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Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)
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Cincinnati Reds v Los Angeles Dodgers

2026-09-14 22:41 UTC — MLB

Resultado del partido

62 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Cincinnati Reds (Local)

Predicción 34.98%2.86momio equitativo
EV +4.93%
Ventaja +1.64%
Kelly +2.46%
Crecimiento +0.121%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.97%34.89%34.94%36.59%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.552.772.753.0039.22%36.07%36.36%33.33%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Los Angeles Dodgers (Visitante)

Predicción 65.02%1.54momio equitativo
EV -1.16%
Ventaja -0.766%
Kelly -2.24%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.52

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
63.41%65.11%65.06%68.03%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.361.451.461.5273.53%68.80%68.49%65.79%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Cincinnati Reds (Local): 34.98%; Los Angeles Dodgers (Visitante): 65.02%. Para Cincinnati Reds (Local), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.86. 14 corredores ofrecen momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 3.00, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +4.93%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Unibet (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV +4.93%E +1.64%K +2.46%G +0.121%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -8.32%E -5.90%K -20.28%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-13 22:30
BetRivers🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV +4.93%E +1.64%K +2.46%G +0.121%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -8.32%E -5.90%K -20.28%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-13 22:30
Unibet (NL)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV +4.93%E +1.64%K +2.46%G +0.121%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -8.32%E -5.90%K -20.28%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-13 22:30
Svenska Spel🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV +4.93%E +1.64%K +2.46%G +0.121%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -8.32%E -5.90%K -20.28%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-13 22:30
Casumo🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV +3.18%E +1.08%K +1.63%G +0.052%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -8.32%E -5.90%K -20.28%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-13 22:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV +3.18%E +1.08%K +1.63%G +0.052%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -8.32%E -5.90%K -20.28%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-13 22:30
ATG (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV +3.18%E +1.08%K +1.63%G +0.052%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -8.32%E -5.90%K -20.28%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-13 22:30
betPARX🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV +3.18%E +1.08%K +1.63%G +0.052%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -8.32%E -5.90%K -20.28%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-13 22:30
Bally Bet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV +3.18%E +1.08%K +1.63%G +0.052%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -8.32%E -5.90%K -20.28%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-13 22:30
Unibet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV +3.18%E +1.08%K +1.63%G +0.052%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -8.32%E -5.90%K -20.28%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-13 22:30
TABtouch🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV +3.18%E +1.08%K +1.63%G +0.052%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -8.97%E -6.41%K -22.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-13 23:00
Fliff🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV +1.43%E +0.494%K +0.754%G +0.011%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -7.67%E -5.40%K -18.25%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-14 01:35
LiveScore Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV +1.43%E +0.494%K +0.754%G +0.011%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -10.27%E -7.44%K -27.02%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-13 22:30
Virgin Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV +1.43%E +0.494%K +0.754%G +0.011%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -10.27%E -7.44%K -27.02%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-13 22:30
Grosvenor🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -0.317%E -0.111%K -0.171%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -11.57%E -8.51%K -32.13%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-13 22:30
Pinnacle🎯2.84I 35.21%NM 34.26%EV -0.667%E -0.235%K -0.362%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.74%EV -3.77%E -2.54%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-14 01:50
BetOnline.ag🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.88%EV -2.07%E -0.738%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 65.12%EV -2.46%E -1.64%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-14 01:50
GTbets🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.88%EV -2.07%E -0.738%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 65.12%EV -2.46%E -1.64%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-14 01:50
LowVig.ag🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.88%EV -2.07%E -0.738%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 65.12%EV -2.46%E -1.64%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-14 01:50
theScore Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -2.07%E -0.738%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -4.42%E -3.00%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-14 00:50
Bovada🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 34.43%EV -2.77%E -0.995%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.57%EV -5.07%E -3.47%K -11.01%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-14 01:34
Coolbet🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -2.77%E -0.995%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -5.72%E -3.94%K -12.70%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-14 01:50
1xBet🎯2.77I 36.10%NM 35.43%EV -3.12%E -1.12%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 64.57%EV -1.16%E -0.766%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.9%2026-09-13 23:30
BetUS🎯2.76I 36.23%NM 35.21%EV -3.47%E -1.26%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.79%EV -2.46%E -1.64%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-14 00:50
FanDuel🎯2.76I 36.23%NM 34.91%EV -3.47%E -1.26%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.09%EV -3.77%E -2.54%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-13 19:30
DraftKings🎯2.76I 36.23%NM 34.60%EV -3.47%E -1.26%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.40%EV -5.07%E -3.47%K -11.01%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-14 00:04
MyBookie.ag🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -3.81%E -1.39%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.77%E -2.54%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-14 00:29
Caesars🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -3.81%E -1.39%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.77%E -2.54%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-14 00:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -3.81%E -1.39%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.77%E -2.54%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-14 01:35
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -3.81%E -1.39%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.77%E -2.54%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-13 22:59
BetAnything🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -3.81%E -1.39%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.77%E -2.54%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-14 02:10
Fanatics🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -3.81%E -1.39%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.42%E -3.00%K -9.39%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-14 01:35
Bet Right🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -3.81%E -1.39%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -5.07%E -3.47%K -11.01%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-14 01:50
888sport🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -3.81%E -1.39%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.72%E -3.94%K -12.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-13 19:40
Betr (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -3.81%E -1.39%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.72%E -3.94%K -12.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-14 01:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -3.81%E -1.39%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.72%E -3.94%K -12.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-13 19:40
888sport (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -3.81%E -1.39%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.72%E -3.94%K -12.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-13 19:40
betfred_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -3.81%E -1.39%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.37%E -4.42%K -14.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-14 00:35
William Hill🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -3.81%E -1.39%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.37%E -4.42%K -14.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-13 20:25
SportsBet🎯2.73I 36.63%NM 34.53%EV -4.51%E -1.65%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.47%EV -6.37%E -4.42%K -14.47%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-13 19:30
TAB🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -5.56%E -2.06%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -2.46%E -1.64%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-13 23:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -5.56%E -2.06%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -2.46%E -1.64%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-13 21:05
Coral🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.56%E -2.06%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.77%E -2.54%K -7.84%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-13 23:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.56%E -2.06%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.77%E -2.54%K -7.84%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-13 23:00
BetMGM🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.56%E -2.06%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.77%E -2.54%K -7.84%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-13 23:00
PlayUp🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.56%E -2.06%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.77%E -2.54%K -7.84%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-14 01:35
Unibet (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.56%E -2.06%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.42%E -3.00%K -9.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-13 23:30
LeoVegas🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.56%E -2.06%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.42%E -3.00%K -9.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-13 23:30
Winamax (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -5.56%E -2.06%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -5.07%E -3.47%K -11.01%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-13 22:15
Tipico (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.56%E -2.06%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.72%E -3.94%K -12.70%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-13 23:30
Dabble (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.56%E -2.06%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.72%E -3.94%K -12.70%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-14 01:35
Paddy Power🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -5.56%E -2.06%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -6.37%E -4.42%K -14.47%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-13 19:30
Marathon Bet🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 35.42%EV -6.26%E -2.34%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.58%EV -4.42%E -3.00%K -9.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-13 23:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -7.31%E -2.76%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -2.46%E -1.64%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-13 19:35
Betclic (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -7.31%E -2.76%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -5.07%E -3.47%K -11.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-13 23:29
ReBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -7.31%E -2.76%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -5.07%E -3.47%K -11.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-13 23:28
Bet Victor🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -8.36%E -3.19%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.37%EV -5.72%E -3.94%K -12.70%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 23:33
betano_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -8.36%E -3.19%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.37%EV -5.72%E -3.94%K -12.70%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 23:30
Neds🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -9.06%E -3.49%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.46%E -1.64%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-13 23:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -9.06%E -3.49%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.46%E -1.64%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-13 23:00
Unibet (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.93%EV -10.81%E -4.24%K -6.97%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.07%EV -7.02%E -4.91%K -16.32%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-13 23:30
Winamax (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.93%EV -10.81%E -4.24%K -6.97%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.07%EV -7.02%E -4.91%K -16.32%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-13 23:30
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Polymarket◎2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%0.8%2026-09-14 00:15
ProphetX◎2.96I 33.78%NM 33.48%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.52%0.9%2026-09-14 01:40
Kalshi◎2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%1.1%2026-09-14 01:35
Novig◎2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%1.1%2026-09-14 02:30
Matchbook◎2.84I 35.21%NM 34.11%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.89%3.2%2026-09-14 01:35
Smarkets◎2.66I 37.59%NM 34.96%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.04%7.5%2026-09-13 23:30
Arbitraje (11 combinaciones) +0.88%Unibet (SE) 3.00 (33.6%) / 1xBet 1.52 (66.4%)Ver las 11 combinaciones
Cincinnati Reds (Local)Los Angeles Dodgers (Visitante)Margen
Unibet (SE)🎯 3.00 (33.6%)1xBet🎯 1.52 (66.4%)+0.885%
BetRivers🎯 3.00 (33.6%)1xBet🎯 1.52 (66.4%)+0.885%
Unibet (NL)🎯 3.00 (33.6%)1xBet🎯 1.52 (66.4%)+0.885%
Svenska Spel🎯 3.00 (33.6%)1xBet🎯 1.52 (66.4%)+0.885%
Casumo🎯 2.95 (34.0%)1xBet🎯 1.52 (66.0%)+0.313%
LeoVegas (SE)🎯 2.95 (34.0%)1xBet🎯 1.52 (66.0%)+0.313%
ATG (SE)🎯 2.95 (34.0%)1xBet🎯 1.52 (66.0%)+0.313%
betPARX🎯 2.95 (34.0%)1xBet🎯 1.52 (66.0%)+0.313%
Bally Bet🎯 2.95 (34.0%)1xBet🎯 1.52 (66.0%)+0.313%
Unibet🎯 2.95 (34.0%)1xBet🎯 1.52 (66.0%)+0.313%
TABtouch🎯 2.95 (34.0%)1xBet🎯 1.52 (66.0%)+0.313%