Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Cincinnati Reds v Cleveland Guardians

Inizio: 2026-07-28 17:42 UTC

Finale: Cincinnati Reds 5–6 Cleveland Guardians

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

62 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Cincinnati Reds (Casa)

Previsione 59.77%1.67quota equa
EV -1.37%
Vantaggio -0.832%
Kelly -2.11%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.65

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
57.69%59.81%59.80%60.76%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.531.591.591.6565.36%62.78%62.89%60.61%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Cleveland Guardians (Trasferta)

Previsione 40.23%2.49quota equa
EV -1.45%
Vantaggio -0.591%
Kelly -0.998%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.45

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
39.24%40.19%40.20%42.31%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.252.382.382.4544.44%42.09%42.02%40.82%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Cincinnati Reds (Casa): 59.77%; Cleveland Guardians (Trasferta): 40.23%. Per Cincinnati Reds (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 1.67. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello: la migliore era 1.65, con un valore atteso del -1.37%; non produceva valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (62 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -1.37%E -0.832%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -9.49%E -4.22%K -7.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-28 10:04
GTbets🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%EV -1.97%E -1.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20%EV -1.85%E -0.758%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-28 17:39
Pinnacle🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%EV -1.97%E -1.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20%EV -1.85%E -0.758%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-28 17:29
1xBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.71%EV -1.97%E -1.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.29%EV -2.25%E -0.927%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-28 17:24
LowVig.ag🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.61%EV -1.97%E -1.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.39%EV -2.65%E -1.10%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-28 17:39
BetAnything🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.20%EV -1.97%E -1.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.80%EV -4.26%E -1.79%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-28 17:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -3.17%E -1.95%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -1.45%E -0.591%K -0.998%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-28 17:39
BetUS🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.00%EV -3.17%E -1.95%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.00%EV -2.25%E -0.927%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-28 17:34
BetRivers🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.00%EV -3.17%E -1.95%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.00%EV -2.25%E -0.927%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-28 17:34
Svenska Spel🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.00%EV -3.17%E -1.95%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.00%EV -2.25%E -0.927%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-28 17:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -3.17%E -1.95%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -4.26%E -1.79%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-28 17:39
MyBookie.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.40%EV -3.17%E -1.95%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.60%EV -4.67%E -1.97%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-28 17:38
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.17%E -1.95%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.48%E -3.25%K -5.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-28 17:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.17%E -1.95%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.48%E -3.25%K -5.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-28 17:39
Neds🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.17%E -1.95%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.48%E -3.25%K -5.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-28 17:39
ReBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.76%E -2.34%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.46%E -1.44%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-28 17:04
Caesars🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.76%E -2.34%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.46%E -1.44%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-28 17:34
DraftKings🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.45%EV -3.76%E -2.34%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.55%EV -5.07%E -2.15%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-28 17:40
Fanatics🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.76%E -2.34%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.47%E -2.33%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-28 17:34
NordicBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -3.76%E -2.34%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -6.27%E -2.69%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-28 15:14
Betsson🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -3.76%E -2.34%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -6.27%E -2.69%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-28 15:08
FanDuel🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.36%E -2.73%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.46%E -1.44%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-28 17:29
Bet Right🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.36%E -2.73%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -4.26%E -1.79%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-28 15:44
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -4.36%E -2.73%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -4.67%E -1.97%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-28 17:39
Coral🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -4.36%E -2.73%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -4.67%E -1.97%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-28 17:39
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.36%E -2.73%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.47%E -2.33%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-28 17:09
888sport🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.36%E -2.73%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.47%E -2.33%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-28 15:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.36%E -2.73%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.47%E -2.33%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-28 15:09
888sport (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.36%E -2.73%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.47%E -2.33%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-28 15:10
LeoVegas🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.36%E -2.73%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.47%E -2.33%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-28 17:39
theScore Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -4.96%E -3.12%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -1.45%E -0.591%K -0.998%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-28 15:24
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.96%E -3.12%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.46%E -1.44%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-28 15:04
BetMGM🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.96%E -3.12%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.46%E -1.44%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-28 17:08
Coolbet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -4.96%E -3.12%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -4.67%E -1.97%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-28 15:45
Marathon Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.75%EV -4.96%E -3.12%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.25%EV -5.07%E -2.15%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 17:24
Unibet (FR)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -4.96%E -3.12%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -5.47%E -2.33%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-28 17:39
Betr (AU)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -4.96%E -3.12%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -5.47%E -2.33%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-28 15:09
Fliff🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -4.96%E -3.12%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -5.47%E -2.33%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-28 16:14
SportsBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.20%EV -5.56%E -3.52%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.80%EV -3.86%E -1.62%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-28 17:29
Winamax (DE)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.56%E -3.52%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.47%E -2.33%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-28 17:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -6.15%E -3.92%K -10.80%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -2.25%E -0.927%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-28 17:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -6.15%E -3.92%K -10.80%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -2.25%E -0.927%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-28 17:35
Unibet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -6.15%E -3.92%K -10.80%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -2.25%E -0.927%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-28 17:34
Unibet (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -6.15%E -3.92%K -10.80%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -2.25%E -0.927%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-28 17:34
Casumo🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -6.15%E -3.92%K -10.80%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -2.25%E -0.927%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-28 17:34
ATG (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -6.15%E -3.92%K -10.80%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -2.25%E -0.927%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-28 17:35
betPARX🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -6.15%E -3.92%K -10.80%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -2.25%E -0.927%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-28 17:34
Bally Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -6.15%E -3.92%K -10.80%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -2.25%E -0.927%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-28 17:34
Bovada🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -6.15%E -3.92%K -10.80%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -2.25%E -0.927%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-28 17:39
Virgin Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.15%E -3.92%K -10.80%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.46%E -1.44%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-28 17:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.15%E -3.92%K -10.80%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.46%E -1.44%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-28 17:34
Betway🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.15%E -3.92%K -10.80%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.47%E -2.33%K -4.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-28 17:39
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.15%E -3.92%K -10.80%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.48%E -3.25%K -5.75%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-28 15:14
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.15%E -3.92%K -10.80%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.48%E -3.25%K -5.75%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-28 17:39
TABtouch🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.75%E -4.33%K -12.06%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -3.46%E -1.44%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-28 17:35
Winamax (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -6.75%E -4.33%K -12.06%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -7.48%E -3.25%K -5.75%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-28 17:19
Betclic (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.27%EV -6.75%E -4.33%K -12.06%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 40.73%EV -8.69%E -3.83%K -6.84%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-28 17:39
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.35%E -4.74%K -13.36%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -3.46%E -1.44%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-28 07:19
Dabble (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.35%E -4.74%K -13.36%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -3.46%E -1.44%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-28 17:29
betano_uk🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.35%E -4.74%K -13.36%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.48%E -3.25%K -5.75%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-28 17:30
Bet Victor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.35%E -4.74%K -13.36%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.48%E -3.25%K -5.75%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-28 17:28
Grosvenor🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -8.55%E -5.59%K -16.12%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -5.47%E -2.33%K -4.05%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-28 17:35
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (10)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
BetOpenly◎1.65I 60.61%NM 60.62%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.38%-0.0%2026-07-28 17:39
Novig◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.66%2.47I 40.49%NM 40.34%0.4%2026-07-28 17:29
Polymarket◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-07-28 17:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-07-28 17:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-07-28 17:40
ProphetX◎1.66I 60.24%NM 59.51%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49%1.2%2026-07-28 17:35
Kalshi◎1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20%2.0%2026-07-28 11:40
Matchbook◎1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20%2.0%2026-07-28 17:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20%2.0%2026-07-28 17:39
Smarkets◎1.55I 64.52%NM 58.89%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.11%9.6%2026-07-28 17:40