默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Cincinnati Reds v Los Angeles Dodgers

开赛时间： 2026-09-14 22:41 UTC

最终结果： Cincinnati Reds 1–4 Los Angeles Dodgers

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

64 家博彩公司 (20 家纳入分析 )

34%

66%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Cincinnati Reds (主队)

预测 34.19%2.92公平赔率

EV +0.870%

优势 +0.295%

Kelly +0.446%

增长率 +0.004%

假设最高赔率为 2.95

博彩公司预测分布

32.34%34.32%34.12%36.25%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

2.552.802.802.9539.22%35.74%35.71%33.90%最小值均值中位数最大值

Los Angeles Dodgers (客队)

预测 65.81%1.52公平赔率

EV -1.29%

优势 -0.860%

Kelly -2.58%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.50

博彩公司预测分布

63.75%65.68%65.88%67.66%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.381.441.441.5072.46%69.33%69.44%66.67%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Cincinnati Reds (主队)：34.19%；Los Angeles Dodgers (客队)：65.81%。对于“Cincinnati Reds (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.92。当时有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为2.95，对应+0.870%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (64 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队 ▼	客队	利润率	更新时间
Bovada🎯	2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV +0.870%E +0.295%K +0.446%G +0.004%	1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -6.55%E -4.62%K -15.61%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-09-14 22:39
Fliff🎯	2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV +0.870%E +0.295%K +0.446%G +0.004%	1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -7.21%E -5.12%K -17.59%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-09-14 22:40
Caesars🎯	2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV -0.155%E -0.053%K -0.081%G +0.000%	1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -5.90%E -4.12%K -13.71%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-09-14 22:40
Unibet🎯	2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -0.839%E -0.289%K -0.442%G +0.000%	1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.90%E -4.12%K -13.71%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-09-14 22:10
Tipico (DE)🎯	2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -0.839%E -0.289%K -0.442%G +0.000%	1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.87%E -5.62%K -19.68%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-09-14 22:35
Dabble (AU)🎯	2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -0.839%E -0.289%K -0.442%G +0.000%	1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.87%E -5.62%K -19.68%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-09-14 22:40
Pinnacle🎯	2.89I 34.60%NM 33.87%EV -1.18%E -0.409%K -0.625%G +0.000%	1.48I 67.57%NM 66.13%EV -2.61%E -1.76%K -5.43%G +0.000%	2.2%	2026-09-14 22:15
Unibet (NL)🎯	2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -1.52%E -0.529%K -0.810%G +0.000%	1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -5.90%E -4.12%K -13.71%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-09-14 22:40
Bally Bet🎯	2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -1.52%E -0.529%K -0.810%G +0.000%	1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -5.90%E -4.12%K -13.71%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-09-14 22:40
GTbets🎯	2.86I 34.97%NM 34.25%EV -2.21%E -0.772%K -1.19%G +0.000%	1.49I 67.11%NM 65.75%EV -1.95%E -1.31%K -3.98%G +0.000%	2.1%	2026-09-14 22:39
BetOnline.ag🎯	2.85I 35.09%NM 34.33%EV -2.55%E -0.894%K -1.38%G +0.000%	1.49I 67.11%NM 65.67%EV -1.95%E -1.31%K -3.98%G +0.000%	2.2%	2026-09-14 22:41
LowVig.ag🎯	2.85I 35.09%NM 34.33%EV -2.55%E -0.894%K -1.38%G +0.000%	1.49I 67.11%NM 65.67%EV -1.95%E -1.31%K -3.98%G +0.000%	2.2%	2026-09-14 22:40
BetAnything🎯	2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -2.55%E -0.894%K -1.38%G +0.000%	1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -3.26%E -2.22%K -6.95%G +0.000%	3.1%	2026-09-14 22:40
ReBet🎯	2.85I 35.09%NM 33.87%EV -2.55%E -0.894%K -1.38%G +0.000%	1.46I 68.49%NM 66.13%EV -3.92%E -2.69%K -8.53%G +0.000%	3.6%	2026-09-14 22:30
Bet Right🎯	2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.55%E -0.894%K -1.38%G +0.000%	1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.24%E -3.64%K -11.91%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-09-14 22:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯	2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.55%E -0.894%K -1.38%G +0.000%	1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.24%E -3.64%K -11.91%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-09-14 16:40
Unibet (SE)🎯	2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.55%E -0.894%K -1.38%G +0.000%	1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.24%E -3.64%K -11.91%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-09-14 22:40
BetRivers🎯	2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.55%E -0.894%K -1.38%G +0.000%	1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.24%E -3.64%K -11.91%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-09-14 22:40
Svenska Spel🎯	2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.55%E -0.894%K -1.38%G +0.000%	1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.24%E -3.64%K -11.91%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-09-14 22:40
Casumo🎯	2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.55%E -0.894%K -1.38%G +0.000%	1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.90%E -4.12%K -13.71%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-09-14 22:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.55%E -0.894%K -1.38%G +0.000%	1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.90%E -4.12%K -13.71%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-09-14 22:40
ATG (SE)🎯	2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.55%E -0.894%K -1.38%G +0.000%	1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.90%E -4.12%K -13.71%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-09-14 22:40
betPARX🎯	2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.55%E -0.894%K -1.38%G +0.000%	1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.90%E -4.12%K -13.71%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-09-14 22:40
888sport🎯	2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -2.55%E -0.894%K -1.38%G +0.000%	1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -7.87%E -5.62%K -19.68%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-09-14 22:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯	2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -2.55%E -0.894%K -1.38%G +0.000%	1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -7.87%E -5.62%K -19.68%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-09-14 22:35
888sport (SE)🎯	2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -2.55%E -0.894%K -1.38%G +0.000%	1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -7.87%E -5.62%K -19.68%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-09-14 22:35
1xBet🎯	2.84I 35.21%NM 34.56%EV -2.89%E -1.02%K -1.57%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 65.44%EV -1.29%E -0.860%K -2.58%G +0.000%	1.9%	2026-09-14 21:50
FanDuel🎯	2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -2.89%E -1.02%K -1.57%G +0.000%	1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -4.58%E -3.16%K -10.18%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-09-14 22:10
MyBookie.ag🎯	2.82I 35.46%NM 34.11%EV -3.57%E -1.27%K -1.96%G +0.000%	1.46I 68.49%NM 65.89%EV -3.92%E -2.69%K -8.53%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-09-14 20:20
DraftKings🎯	2.82I 35.46%NM 33.96%EV -3.57%E -1.27%K -1.96%G +0.000%	1.45I 68.97%NM 66.04%EV -4.58%E -3.16%K -10.18%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-09-14 22:35
SportsBet🎯	2.81I 35.59%NM 33.88%EV -3.92%E -1.39%K -2.16%G +0.000%	1.44I 69.44%NM 66.12%EV -5.24%E -3.64%K -11.91%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-09-14 22:10
theScore Bet🎯	2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -4.26%E -1.52%K -2.37%G +0.000%	1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.26%E -2.22%K -6.95%G +0.000%	3.7%	2026-09-14 00:50
Fanatics🎯	2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.26%E -1.52%K -2.37%G +0.000%	1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.58%E -3.16%K -10.18%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-09-14 22:20
BetMGM🎯	2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.26%E -1.52%K -2.37%G +0.000%	1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.58%E -3.16%K -10.18%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-09-14 14:10
PlayUp🎯	2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.26%E -1.52%K -2.37%G +0.000%	1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.58%E -3.16%K -10.18%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-09-14 22:40
TAB🎯	2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.26%E -1.52%K -2.37%G +0.000%	1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.58%E -3.16%K -10.18%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-09-14 22:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯	2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.26%E -1.52%K -2.37%G +0.000%	1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.58%E -3.16%K -10.18%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-09-14 22:10
Betr (AU)🎯	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.26%E -1.52%K -2.37%G +0.000%	1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.24%E -3.64%K -11.91%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-09-14 15:05
Coral🎯	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.26%E -1.52%K -2.37%G +0.000%	1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.24%E -3.64%K -11.91%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-09-14 14:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.26%E -1.52%K -2.37%G +0.000%	1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.24%E -3.64%K -11.91%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-09-14 14:10
betfred_uk🎯	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.26%E -1.52%K -2.37%G +0.000%	1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.24%E -3.64%K -11.91%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-09-14 04:40
TABtouch🎯	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.26%E -1.52%K -2.37%G +0.000%	1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.90%E -4.12%K -13.71%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-09-14 22:40
LiveScore Bet🎯	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -4.26%E -1.52%K -2.37%G +0.000%	1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.55%E -4.62%K -15.61%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-09-14 22:40
Virgin Bet🎯	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -4.26%E -1.52%K -2.37%G +0.000%	1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.55%E -4.62%K -15.61%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-09-14 22:40
Paddy Power🎯	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -4.26%E -1.52%K -2.37%G +0.000%	1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.87%E -5.62%K -19.68%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-09-14 20:14
BoyleSports🎯	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -4.26%E -1.52%K -2.37%G +0.000%	1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.87%E -5.62%K -19.68%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-09-14 22:40
BetUS🎯	2.78I 35.97%NM 34.89%EV -4.94%E -1.78%K -2.78%G +0.000%	1.49I 67.11%NM 65.11%EV -1.95%E -1.31%K -3.98%G +0.000%	3.1%	2026-09-14 22:39
Betsson🎯	2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -4.94%E -1.78%K -2.78%G +0.000%	1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -5.24%E -3.64%K -11.91%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-09-14 22:35
NordicBet🎯	2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -4.94%E -1.78%K -2.78%G +0.000%	1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -5.24%E -3.64%K -11.91%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-09-14 22:34
Marathon Bet🎯	2.77I 36.10%NM 34.20%EV -5.28%E -1.91%K -2.99%G +0.000%	1.44I 69.44%NM 65.80%EV -5.24%E -3.64%K -11.91%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-09-14 22:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -5.97%E -2.17%K -3.41%G +0.000%	1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -2.61%E -1.76%K -5.43%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-09-14 14:30
William Hill🎯	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.97%E -2.17%K -3.41%G +0.000%	1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.24%E -3.64%K -11.91%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-09-14 16:34
Grosvenor🎯	2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -5.97%E -2.17%K -3.41%G +0.000%	1.38I 72.46%NM 66.59%EV -9.19%E -6.66%K -24.18%G +0.000%	8.8%	2026-09-14 22:40
Unibet (UK)🎯	2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -7.68%E -2.84%K -4.52%G +0.000%	1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.61%E -1.76%K -5.43%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-09-14 22:40
LeoVegas🎯	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -7.68%E -2.84%K -4.52%G +0.000%	1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -6.55%E -4.62%K -15.61%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-09-14 22:40
Neds🎯	2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -9.39%E -3.54%K -5.69%G +0.000%	1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -2.61%E -1.76%K -5.43%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-14 14:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -9.39%E -3.54%K -5.69%G +0.000%	1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -2.61%E -1.76%K -5.43%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-14 14:10
Betway🎯	2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -9.39%E -3.54%K -5.69%G +0.000%	1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -2.61%E -1.76%K -5.43%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-14 22:40
Winamax (DE)🎯	2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -9.39%E -3.54%K -5.69%G +0.000%	1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -3.26%E -2.22%K -6.95%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-09-14 22:40
Winamax (FR)🎯	2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -11.10%E -4.27%K -6.94%G +0.000%	1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -3.92%E -2.69%K -8.53%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-09-14 22:40
Bet Victor🎯	2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -11.10%E -4.27%K -6.94%G +0.000%	1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -4.58%E -3.16%K -10.18%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-09-14 22:25
betano_uk🎯	2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -11.10%E -4.27%K -6.94%G +0.000%	1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -4.58%E -3.16%K -10.18%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-09-14 22:30
Unibet (FR)🎯	2.60I 38.46%NM 34.67%EV -11.10%E -4.27%K -6.94%G +0.000%	1.38I 72.46%NM 65.33%EV -9.19%E -6.66%K -24.18%G +0.000%	10.9%	2026-09-14 22:34
Betclic (FR)🎯	2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -12.81%E -5.02%K -8.26%G +0.000%	1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -4.58%E -3.16%K -10.18%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-09-14 22:40

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (10)

博彩公司	主队	客队	利润率 ▲	更新时间
ProphetX◎	3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%	1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%	0.4%	2026-09-14 22:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎	3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%	1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%	0.4%	2026-09-14 22:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎	3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%	1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%	0.4%	2026-09-14 22:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎	2.98I 33.56%NM 33.33%	1.49I 67.11%NM 66.67%	0.7%	2026-09-14 22:25
Novig◎	2.99I 33.44%NM 33.11%	1.48I 67.57%NM 66.89%	1.0%	2026-09-14 22:40
Kalshi◎	2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%	1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%	1.1%	2026-09-14 14:50
Polymarket◎	2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%	1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%	1.1%	2026-09-14 22:40
Matchbook◎	3.00I 33.33%NM 32.74%	1.46I 68.49%NM 67.26%	1.8%	2026-09-14 22:40
Smarkets◎	2.96I 33.78%NM 32.88%	1.45I 68.97%NM 67.12%	2.7%	2026-09-14 22:40
BetOpenly◎	2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73%	1.49I 67.11%NM 65.27%	2.8%	2026-09-14 22:35

Cincinnati Reds v Los Angeles Dodgers

胜负盘

Cincinnati Reds (主队)

Los Angeles Dodgers (客队)

博彩公司赔率 (64 家博彩公司)

博彩交易所 ? (10)

博彩交易所 (10)