Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cincinnati Reds v Cleveland Guardians

2026-07-28 17:41 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

59 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cincinnati Reds (Local)

Prediction 59.01%1.69fair odd
EV -1.45%
Edge -0.870%
Kelly -2.17%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.67

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.69%59.07%58.97%60.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.551.621.621.6764.52%61.70%61.73%59.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Cleveland Guardians (Visit)

Prediction 40.99%2.44fair odd
EV -0.394%
Edge -0.162%
Kelly -0.275%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.43

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.24%40.93%41.03%42.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.232.322.302.4344.84%43.08%43.48%41.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%EV -1.45%E -0.870%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%EV -2.44%E -1.03%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-28 07:25
theScore Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.63%E -1.60%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.67%E -1.56%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-28 02:35
Hard Rock Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.63%E -1.60%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.72%E -2.49%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-28 03:35
Dabble (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -2.63%E -1.60%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.77%E -3.45%K -6.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-28 07:19
GTbets1.64I 60.98%NM 59.71%EV -3.22%E -1.97%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.29%EV -0.394%E -0.162%K -0.275%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-28 05:25
LowVig.ag1.64I 60.98%NM 59.51%EV -3.22%E -1.97%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 40.49%EV -1.21%E -0.504%K -0.861%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-28 05:25
BetOnline.ag1.64I 60.98%NM 59.51%EV -3.22%E -1.97%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 40.49%EV -1.21%E -0.504%K -0.861%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-28 05:25
BetUS1.64I 60.98%NM 59.31%EV -3.22%E -1.97%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.69%EV -2.03%E -0.851%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.8%2026-07-28 05:25
Unibet (NL)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -3.22%E -1.97%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -4.49%E -1.93%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-28 05:05
BetRivers1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -3.22%E -1.97%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -4.49%E -1.93%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-28 05:05
Unibet (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -3.22%E -1.97%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -4.49%E -1.93%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-28 05:05
Svenska Spel1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -3.22%E -1.97%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -4.49%E -1.93%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-28 05:05
PointsBet (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.81%E -2.34%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -3.67%E -1.56%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-28 04:30
FanDuel1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -3.81%E -2.34%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -4.08%E -1.74%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-28 07:20
PlayUp1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.81%E -2.34%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.72%E -2.49%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-28 07:05
Bet Right1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.81%E -2.34%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.72%E -2.49%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-28 03:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.81%E -2.34%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.72%E -2.49%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-28 05:05
Unibet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.81%E -2.34%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.72%E -2.49%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-28 05:05
Casumo1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.81%E -2.34%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.72%E -2.49%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-28 05:05
ATG (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.81%E -2.34%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.72%E -2.49%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-28 05:05
betPARX1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.81%E -2.34%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.72%E -2.49%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-28 05:05
Bally Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.81%E -2.34%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.72%E -2.49%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-28 05:05
NordicBet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -3.81%E -2.34%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -6.95%E -3.06%K -5.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-28 05:25
Betsson1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -3.81%E -2.34%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -6.95%E -3.06%K -5.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-28 05:25
MyBookie.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -4.40%E -2.72%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -3.26%E -1.38%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-28 07:18
Caesars1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.40%E -2.72%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.67%E -1.56%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-28 04:09
LeoVegas1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.40%E -2.72%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.67%E -1.56%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-28 07:19
Bovada1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -4.40%E -2.72%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV -4.08%E -1.74%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-28 07:18
Unibet (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.40%E -2.72%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -4.49%E -1.93%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-28 07:18
SportsBet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -4.40%E -2.72%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -5.31%E -2.30%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-28 07:19
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.40%E -2.72%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.72%E -2.49%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-28 01:25
888sport1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.40%E -2.72%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.72%E -2.49%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-28 03:30
Coolbet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.40%E -2.72%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.72%E -2.49%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-28 03:30
Betr (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.40%E -2.72%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.72%E -2.49%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-28 03:30
Mr Green (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.40%E -2.72%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.72%E -2.49%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-28 03:30
888sport (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.40%E -2.72%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.72%E -2.49%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-28 03:30
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.40%E -2.72%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.72%E -2.49%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-28 04:15
Ladbrokes (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.40%E -2.72%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.72%E -2.49%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-28 04:05
Neds1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.40%E -2.72%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.72%E -2.49%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-28 04:05
Fliff1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.40%E -2.72%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.72%E -2.49%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-28 06:15
Virgin Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.40%E -2.72%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.72%E -2.49%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-28 05:05
LiveScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.40%E -2.72%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.72%E -2.49%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-28 05:05
TABtouch1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.40%E -2.72%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.72%E -2.49%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-28 05:05
ReBet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.99%E -3.10%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.67%E -1.56%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-28 07:19
DraftKings1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.99%E -3.10%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.67%E -1.56%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-28 05:25
BetMGM1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.99%E -3.10%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.67%E -1.56%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-28 04:09
Betway1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.99%E -3.10%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.67%E -1.56%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-28 07:19
Marathon Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.93%EV -4.99%E -3.10%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.07%EV -5.31%E -2.30%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-28 07:19
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -5.58%E -3.49%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -2.85%E -1.20%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-28 04:10
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -5.58%E -3.49%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -2.85%E -1.20%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-28 04:05
Paddy Power1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.58%E -3.49%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.72%E -2.49%K -4.40%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-28 07:18
Winamax (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.58%E -3.49%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.72%E -2.49%K -4.40%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-28 07:19
Betclic (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.58%E -3.49%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.72%E -2.49%K -4.40%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-28 07:19
betano_uk1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.58%E -3.49%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.72%E -2.49%K -4.40%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-28 07:19
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.58%E -3.49%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.72%E -2.49%K -4.40%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-28 07:20
Unibet (FR)1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -6.17%E -3.88%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -7.77%E -3.45%K -6.22%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-28 07:19
Winamax (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -6.76%E -4.28%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -5.72%E -2.49%K -4.40%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-28 07:20
Grosvenor1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -7.35%E -4.68%K -12.90%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.32%EV -8.59%E -3.85%K -6.99%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-28 05:05
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -8.53%E -5.51%K -15.52%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -1.62%E -0.676%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-28 07:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (9)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.68I 59.52%NM 59.42%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.58%0.2%2026-07-28 07:19
ProphetX1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67%0.8%2026-07-28 04:40
Kalshi1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-07-28 05:55
Polymarket1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-07-28 05:20
Novig1.65I 60.61%NM 59.36%2.41I 41.49%NM 40.64%2.1%2026-07-28 06:30
Matchbook1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%4.8%2026-07-28 07:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.01I 99.01%NM 69.67%2.32I 43.10%NM 30.33%42.1%2026-07-28 07:29
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.01I 99.01%NM 69.67%2.32I 43.10%NM 30.33%42.1%2026-07-28 07:29
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.01I 99.01%NM 69.49%2.30I 43.48%NM 30.51%42.5%2026-07-28 07:30