Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Cincinnati Reds v Chicago Cubs

2026-09-18 22:41 UTC — MLB

Résultat du match

62 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Cincinnati Reds (Local)

Prévision 45.94%2.18cote équitable
EV -0.319%
Avantage -0.147%
Kelly -0.273%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.17

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
45.03%45.94%45.95%47.37%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.922.072.052.1752.08%48.41%48.78%46.08%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Chicago Cubs (Visiteur)

Prévision 54.06%1.85cote équitable
EV -1.60%
Avantage -0.881%
Kelly -1.96%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.82

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
52.63%54.06%54.05%54.97%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.671.771.771.8259.88%56.47%56.50%54.95%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Cincinnati Reds (Local) : 45.94% ; Chicago Cubs (Visiteur) : 54.06%. Pour Cincinnati Reds (Local), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 2.18. Aucun opérateur admissible ne propose de cote supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure cote disponible est 2.17, pour une espérance de -0.319% ; elle ne produit pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
GTbets🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV -0.319%E -0.147%K -0.273%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -3.23%E -1.80%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.9%2026-09-18 05:00
BetUS🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%EV -0.779%E -0.360%K -0.671%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%EV -3.23%E -1.80%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.2%2026-09-18 05:00
Everygame🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -1.24%E -0.576%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.68%E -1.49%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-18 04:19
LowVig.ag🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -1.24%E -0.576%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -3.23%E -1.80%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-18 05:00
BetOnline.ag🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -1.24%E -0.576%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -3.23%E -1.80%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-18 05:00
1xBet🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%EV -2.16%E -1.01%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%EV -1.60%E -0.881%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.9%2026-09-18 05:44
Pinnacle🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -2.16%E -1.01%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -2.68%E -1.49%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-18 05:15
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -3.53%E -1.68%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -2.68%E -1.49%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-18 03:05
Fanatics🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.53%E -1.68%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.31%E -2.43%K -5.59%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-18 02:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.53%E -1.68%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.31%E -2.43%K -5.59%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-18 04:40
theScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.53%E -1.68%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.31%E -2.43%K -5.59%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-18 03:10
TAB🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.53%E -1.68%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.39%E -3.08%K -7.18%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-18 06:10
Coral🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.53%E -1.68%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.39%E -3.08%K -7.18%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-18 06:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.53%E -1.68%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.39%E -3.08%K -7.18%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-18 06:10
Fliff🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.53%E -1.68%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.93%E -3.41%K -8.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-18 05:00
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.53%E -1.68%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.93%E -3.41%K -8.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-18 06:10
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.53%E -1.68%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.47%E -3.74%K -8.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-18 03:35
Tipico (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -3.53%E -1.68%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -7.01%E -4.08%K -9.74%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-18 07:09
Caesars🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 46.13%EV -3.99%E -1.91%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.87%EV -3.23%E -1.80%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-18 03:10
Bovada🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 45.71%EV -3.99%E -1.91%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.29%EV -4.85%E -2.75%K -6.38%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-18 05:04
DraftKings🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 45.71%EV -3.99%E -1.91%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.29%EV -4.85%E -2.75%K -6.38%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-18 04:35
Coolbet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.45%E -2.14%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.85%E -2.75%K -6.38%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-18 06:48
LeoVegas🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.45%E -2.14%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.39%E -3.08%K -7.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-18 03:40
Unibet (UK)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -4.91%E -2.37%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -3.77%E -2.12%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-18 03:05
NordicBet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.91%E -2.37%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.85%E -2.75%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-18 06:09
Betsson🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.91%E -2.37%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.85%E -2.75%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-18 06:09
FanDuel🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -5.37%E -2.61%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -2.14%E -1.18%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-18 06:10
Bet Right🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -5.37%E -2.61%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -4.31%E -2.43%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-18 06:50
Marathon Bet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -5.37%E -2.61%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -4.85%E -2.75%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-18 05:39
Unibet (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.89%EV -5.83%E -2.84%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.11%EV -2.14%E -1.18%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-18 05:35
BetRivers🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.89%EV -5.83%E -2.84%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.11%EV -2.14%E -1.18%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-18 05:34
Unibet (NL)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.89%EV -5.83%E -2.84%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.11%EV -2.14%E -1.18%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-18 05:35
Svenska Spel🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.89%EV -5.83%E -2.84%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.11%EV -2.14%E -1.18%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-18 05:34
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.83%E -2.84%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.68%E -1.49%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-18 04:40
Dabble (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.83%E -2.84%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.77%E -2.12%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-18 08:00
SportsBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.83%E -2.84%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.31%E -2.43%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-18 06:09
PlayUp🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.83%E -2.84%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.31%E -2.43%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-18 02:50
betfred_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.83%E -2.84%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.31%E -2.43%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-18 02:50
Neds🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.83%E -2.84%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.31%E -2.43%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-18 06:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.83%E -2.84%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.31%E -2.43%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-18 06:09
Betr (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.83%E -2.84%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.85%E -2.75%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-18 03:40
Winamax (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.83%E -2.84%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.85%E -2.75%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-18 02:50
888sport🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.83%E -2.84%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.39%E -3.08%K -7.18%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-18 03:05
betano_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.83%E -2.84%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.39%E -3.08%K -7.18%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-18 02:49
Bet Victor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.83%E -2.84%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.39%E -3.08%K -7.18%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-18 02:48
888sport (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.83%E -2.84%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.39%E -3.08%K -7.18%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-18 03:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.83%E -2.84%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.39%E -3.08%K -7.18%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-18 03:05
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.83%E -2.84%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.47%E -3.74%K -8.86%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-18 03:54
Unibet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -6.29%E -3.08%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -2.68%E -1.49%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-18 05:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -6.29%E -3.08%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -2.68%E -1.49%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-18 05:34
Casumo🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -6.29%E -3.08%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -2.68%E -1.49%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-18 05:35
ATG (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -6.29%E -3.08%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -2.68%E -1.49%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-18 05:35
betPARX🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -6.29%E -3.08%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -2.68%E -1.49%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-18 05:34
Bally Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -6.29%E -3.08%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -2.68%E -1.49%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-18 05:33
Betclic (FR)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%EV -6.29%E -3.08%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.83%EV -5.39%E -3.08%K -7.18%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-18 03:04
TABtouch🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -7.21%E -3.57%K -7.07%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -3.23%E -1.80%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-18 05:34
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.13%E -4.06%K -8.13%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.68%E -1.49%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-18 02:20
LiveScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.13%E -4.06%K -8.13%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.31%E -2.43%K -5.59%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-18 05:35
Virgin Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.13%E -4.06%K -8.13%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.31%E -2.43%K -5.59%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-18 05:35
Winamax (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -8.13%E -4.06%K -8.13%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -7.01%E -4.08%K -9.74%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-18 03:05
Grosvenor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -10.43%E -5.35%K -10.97%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -6.47%E -3.74%K -8.86%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-18 05:34
Unibet (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 46.52%EV -11.80%E -6.15%K -12.83%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.48%EV -9.71%E -5.82%K -14.50%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-18 03:04
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly2.22I 45.05%NM 45.05%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.95%-0.0%2026-09-18 05:00
Novig2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73%0.4%2026-09-18 04:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%0.6%2026-09-18 06:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%0.6%2026-09-18 06:20
Polymarket2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-09-18 05:05
Kalshi2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-09-18 02:20
ProphetX2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-09-18 05:40
Matchbook2.16I 46.30%NM 45.73%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.27%1.2%2026-09-18 07:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.16I 46.30%NM 45.59%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.41%1.5%2026-09-18 06:25
Smarkets1.98I 50.51%NM 46.05%1.69I 59.17%NM 53.95%9.7%2026-09-18 07:00