Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Cincinnati Reds v Cleveland Guardians

2026-07-28 17:41 UTC — MLB

Resultado del partido

58 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Cincinnati Reds (Local)

Predicción 59.02%1.69momio equitativo
EV -1.44%
Ventaja -0.862%
Kelly -2.15%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.67

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
58.21%59.08%58.98%60.76%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.551.621.621.6764.52%61.72%61.73%59.88%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Cleveland Guardians (Visitante)

Predicción 40.98%2.44momio equitativo
EV -0.414%
Ventaja -0.170%
Kelly -0.289%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.43

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.24%40.92%41.02%41.79%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.232.322.302.4344.84%43.06%43.48%41.15%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
1xBet1.67I 59.88%NM 58.66%EV -1.44%E -0.862%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 41.34%EV -2.87%E -1.21%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-28 07:54
theScore Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.62%E -1.59%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.69%E -1.57%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-28 02:35
Hard Rock Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.62%E -1.59%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.74%E -2.50%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-28 03:35
GTbets1.64I 60.98%NM 59.71%EV -3.21%E -1.96%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.29%EV -0.414%E -0.170%K -0.289%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-28 05:25
LowVig.ag1.64I 60.98%NM 59.51%EV -3.21%E -1.96%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 40.49%EV -1.23%E -0.512%K -0.875%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-28 05:25
BetOnline.ag1.64I 60.98%NM 59.51%EV -3.21%E -1.96%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 40.49%EV -1.23%E -0.512%K -0.875%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-28 05:25
BetUS1.64I 60.98%NM 59.31%EV -3.21%E -1.96%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.69%EV -2.05%E -0.859%K -1.48%G +0.000%2.8%2026-07-28 05:25
Unibet (NL)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -3.21%E -1.96%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -4.51%E -1.94%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-28 05:05
BetRivers1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -3.21%E -1.96%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -4.51%E -1.94%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-28 05:05
Unibet (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -3.21%E -1.96%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -4.51%E -1.94%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-28 05:05
Svenska Spel1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -3.21%E -1.96%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -4.51%E -1.94%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-28 05:05
PointsBet (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.80%E -2.33%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -3.69%E -1.57%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-28 04:30
FanDuel1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -3.80%E -2.33%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -4.10%E -1.75%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-28 07:20
PlayUp1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.80%E -2.33%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.74%E -2.50%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-28 07:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.80%E -2.33%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.74%E -2.50%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-28 05:05
Unibet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.80%E -2.33%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.74%E -2.50%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-28 05:05
Casumo1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.80%E -2.33%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.74%E -2.50%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-28 05:05
ATG (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.80%E -2.33%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.74%E -2.50%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-28 05:05
betPARX1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.80%E -2.33%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.74%E -2.50%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-28 05:05
Bally Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.80%E -2.33%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.74%E -2.50%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-28 05:05
NordicBet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -3.80%E -2.33%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -6.97%E -3.07%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-28 05:25
Betsson1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -3.80%E -2.33%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -6.97%E -3.07%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-28 05:25
MyBookie.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -4.39%E -2.71%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -3.28%E -1.39%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-28 07:18
Caesars1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.39%E -2.71%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.69%E -1.57%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-28 04:09
LeoVegas1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.39%E -2.71%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.69%E -1.57%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-28 07:19
Bovada1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -4.39%E -2.71%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV -4.10%E -1.75%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-28 07:18
Unibet (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.39%E -2.71%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -4.51%E -1.94%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-28 07:18
Bet Right1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.39%E -2.71%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -4.92%E -2.12%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-28 07:35
SportsBet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -4.39%E -2.71%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -5.33%E -2.31%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-28 07:19
Marathon Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.39%E -2.71%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.74%E -2.50%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-28 07:44
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.39%E -2.71%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.74%E -2.50%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-28 01:25
888sport1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.39%E -2.71%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.74%E -2.50%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-28 03:30
Betr (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.39%E -2.71%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.74%E -2.50%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-28 03:30
Mr Green (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.39%E -2.71%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.74%E -2.50%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-28 03:30
888sport (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.39%E -2.71%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.74%E -2.50%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-28 03:30
Dabble (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.39%E -2.71%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.74%E -2.50%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-28 08:24
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.39%E -2.71%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.74%E -2.50%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-28 04:15
Ladbrokes (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.39%E -2.71%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.74%E -2.50%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-28 04:05
Neds1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.39%E -2.71%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.74%E -2.50%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-28 04:05
Fliff1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.39%E -2.71%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.74%E -2.50%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-28 06:15
Virgin Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.39%E -2.71%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.74%E -2.50%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-28 05:05
LiveScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.39%E -2.71%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.74%E -2.50%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-28 05:05
TABtouch1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.39%E -2.71%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.74%E -2.50%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-28 05:05
ReBet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.98%E -3.09%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.69%E -1.57%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-28 07:19
DraftKings1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.98%E -3.09%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.69%E -1.57%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-28 05:25
BetMGM1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.98%E -3.09%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.69%E -1.57%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-28 04:09
Betway1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.98%E -3.09%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.69%E -1.57%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-28 07:19
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -5.57%E -3.48%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -2.87%E -1.21%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-28 04:10
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -5.57%E -3.48%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -2.87%E -1.21%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-28 04:05
Paddy Power1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.57%E -3.48%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.74%E -2.50%K -4.42%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-28 07:18
Winamax (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.57%E -3.48%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.74%E -2.50%K -4.42%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-28 07:19
Betclic (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.57%E -3.48%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.74%E -2.50%K -4.42%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-28 07:19
betano_uk1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.57%E -3.48%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.74%E -2.50%K -4.42%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-28 07:19
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.57%E -3.48%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.74%E -2.50%K -4.42%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-28 07:20
Unibet (FR)1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -6.16%E -3.88%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -7.79%E -3.46%K -6.23%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-28 07:19
Winamax (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -6.75%E -4.27%K -11.64%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -5.74%E -2.50%K -4.42%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-28 07:20
Grosvenor1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -7.34%E -4.68%K -12.88%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.32%EV -8.61%E -3.86%K -7.00%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-28 05:05
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -8.52%E -5.50%K -15.49%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -1.64%E -0.685%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-28 07:19
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (9)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.68I 59.52%NM 59.42%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.58%0.2%2026-07-28 07:19
ProphetX1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67%0.8%2026-07-28 04:40
Kalshi1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-07-28 05:55
Polymarket1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-07-28 08:00
Novig1.65I 60.61%NM 59.66%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.34%1.6%2026-07-28 07:49
Matchbook1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%4.5%2026-07-28 08:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 65.75%2.40I 41.67%NM 34.25%21.7%2026-07-28 08:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 65.75%2.40I 41.67%NM 34.25%21.7%2026-07-28 08:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.25I 80.00%NM 65.75%2.40I 41.67%NM 34.25%21.7%2026-07-28 08:04