Language:English
Cincinnati Reds v Chicago Cubs
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Cincinnati Reds (Local)
Prediction 43.92%2.28fair odd
EV +0.140%
Edge +0.062%
Kelly +0.110%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.28
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.44%43.97%43.73%47.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.182.172.2850.00%45.90%46.19%43.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Chicago Cubs (Visit)
Prediction 56.08%1.78fair odd
EV +0.942%
Edge +0.523%
Kelly +1.18%
Growth +0.011%
assuming max odds 1.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.88%56.03%56.27%57.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.701.701.8062.50%58.92%58.82%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cincinnati Reds (Local): 43.92%; Chicago Cubs (Visit): 56.08%. For Chicago Cubs (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.78. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.942%.
Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -11.28%E -5.58%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV +0.942%E +0.523%K +1.18%G +0.011% | 5.1% | 2026-09-18 15:29 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.13%EV -6.01%E -2.81%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.87%EV -1.30%E -0.739%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-18 15:12 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%EV -2.49%E -1.12%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%EV -1.86%E -1.06%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-09-18 15:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -6.01%E -2.81%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -1.86%E -1.06%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-18 15:14 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -1.18%E -0.523%K -0.942%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.42%E -1.39%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-09-18 15:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.72%EV -1.62%E -0.722%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28%EV -2.42%E -1.39%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-09-18 15:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -7.33%E -3.47%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -2.98%E -1.72%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-18 15:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.77%E -3.70%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.98%E -1.72%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-18 15:13 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.77%E -3.70%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.98%E -1.72%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-18 03:35 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV +0.140%E +0.062%K +0.110%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -3.54%E -2.06%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-09-18 15:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%EV -1.18%E -0.523%K -0.942%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%EV -3.54%E -2.06%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-09-18 15:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%EV -1.18%E -0.523%K -0.942%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%EV -3.54%E -2.06%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-09-18 15:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%EV -1.18%E -0.523%K -0.942%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%EV -3.54%E -2.06%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-09-18 15:20 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.65%EV -2.49%E -1.12%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.35%EV -3.54%E -2.06%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-18 15:18 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.57%E -2.59%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.54%E -2.06%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-18 15:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.57%E -2.59%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.54%E -2.06%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-18 15:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -6.01%E -2.81%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -3.54%E -2.06%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-18 15:29 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.89%E -3.25%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.54%E -2.06%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-18 15:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.37%E -1.53%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.11%E -2.40%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-18 15:14 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.37%E -1.53%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.11%E -2.40%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-18 15:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.37%E -1.53%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.11%E -2.40%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-18 15:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.57%E -2.59%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.11%E -2.40%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-18 15:14 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.57%E -2.59%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.11%E -2.40%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-18 15:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.57%E -2.59%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.11%E -2.40%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-18 15:29 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.57%E -2.59%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.11%E -2.40%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-18 15:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.57%E -2.59%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.11%E -2.40%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-18 15:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.57%E -2.59%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.11%E -2.40%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-18 15:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.57%E -2.59%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.11%E -2.40%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-18 15:15 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.77%E -3.70%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.11%E -2.40%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-18 12:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.37%E -1.53%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.67%E -2.74%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-18 15:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.37%E -1.53%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.67%E -2.74%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-18 15:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.37%E -1.53%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.67%E -2.74%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-18 15:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.70%EV -3.81%E -1.74%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.30%EV -4.67%E -2.74%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-18 15:14 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.57%E -2.59%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.67%E -2.74%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-18 15:29 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.57%E -2.59%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.67%E -2.74%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-18 15:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.57%E -2.59%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.67%E -2.74%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-18 15:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.57%E -2.59%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.67%E -2.74%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-18 15:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.57%E -2.59%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.67%E -2.74%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-18 15:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.77%E -3.70%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.67%E -2.74%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-18 15:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.33%EV -2.93%E -1.33%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.67%EV -5.23%E -3.09%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-18 15:14 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.37%E -1.53%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.23%E -3.09%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-18 15:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -4.25%E -1.95%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -5.23%E -3.09%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-18 15:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -5.13%E -2.38%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.23%E -3.09%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-18 15:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -5.13%E -2.38%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.23%E -3.09%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-18 15:24 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.13%EV -6.01%E -2.81%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.87%EV -5.23%E -3.09%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-18 15:18 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -7.77%E -3.70%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -5.79%E -3.45%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-18 15:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -1.18%E -0.523%K -0.942%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -6.35%E -3.80%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-18 15:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -1.18%E -0.523%K -0.942%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -6.35%E -3.80%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-18 15:24 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -1.18%E -0.523%K -0.942%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -6.35%E -3.80%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-18 15:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -1.18%E -0.523%K -0.942%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -6.35%E -3.80%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-18 15:24 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.57%E -2.59%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.35%E -3.80%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-18 15:19 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.57%E -2.59%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.35%E -3.80%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-18 15:18 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.57%E -2.59%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.35%E -3.80%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-18 15:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -1.18%E -0.523%K -0.942%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -6.91%E -4.16%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-18 15:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -1.18%E -0.523%K -0.942%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -6.91%E -4.16%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-18 15:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -1.18%E -0.523%K -0.942%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -6.91%E -4.16%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-18 15:24 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -1.18%E -0.523%K -0.942%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -6.91%E -4.16%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-18 15:24 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -1.18%E -0.523%K -0.942%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -6.91%E -4.16%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-18 15:29 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -1.18%E -0.523%K -0.942%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -6.91%E -4.16%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-18 15:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -2.06%E -0.922%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -7.47%E -4.53%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-18 15:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -3.37%E -1.53%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -8.59%E -5.27%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-18 15:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -3.37%E -1.53%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -8.59%E -5.27%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-18 15:24 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.75%EV -12.16%E -6.08%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.25%EV -9.15%E -5.65%K -14.76%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-18 15:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.44%EV -4.69%E -2.16%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.56%EV -10.27%E -6.42%K -17.12%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-18 15:25 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 43.14% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.86% | -0.1% | 2026-09-18 15:25 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30% | 0.4% | 2026-09-18 15:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30% | 0.4% | 2026-09-18 15:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30% | 0.4% | 2026-09-18 15:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30% | 0.4% | 2026-09-18 15:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30% | 0.4% | 2026-09-18 15:15 |
| Novig◎ | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.81% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.19% | 0.6% | 2026-09-18 15:14 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 1.2% | 2026-09-18 15:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 1.2% | 2026-09-18 15:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.80% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.20% | 2.8% | 2026-09-18 15:15 |