Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Cincinnati Reds v Chicago Cubs

2026-09-18 22:41 UTC — MLB

Frente a frente

62 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Cincinnati Reds (Local)

Previsão 45.94%2.18odd justa
EV -0.319%
Vantagem -0.147%
Kelly -0.273%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.17

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
45.03%45.94%45.95%47.37%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.922.072.052.1752.08%48.41%48.78%46.08%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Chicago Cubs (Visitante)

Previsão 54.06%1.85odd justa
EV -1.60%
Vantagem -0.881%
Kelly -1.96%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.82

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
52.63%54.06%54.05%54.97%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.671.771.771.8259.88%56.47%56.50%54.95%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Frente a frente, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Cincinnati Reds (Local): 45.94%; Chicago Cubs (Visitante): 54.06%. Para Cincinnati Reds (Local), essa estimativa equivale a odds decimais justas de 2.18. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferece odds acima desse nível: as melhores odds disponíveis são 2.17, com valor esperado de -0.319%; não produzem valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (62 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
GTbets🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV -0.319%E -0.147%K -0.273%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -3.23%E -1.80%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.9%2026-09-18 05:00
BetUS🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%EV -0.779%E -0.360%K -0.671%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%EV -3.23%E -1.80%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.2%2026-09-18 05:00
Everygame🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -1.24%E -0.576%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.68%E -1.49%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-18 04:19
LowVig.ag🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -1.24%E -0.576%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -3.23%E -1.80%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-18 05:00
BetOnline.ag🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -1.24%E -0.576%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -3.23%E -1.80%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-18 05:00
1xBet🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%EV -2.16%E -1.01%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%EV -1.60%E -0.881%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.9%2026-09-18 05:44
Pinnacle🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -2.16%E -1.01%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -2.68%E -1.49%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-18 05:15
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -3.53%E -1.68%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -2.68%E -1.49%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-18 03:05
Fanatics🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.53%E -1.68%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.31%E -2.43%K -5.59%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-18 02:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.53%E -1.68%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.31%E -2.43%K -5.59%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-18 04:40
theScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.53%E -1.68%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.31%E -2.43%K -5.59%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-18 03:10
TAB🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.53%E -1.68%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.39%E -3.08%K -7.18%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-18 06:10
Coral🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.53%E -1.68%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.39%E -3.08%K -7.18%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-18 06:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.53%E -1.68%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.39%E -3.08%K -7.18%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-18 06:10
Fliff🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.53%E -1.68%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.93%E -3.41%K -8.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-18 05:00
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.53%E -1.68%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.93%E -3.41%K -8.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-18 06:10
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.53%E -1.68%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.47%E -3.74%K -8.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-18 03:35
Tipico (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -3.53%E -1.68%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -7.01%E -4.08%K -9.74%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-18 07:09
Caesars🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 46.13%EV -3.99%E -1.91%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.87%EV -3.23%E -1.80%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-18 03:10
Bovada🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 45.71%EV -3.99%E -1.91%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.29%EV -4.85%E -2.75%K -6.38%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-18 05:04
DraftKings🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 45.71%EV -3.99%E -1.91%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.29%EV -4.85%E -2.75%K -6.38%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-18 04:35
Coolbet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.45%E -2.14%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.85%E -2.75%K -6.38%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-18 06:48
LeoVegas🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.45%E -2.14%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.39%E -3.08%K -7.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-18 03:40
Unibet (UK)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -4.91%E -2.37%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -3.77%E -2.12%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-18 03:05
NordicBet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.91%E -2.37%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.85%E -2.75%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-18 06:09
Betsson🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.91%E -2.37%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.85%E -2.75%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-18 06:09
FanDuel🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -5.37%E -2.61%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -2.14%E -1.18%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-18 06:10
Bet Right🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -5.37%E -2.61%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -4.31%E -2.43%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-18 06:50
Marathon Bet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -5.37%E -2.61%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -4.85%E -2.75%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-18 05:39
Unibet (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.89%EV -5.83%E -2.84%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.11%EV -2.14%E -1.18%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-18 05:35
BetRivers🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.89%EV -5.83%E -2.84%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.11%EV -2.14%E -1.18%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-18 05:34
Unibet (NL)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.89%EV -5.83%E -2.84%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.11%EV -2.14%E -1.18%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-18 05:35
Svenska Spel🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.89%EV -5.83%E -2.84%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.11%EV -2.14%E -1.18%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-18 05:34
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.83%E -2.84%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.68%E -1.49%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-18 04:40
Dabble (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.83%E -2.84%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.77%E -2.12%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-18 08:00
SportsBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.83%E -2.84%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.31%E -2.43%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-18 06:09
PlayUp🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.83%E -2.84%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.31%E -2.43%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-18 02:50
betfred_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.83%E -2.84%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.31%E -2.43%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-18 02:50
Neds🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.83%E -2.84%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.31%E -2.43%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-18 06:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.83%E -2.84%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.31%E -2.43%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-18 06:09
Betr (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.83%E -2.84%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.85%E -2.75%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-18 03:40
Winamax (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.83%E -2.84%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.85%E -2.75%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-18 02:50
888sport🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.83%E -2.84%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.39%E -3.08%K -7.18%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-18 03:05
betano_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.83%E -2.84%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.39%E -3.08%K -7.18%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-18 02:49
Bet Victor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.83%E -2.84%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.39%E -3.08%K -7.18%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-18 02:48
888sport (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.83%E -2.84%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.39%E -3.08%K -7.18%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-18 03:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.83%E -2.84%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.39%E -3.08%K -7.18%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-18 03:05
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.83%E -2.84%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.47%E -3.74%K -8.86%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-18 03:54
Unibet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -6.29%E -3.08%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -2.68%E -1.49%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-18 05:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -6.29%E -3.08%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -2.68%E -1.49%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-18 05:34
Casumo🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -6.29%E -3.08%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -2.68%E -1.49%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-18 05:35
ATG (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -6.29%E -3.08%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -2.68%E -1.49%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-18 05:35
betPARX🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -6.29%E -3.08%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -2.68%E -1.49%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-18 05:34
Bally Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -6.29%E -3.08%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -2.68%E -1.49%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-18 05:33
Betclic (FR)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%EV -6.29%E -3.08%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.83%EV -5.39%E -3.08%K -7.18%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-18 03:04
TABtouch🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -7.21%E -3.57%K -7.07%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -3.23%E -1.80%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-18 05:34
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.13%E -4.06%K -8.13%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.68%E -1.49%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-18 02:20
LiveScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.13%E -4.06%K -8.13%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.31%E -2.43%K -5.59%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-18 05:35
Virgin Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.13%E -4.06%K -8.13%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.31%E -2.43%K -5.59%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-18 05:35
Winamax (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -8.13%E -4.06%K -8.13%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -7.01%E -4.08%K -9.74%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-18 03:05
Grosvenor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -10.43%E -5.35%K -10.97%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -6.47%E -3.74%K -8.86%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-18 05:34
Unibet (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 46.52%EV -11.80%E -6.15%K -12.83%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.48%EV -9.71%E -5.82%K -14.50%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-18 03:04
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly2.22I 45.05%NM 45.05%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.95%-0.0%2026-09-18 05:00
Novig2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73%0.4%2026-09-18 04:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%0.6%2026-09-18 06:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%0.6%2026-09-18 06:20
Polymarket2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-09-18 05:05
Kalshi2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-09-18 02:20
ProphetX2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-09-18 05:40
Matchbook2.16I 46.30%NM 45.73%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.27%1.2%2026-09-18 07:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.16I 46.30%NM 45.59%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.41%1.5%2026-09-18 06:25
Smarkets1.98I 50.51%NM 46.05%1.69I 59.17%NM 53.95%9.7%2026-09-18 07:00