Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cincinnati Reds v Los Angeles Dodgers

Kickoff: 2026-09-14 22:41 UTC

Final: Cincinnati Reds 1–4 Los Angeles Dodgers

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

64 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cincinnati Reds (Local)

Prediction 34.19%2.92fair odd
EV +0.870%
Edge +0.295%
Kelly +0.446%
Growth +0.004%

assuming max odds 2.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.34%34.32%34.12%36.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.552.802.802.9539.22%35.74%35.71%33.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Los Angeles Dodgers (Visit)

Prediction 65.81%1.52fair odd
EV -1.29%
Edge -0.860%
Kelly -2.58%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.75%65.68%65.88%67.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.381.441.441.5072.46%69.33%69.44%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cincinnati Reds (Local): 34.19%; Los Angeles Dodgers (Visit): 65.81%. For Cincinnati Reds (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.92. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.95, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.870%.

Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Bovada🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV +0.870%E +0.295%K +0.446%G +0.004%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -6.55%E -4.62%K -15.61%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-14 22:39
Fliff🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV +0.870%E +0.295%K +0.446%G +0.004%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -7.21%E -5.12%K -17.59%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-14 22:40
Caesars🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV -0.155%E -0.053%K -0.081%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -5.90%E -4.12%K -13.71%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-14 22:40
Unibet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -0.839%E -0.289%K -0.442%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.90%E -4.12%K -13.71%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-14 22:10
Tipico (DE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -0.839%E -0.289%K -0.442%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.87%E -5.62%K -19.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-14 22:35
Dabble (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -0.839%E -0.289%K -0.442%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.87%E -5.62%K -19.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-14 22:40
Pinnacle🎯2.89I 34.60%NM 33.87%EV -1.18%E -0.409%K -0.625%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 66.13%EV -2.61%E -1.76%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.2%2026-09-14 22:15
Unibet (NL)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -1.52%E -0.529%K -0.810%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -5.90%E -4.12%K -13.71%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-14 22:40
Bally Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -1.52%E -0.529%K -0.810%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -5.90%E -4.12%K -13.71%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-14 22:40
GTbets🎯2.86I 34.97%NM 34.25%EV -2.21%E -0.772%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.75%EV -1.95%E -1.31%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-14 22:39
BetOnline.ag🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 34.33%EV -2.55%E -0.894%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.67%EV -1.95%E -1.31%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.2%2026-09-14 22:41
LowVig.ag🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 34.33%EV -2.55%E -0.894%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.67%EV -1.95%E -1.31%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.2%2026-09-14 22:40
BetAnything🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -2.55%E -0.894%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -3.26%E -2.22%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-14 22:40
ReBet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.87%EV -2.55%E -0.894%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 66.13%EV -3.92%E -2.69%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-14 22:30
Bet Right🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.55%E -0.894%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.24%E -3.64%K -11.91%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-14 22:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.55%E -0.894%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.24%E -3.64%K -11.91%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-14 16:40
Unibet (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.55%E -0.894%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.24%E -3.64%K -11.91%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-14 22:40
BetRivers🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.55%E -0.894%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.24%E -3.64%K -11.91%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-14 22:40
Svenska Spel🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.55%E -0.894%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.24%E -3.64%K -11.91%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-14 22:40
Casumo🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.55%E -0.894%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.90%E -4.12%K -13.71%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-14 22:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.55%E -0.894%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.90%E -4.12%K -13.71%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-14 22:40
ATG (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.55%E -0.894%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.90%E -4.12%K -13.71%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-14 22:40
betPARX🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.55%E -0.894%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.90%E -4.12%K -13.71%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-14 22:40
888sport🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -2.55%E -0.894%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -7.87%E -5.62%K -19.68%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-14 22:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -2.55%E -0.894%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -7.87%E -5.62%K -19.68%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-14 22:35
888sport (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -2.55%E -0.894%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -7.87%E -5.62%K -19.68%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-14 22:35
1xBet🎯2.84I 35.21%NM 34.56%EV -2.89%E -1.02%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 65.44%EV -1.29%E -0.860%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.9%2026-09-14 21:50
FanDuel🎯2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -2.89%E -1.02%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -4.58%E -3.16%K -10.18%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-14 22:10
MyBookie.ag🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 34.11%EV -3.57%E -1.27%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.89%EV -3.92%E -2.69%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-14 20:20
DraftKings🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 33.96%EV -3.57%E -1.27%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.04%EV -4.58%E -3.16%K -10.18%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-14 22:35
SportsBet🎯2.81I 35.59%NM 33.88%EV -3.92%E -1.39%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.12%EV -5.24%E -3.64%K -11.91%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-14 22:10
theScore Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -4.26%E -1.52%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.26%E -2.22%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-14 00:50
Fanatics🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.26%E -1.52%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.58%E -3.16%K -10.18%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-14 22:20
BetMGM🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.26%E -1.52%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.58%E -3.16%K -10.18%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-14 14:10
PlayUp🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.26%E -1.52%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.58%E -3.16%K -10.18%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-14 22:40
TAB🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.26%E -1.52%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.58%E -3.16%K -10.18%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-14 22:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.26%E -1.52%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.58%E -3.16%K -10.18%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-14 22:10
Betr (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.26%E -1.52%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.24%E -3.64%K -11.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-14 15:05
Coral🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.26%E -1.52%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.24%E -3.64%K -11.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-14 14:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.26%E -1.52%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.24%E -3.64%K -11.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-14 14:10
betfred_uk🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.26%E -1.52%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.24%E -3.64%K -11.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-14 04:40
TABtouch🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.26%E -1.52%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.90%E -4.12%K -13.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-14 22:40
LiveScore Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -4.26%E -1.52%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.55%E -4.62%K -15.61%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-14 22:40
Virgin Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -4.26%E -1.52%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.55%E -4.62%K -15.61%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-14 22:40
Paddy Power🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -4.26%E -1.52%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.87%E -5.62%K -19.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-14 20:14
BoyleSports🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -4.26%E -1.52%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.87%E -5.62%K -19.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-14 22:40
BetUS🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 34.89%EV -4.94%E -1.78%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.11%EV -1.95%E -1.31%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-14 22:39
Betsson🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -4.94%E -1.78%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -5.24%E -3.64%K -11.91%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-14 22:35
NordicBet🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -4.94%E -1.78%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -5.24%E -3.64%K -11.91%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-14 22:34
Marathon Bet🎯2.77I 36.10%NM 34.20%EV -5.28%E -1.91%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.80%EV -5.24%E -3.64%K -11.91%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-14 22:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -5.97%E -2.17%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -2.61%E -1.76%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-14 14:30
William Hill🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.97%E -2.17%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.24%E -3.64%K -11.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-14 16:34
Grosvenor🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -5.97%E -2.17%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 66.59%EV -9.19%E -6.66%K -24.18%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-14 22:40
Unibet (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -7.68%E -2.84%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.61%E -1.76%K -5.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-14 22:40
LeoVegas🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -7.68%E -2.84%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -6.55%E -4.62%K -15.61%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-14 22:40
Neds🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -9.39%E -3.54%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -2.61%E -1.76%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-14 14:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -9.39%E -3.54%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -2.61%E -1.76%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-14 14:10
Betway🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -9.39%E -3.54%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -2.61%E -1.76%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-14 22:40
Winamax (DE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -9.39%E -3.54%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -3.26%E -2.22%K -6.95%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-14 22:40
Winamax (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -11.10%E -4.27%K -6.94%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -3.92%E -2.69%K -8.53%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-14 22:40
Bet Victor🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -11.10%E -4.27%K -6.94%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -4.58%E -3.16%K -10.18%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-14 22:25
betano_uk🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -11.10%E -4.27%K -6.94%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -4.58%E -3.16%K -10.18%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-14 22:30
Unibet (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.67%EV -11.10%E -4.27%K -6.94%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 65.33%EV -9.19%E -6.66%K -24.18%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-14 22:34
Betclic (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -12.81%E -5.02%K -8.26%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -4.58%E -3.16%K -10.18%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-14 22:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
ProphetX◎3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%0.4%2026-09-14 22:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%0.4%2026-09-14 22:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%0.4%2026-09-14 22:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.98I 33.56%NM 33.33%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.67%0.7%2026-09-14 22:25
Novig◎2.99I 33.44%NM 33.11%1.48I 67.57%NM 66.89%1.0%2026-09-14 22:40
Kalshi◎2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%1.1%2026-09-14 14:50
Polymarket◎2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%1.1%2026-09-14 22:40
Matchbook◎3.00I 33.33%NM 32.74%1.46I 68.49%NM 67.26%1.8%2026-09-14 22:40
Smarkets◎2.96I 33.78%NM 32.88%1.45I 68.97%NM 67.12%2.7%2026-09-14 22:40
BetOpenly◎2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.27%2.8%2026-09-14 22:35