cincinnati Reds (Local)

Prévision 56.41%1.77cote équitable
EV -1.28%
Avantage -0.734%
Kelly -1.71%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
55.12%56.40%56.43%57.59%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.621.701.701.7561.73%58.88%58.82%57.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Philadelphia Phillies (Visiteur)

Prévision 43.59%2.29cote équitable
EV -1.05%
Avantage -0.462%
Kelly -0.826%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.27

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.41%43.60%43.57%44.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.102.182.202.2747.62%45.77%45.45%44.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Unibet1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -1.28%E -0.734%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -4.97%E -2.28%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-08 23:10
Svenska Spel1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -1.28%E -0.734%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -4.97%E -2.28%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-08 23:10
Pinnacle1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -1.85%E -1.06%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -1.92%E -0.853%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-08 22:45
BetAnything1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -1.85%E -1.06%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -3.23%E -1.45%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-08 20:20
GTbets1.73I 57.80%NM 56.75%EV -2.41%E -1.39%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.25%EV -1.05%E -0.462%K -0.826%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-08 22:20
Everygame1.73I 57.80%NM 56.75%EV -2.41%E -1.39%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.25%EV -1.05%E -0.462%K -0.826%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-08 22:19
1xBet1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64%EV -2.41%E -1.39%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36%EV -1.48%E -0.657%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-08 22:09
BetOnline.ag1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%EV -2.41%E -1.39%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%EV -2.36%E -1.05%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-08 22:20
LowVig.ag1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%EV -2.41%E -1.39%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%EV -2.36%E -1.05%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-08 22:20
Unibet (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -2.41%E -1.39%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -6.28%E -2.92%K -5.46%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-08 23:05
Unibet (NL)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -2.41%E -1.39%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -6.28%E -2.92%K -5.46%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-08 23:10
BetUS1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%EV -2.98%E -1.73%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%EV -1.92%E -0.853%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-08 23:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -2.98%E -1.73%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -6.72%E -3.14%K -5.89%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-08 23:10
Casumo1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -2.98%E -1.73%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -6.72%E -3.14%K -5.89%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-08 23:10
betPARX1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -2.98%E -1.73%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -6.72%E -3.14%K -5.89%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-08 23:10
Bally Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -2.98%E -1.73%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -6.72%E -3.14%K -5.89%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-08 23:09
ATG (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -2.98%E -1.73%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -6.72%E -3.14%K -5.89%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-08 23:10
PointsBet (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.54%E -2.07%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.10%E -1.86%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-08 07:35
MyBookie.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.54%E -2.07%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.10%E -1.86%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-08 19:30
ReBet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.54%E -2.07%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.10%E -1.86%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-08 17:15
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.54%E -2.07%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.10%E -1.86%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-08 16:25
Caesars1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -3.54%E -2.07%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.97%E -2.28%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-08 14:53
TABtouch1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -3.54%E -2.07%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -6.72%E -3.14%K -5.89%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-08 23:10
BetRivers1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -3.54%E -2.07%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -6.72%E -3.14%K -5.89%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-08 23:10
LiveScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -3.54%E -2.07%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -6.72%E -3.14%K -5.89%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-08 23:10
Virgin Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -3.54%E -2.07%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -6.72%E -3.14%K -5.89%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-08 23:10
Fliff1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.54%E -2.07%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -8.46%E -4.03%K -7.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-08 23:10
Unibet (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -4.10%E -2.41%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -3.23%E -1.45%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-08 23:09
TAB1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.10%E -2.41%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.10%E -1.86%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-08 14:54
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.10%E -2.41%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.10%E -1.86%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-08 14:49
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.10%E -2.41%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.10%E -1.86%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-08 14:49
Bovada1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.10%E -2.41%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.10%E -1.86%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-08 22:35
LeoVegas1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.10%E -2.41%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.10%E -1.86%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-08 22:29
PlayUp1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.10%E -2.41%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.28%E -2.92%K -5.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-08 14:55
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.67%E -2.76%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.10%E -1.86%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-08 22:29
Hard Rock Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.67%E -2.76%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.10%E -1.86%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-08 22:50
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.67%E -2.76%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.10%E -1.86%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-08 22:39
DraftKings1.69I 59.17%NM 56.44%EV -4.67%E -2.76%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.56%EV -4.54%E -2.07%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-08 17:25
Marathon Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -4.67%E -2.76%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -5.41%E -2.49%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-08 23:09
Betway1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.67%E -2.76%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -6.28%E -2.92%K -5.46%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-08 23:09
FanDuel1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -5.23%E -3.11%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -2.36%E -1.05%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-08 22:30
Bet Right1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.23%E -3.11%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.10%E -1.86%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-08 22:35
Coolbet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.23%E -3.11%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.10%E -1.86%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-08 22:34
Neds1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.23%E -3.11%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.10%E -1.86%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-08 22:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.23%E -3.11%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.10%E -1.86%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-08 22:40
Dabble (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.23%E -3.11%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.10%E -1.86%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-08 21:05
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.23%E -3.11%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.97%E -2.28%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-08 23:09
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.23%E -3.11%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.97%E -2.28%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-08 23:09
Unibet (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.23%E -3.11%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.28%E -2.92%K -5.46%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-08 23:00
Winamax (DE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.23%E -3.11%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.28%E -2.92%K -5.46%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-08 14:50
Grosvenor1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -5.23%E -3.11%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -8.46%E -4.03%K -7.69%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-08 23:10
SportsBet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -5.80%E -3.47%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -3.23%E -1.45%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-08 22:30
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.80%E -3.47%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.10%E -1.86%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-08 22:35
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.80%E -3.47%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.10%E -1.86%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-08 10:44
Betr (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.80%E -3.47%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.10%E -1.86%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-08 22:35
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.80%E -3.47%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.10%E -1.86%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-08 22:35
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.80%E -3.47%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.10%E -1.86%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-08 22:35
Tipico (DE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.80%E -3.47%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.28%E -2.92%K -5.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-08 23:10
Winamax (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -6.36%E -3.83%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -6.28%E -2.92%K -5.46%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-08 19:30
Bet Victor1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.93%E -4.20%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.28%E -2.92%K -5.46%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-08 22:59
Betclic (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.12%EV -6.93%E -4.20%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 43.88%EV -8.02%E -3.80%K -7.23%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-08 22:43
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.62%E -5.32%K -13.90%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -4.10%E -1.86%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-08 22:29
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.76I 56.82%NM 56.86%2.32I 43.10%NM 43.14%-0.1%2026-07-08 23:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.65%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.35%0.3%2026-07-08 23:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.65%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.35%0.3%2026-07-08 23:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.65%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.35%0.3%2026-07-08 23:10
Novig1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%0.6%2026-07-08 23:05
ProphetX1.75I 57.14%NM 56.68%2.29I 43.67%NM 43.32%0.8%2026-07-08 23:10
Polymarket1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-07-08 21:35
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-07-08 23:05
Matchbook1.75I 57.14%NM 56.36%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.64%1.4%2026-07-08 23:10
Smarkets1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36%2.1%2026-07-08 23:10