Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Cincinnati Reds v Cleveland Guardians

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-28 17:42 UTC

Score final : Cincinnati Reds 5–6 Cleveland Guardians

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

62 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Cincinnati Reds (Local)

Prévision 59.77%1.67cote équitable
EV -1.37%
Avantage -0.832%
Kelly -2.11%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.65

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
57.69%59.81%59.80%60.76%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.531.591.591.6565.36%62.78%62.89%60.61%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Cleveland Guardians (Visiteur)

Prévision 40.23%2.49cote équitable
EV -1.45%
Avantage -0.591%
Kelly -0.998%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.45

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.24%40.19%40.20%42.31%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.252.382.382.4544.44%42.09%42.02%40.82%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Cincinnati Reds (Local) : 59.77% ; Cleveland Guardians (Visiteur) : 40.23%. Pour Cincinnati Reds (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 1.67. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 1.65, pour une espérance de -1.37% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -1.37%E -0.832%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -9.49%E -4.22%K -7.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-28 10:04
GTbets🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%EV -1.97%E -1.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20%EV -1.85%E -0.758%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-28 17:39
Pinnacle🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%EV -1.97%E -1.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20%EV -1.85%E -0.758%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-28 17:29
1xBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.71%EV -1.97%E -1.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.29%EV -2.25%E -0.927%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-28 17:24
LowVig.ag🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.61%EV -1.97%E -1.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.39%EV -2.65%E -1.10%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-28 17:39
BetAnything🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.20%EV -1.97%E -1.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.80%EV -4.26%E -1.79%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-28 17:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -3.17%E -1.95%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -1.45%E -0.591%K -0.998%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-28 17:39
BetUS🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.00%EV -3.17%E -1.95%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.00%EV -2.25%E -0.927%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-28 17:34
BetRivers🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.00%EV -3.17%E -1.95%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.00%EV -2.25%E -0.927%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-28 17:34
Svenska Spel🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.00%EV -3.17%E -1.95%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.00%EV -2.25%E -0.927%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-28 17:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -3.17%E -1.95%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -4.26%E -1.79%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-28 17:39
MyBookie.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.40%EV -3.17%E -1.95%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.60%EV -4.67%E -1.97%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-28 17:38
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.17%E -1.95%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.48%E -3.25%K -5.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-28 17:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.17%E -1.95%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.48%E -3.25%K -5.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-28 17:39
Neds🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.17%E -1.95%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.48%E -3.25%K -5.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-28 17:39
ReBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.76%E -2.34%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.46%E -1.44%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-28 17:04
Caesars🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.76%E -2.34%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.46%E -1.44%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-28 17:34
DraftKings🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.45%EV -3.76%E -2.34%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.55%EV -5.07%E -2.15%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-28 17:40
Fanatics🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.76%E -2.34%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.47%E -2.33%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-28 17:34
NordicBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -3.76%E -2.34%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -6.27%E -2.69%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-28 15:14
Betsson🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -3.76%E -2.34%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -6.27%E -2.69%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-28 15:08
FanDuel🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.36%E -2.73%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.46%E -1.44%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-28 17:29
Bet Right🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.36%E -2.73%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -4.26%E -1.79%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-28 15:44
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -4.36%E -2.73%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -4.67%E -1.97%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-28 17:39
Coral🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -4.36%E -2.73%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -4.67%E -1.97%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-28 17:39
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.36%E -2.73%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.47%E -2.33%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-28 17:09
888sport🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.36%E -2.73%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.47%E -2.33%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-28 15:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.36%E -2.73%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.47%E -2.33%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-28 15:09
888sport (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.36%E -2.73%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.47%E -2.33%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-28 15:10
LeoVegas🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.36%E -2.73%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.47%E -2.33%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-28 17:39
theScore Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -4.96%E -3.12%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -1.45%E -0.591%K -0.998%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-28 15:24
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.96%E -3.12%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.46%E -1.44%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-28 15:04
BetMGM🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.96%E -3.12%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.46%E -1.44%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-28 17:08
Coolbet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -4.96%E -3.12%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -4.67%E -1.97%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-28 15:45
Marathon Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.75%EV -4.96%E -3.12%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.25%EV -5.07%E -2.15%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 17:24
Unibet (FR)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -4.96%E -3.12%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -5.47%E -2.33%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-28 17:39
Betr (AU)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -4.96%E -3.12%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -5.47%E -2.33%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-28 15:09
Fliff🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -4.96%E -3.12%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -5.47%E -2.33%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-28 16:14
SportsBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.20%EV -5.56%E -3.52%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.80%EV -3.86%E -1.62%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-28 17:29
Winamax (DE)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.56%E -3.52%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.47%E -2.33%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-28 17:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -6.15%E -3.92%K -10.80%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -2.25%E -0.927%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-28 17:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -6.15%E -3.92%K -10.80%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -2.25%E -0.927%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-28 17:35
Unibet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -6.15%E -3.92%K -10.80%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -2.25%E -0.927%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-28 17:34
Unibet (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -6.15%E -3.92%K -10.80%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -2.25%E -0.927%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-28 17:34
Casumo🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -6.15%E -3.92%K -10.80%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -2.25%E -0.927%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-28 17:34
ATG (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -6.15%E -3.92%K -10.80%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -2.25%E -0.927%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-28 17:35
betPARX🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -6.15%E -3.92%K -10.80%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -2.25%E -0.927%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-28 17:34
Bally Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -6.15%E -3.92%K -10.80%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -2.25%E -0.927%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-28 17:34
Bovada🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -6.15%E -3.92%K -10.80%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -2.25%E -0.927%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-28 17:39
Virgin Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.15%E -3.92%K -10.80%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.46%E -1.44%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-28 17:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.15%E -3.92%K -10.80%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.46%E -1.44%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-28 17:34
Betway🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.15%E -3.92%K -10.80%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.47%E -2.33%K -4.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-28 17:39
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.15%E -3.92%K -10.80%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.48%E -3.25%K -5.75%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-28 15:14
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.15%E -3.92%K -10.80%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.48%E -3.25%K -5.75%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-28 17:39
TABtouch🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.75%E -4.33%K -12.06%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -3.46%E -1.44%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-28 17:35
Winamax (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -6.75%E -4.33%K -12.06%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -7.48%E -3.25%K -5.75%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-28 17:19
Betclic (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.27%EV -6.75%E -4.33%K -12.06%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 40.73%EV -8.69%E -3.83%K -6.84%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-28 17:39
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.35%E -4.74%K -13.36%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -3.46%E -1.44%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-28 07:19
Dabble (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.35%E -4.74%K -13.36%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -3.46%E -1.44%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-28 17:29
betano_uk🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.35%E -4.74%K -13.36%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.48%E -3.25%K -5.75%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-28 17:30
Bet Victor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.35%E -4.74%K -13.36%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.48%E -3.25%K -5.75%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-28 17:28
Grosvenor🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -8.55%E -5.59%K -16.12%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -5.47%E -2.33%K -4.05%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-28 17:35
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly◎1.65I 60.61%NM 60.62%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.38%-0.0%2026-07-28 17:39
Novig◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.66%2.47I 40.49%NM 40.34%0.4%2026-07-28 17:29
Polymarket◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-07-28 17:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-07-28 17:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-07-28 17:40
ProphetX◎1.66I 60.24%NM 59.51%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49%1.2%2026-07-28 17:35
Kalshi◎1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20%2.0%2026-07-28 11:40
Matchbook◎1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20%2.0%2026-07-28 17:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20%2.0%2026-07-28 17:39
Smarkets◎1.55I 64.52%NM 58.89%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.11%9.6%2026-07-28 17:40