L’École des cotesodds.school
Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)
+ Nouveau modèleTous les modèles

Cincinnati Reds v Los Angeles Dodgers

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-14 22:41 UTC

Score final : Cincinnati Reds 1–4 Los Angeles Dodgers

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

64 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Cincinnati Reds (Local)

Prévision 34.19%2.92cote équitable
EV +0.870%
Avantage +0.295%
Kelly +0.446%
Croissance +0.004%

avec la cote maximale 2.95

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.34%34.32%34.12%36.25%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.552.802.802.9539.22%35.74%35.71%33.90%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Los Angeles Dodgers (Visiteur)

Prévision 65.81%1.52cote équitable
EV -1.29%
Avantage -0.860%
Kelly -2.58%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
63.75%65.68%65.88%67.66%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.381.441.441.5072.46%69.33%69.44%66.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Cincinnati Reds (Local) : 34.19% ; Los Angeles Dodgers (Visiteur) : 65.81%. Pour Cincinnati Reds (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.92. 2 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 2.95, soit une espérance positive de +0.870%.

Cotes des opérateurs (64 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Bovada🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV +0.870%E +0.295%K +0.446%G +0.004%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -6.55%E -4.62%K -15.61%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-14 22:39
Fliff🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV +0.870%E +0.295%K +0.446%G +0.004%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -7.21%E -5.12%K -17.59%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-14 22:40
Caesars🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV -0.155%E -0.053%K -0.081%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -5.90%E -4.12%K -13.71%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-14 22:40
Unibet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -0.839%E -0.289%K -0.442%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.90%E -4.12%K -13.71%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-14 22:10
Tipico (DE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -0.839%E -0.289%K -0.442%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.87%E -5.62%K -19.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-14 22:35
Dabble (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -0.839%E -0.289%K -0.442%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.87%E -5.62%K -19.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-14 22:40
Pinnacle🎯2.89I 34.60%NM 33.87%EV -1.18%E -0.409%K -0.625%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 66.13%EV -2.61%E -1.76%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.2%2026-09-14 22:15
Unibet (NL)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -1.52%E -0.529%K -0.810%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -5.90%E -4.12%K -13.71%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-14 22:40
Bally Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -1.52%E -0.529%K -0.810%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -5.90%E -4.12%K -13.71%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-14 22:40
GTbets🎯2.86I 34.97%NM 34.25%EV -2.21%E -0.772%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.75%EV -1.95%E -1.31%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-14 22:39
BetOnline.ag🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 34.33%EV -2.55%E -0.894%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.67%EV -1.95%E -1.31%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.2%2026-09-14 22:41
LowVig.ag🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 34.33%EV -2.55%E -0.894%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.67%EV -1.95%E -1.31%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.2%2026-09-14 22:40
BetAnything🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -2.55%E -0.894%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -3.26%E -2.22%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-14 22:40
ReBet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.87%EV -2.55%E -0.894%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 66.13%EV -3.92%E -2.69%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-14 22:30
Bet Right🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.55%E -0.894%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.24%E -3.64%K -11.91%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-14 22:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.55%E -0.894%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.24%E -3.64%K -11.91%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-14 16:40
Unibet (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.55%E -0.894%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.24%E -3.64%K -11.91%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-14 22:40
BetRivers🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.55%E -0.894%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.24%E -3.64%K -11.91%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-14 22:40
Svenska Spel🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.55%E -0.894%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.24%E -3.64%K -11.91%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-14 22:40
Casumo🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.55%E -0.894%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.90%E -4.12%K -13.71%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-14 22:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.55%E -0.894%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.90%E -4.12%K -13.71%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-14 22:40
ATG (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.55%E -0.894%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.90%E -4.12%K -13.71%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-14 22:40
betPARX🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.55%E -0.894%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.90%E -4.12%K -13.71%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-14 22:40
888sport🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -2.55%E -0.894%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -7.87%E -5.62%K -19.68%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-14 22:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -2.55%E -0.894%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -7.87%E -5.62%K -19.68%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-14 22:35
888sport (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -2.55%E -0.894%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -7.87%E -5.62%K -19.68%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-14 22:35
1xBet🎯2.84I 35.21%NM 34.56%EV -2.89%E -1.02%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 65.44%EV -1.29%E -0.860%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.9%2026-09-14 21:50
FanDuel🎯2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -2.89%E -1.02%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -4.58%E -3.16%K -10.18%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-14 22:10
MyBookie.ag🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 34.11%EV -3.57%E -1.27%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.89%EV -3.92%E -2.69%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-14 20:20
DraftKings🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 33.96%EV -3.57%E -1.27%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.04%EV -4.58%E -3.16%K -10.18%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-14 22:35
SportsBet🎯2.81I 35.59%NM 33.88%EV -3.92%E -1.39%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.12%EV -5.24%E -3.64%K -11.91%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-14 22:10
theScore Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -4.26%E -1.52%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.26%E -2.22%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-14 00:50
Fanatics🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.26%E -1.52%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.58%E -3.16%K -10.18%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-14 22:20
BetMGM🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.26%E -1.52%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.58%E -3.16%K -10.18%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-14 14:10
PlayUp🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.26%E -1.52%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.58%E -3.16%K -10.18%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-14 22:40
TAB🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.26%E -1.52%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.58%E -3.16%K -10.18%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-14 22:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.26%E -1.52%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.58%E -3.16%K -10.18%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-14 22:10
Betr (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.26%E -1.52%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.24%E -3.64%K -11.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-14 15:05
Coral🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.26%E -1.52%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.24%E -3.64%K -11.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-14 14:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.26%E -1.52%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.24%E -3.64%K -11.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-14 14:10
betfred_uk🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.26%E -1.52%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.24%E -3.64%K -11.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-14 04:40
TABtouch🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.26%E -1.52%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.90%E -4.12%K -13.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-14 22:40
LiveScore Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -4.26%E -1.52%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.55%E -4.62%K -15.61%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-14 22:40
Virgin Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -4.26%E -1.52%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.55%E -4.62%K -15.61%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-14 22:40
Paddy Power🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -4.26%E -1.52%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.87%E -5.62%K -19.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-14 20:14
BoyleSports🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -4.26%E -1.52%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.87%E -5.62%K -19.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-14 22:40
BetUS🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 34.89%EV -4.94%E -1.78%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.11%EV -1.95%E -1.31%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-14 22:39
Betsson🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -4.94%E -1.78%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -5.24%E -3.64%K -11.91%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-14 22:35
NordicBet🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -4.94%E -1.78%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -5.24%E -3.64%K -11.91%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-14 22:34
Marathon Bet🎯2.77I 36.10%NM 34.20%EV -5.28%E -1.91%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.80%EV -5.24%E -3.64%K -11.91%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-14 22:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -5.97%E -2.17%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -2.61%E -1.76%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-14 14:30
William Hill🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.97%E -2.17%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.24%E -3.64%K -11.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-14 16:34
Grosvenor🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -5.97%E -2.17%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 66.59%EV -9.19%E -6.66%K -24.18%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-14 22:40
Unibet (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -7.68%E -2.84%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.61%E -1.76%K -5.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-14 22:40
LeoVegas🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -7.68%E -2.84%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -6.55%E -4.62%K -15.61%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-14 22:40
Neds🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -9.39%E -3.54%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -2.61%E -1.76%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-14 14:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -9.39%E -3.54%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -2.61%E -1.76%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-14 14:10
Betway🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -9.39%E -3.54%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -2.61%E -1.76%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-14 22:40
Winamax (DE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -9.39%E -3.54%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -3.26%E -2.22%K -6.95%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-14 22:40
Winamax (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -11.10%E -4.27%K -6.94%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -3.92%E -2.69%K -8.53%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-14 22:40
Bet Victor🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -11.10%E -4.27%K -6.94%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -4.58%E -3.16%K -10.18%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-14 22:25
betano_uk🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -11.10%E -4.27%K -6.94%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -4.58%E -3.16%K -10.18%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-14 22:30
Unibet (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.67%EV -11.10%E -4.27%K -6.94%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 65.33%EV -9.19%E -6.66%K -24.18%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-14 22:34
Betclic (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -12.81%E -5.02%K -8.26%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -4.58%E -3.16%K -10.18%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-14 22:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
ProphetX◎3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%0.4%2026-09-14 22:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%0.4%2026-09-14 22:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%0.4%2026-09-14 22:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.98I 33.56%NM 33.33%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.67%0.7%2026-09-14 22:25
Novig◎2.99I 33.44%NM 33.11%1.48I 67.57%NM 66.89%1.0%2026-09-14 22:40
Kalshi◎2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%1.1%2026-09-14 14:50
Polymarket◎2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%1.1%2026-09-14 22:40
Matchbook◎3.00I 33.33%NM 32.74%1.46I 68.49%NM 67.26%1.8%2026-09-14 22:40
Smarkets◎2.96I 33.78%NM 32.88%1.45I 68.97%NM 67.12%2.7%2026-09-14 22:40
BetOpenly◎2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.27%2.8%2026-09-14 22:35