Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Cincinnati Reds v Chicago Cubs

2026-09-18 22:41 UTC — MLB

Resultado del partido

62 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Cincinnati Reds (Local)

Predicción 45.94%2.18momio equitativo
EV -0.319%
Ventaja -0.147%
Kelly -0.273%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.17

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
45.03%45.94%45.95%47.37%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.922.072.052.1752.08%48.41%48.78%46.08%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Chicago Cubs (Visitante)

Predicción 54.06%1.85momio equitativo
EV -1.60%
Ventaja -0.881%
Kelly -1.96%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.82

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.63%54.06%54.05%54.97%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.671.771.771.8259.88%56.47%56.50%54.95%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Cincinnati Reds (Local): 45.94%; Chicago Cubs (Visitante): 54.06%. Para Cincinnati Reds (Local), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.18. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 2.17, con un valor esperado de -0.319%; no producen valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
GTbets🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV -0.319%E -0.147%K -0.273%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -3.23%E -1.80%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.9%2026-09-18 05:00
BetUS🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%EV -0.779%E -0.360%K -0.671%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%EV -3.23%E -1.80%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.2%2026-09-18 05:00
Everygame🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -1.24%E -0.576%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.68%E -1.49%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-18 04:19
LowVig.ag🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -1.24%E -0.576%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -3.23%E -1.80%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-18 05:00
BetOnline.ag🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -1.24%E -0.576%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -3.23%E -1.80%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-18 05:00
1xBet🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%EV -2.16%E -1.01%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%EV -1.60%E -0.881%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.9%2026-09-18 05:44
Pinnacle🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -2.16%E -1.01%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -2.68%E -1.49%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-18 05:15
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -3.53%E -1.68%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -2.68%E -1.49%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-18 03:05
Fanatics🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.53%E -1.68%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.31%E -2.43%K -5.59%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-18 02:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.53%E -1.68%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.31%E -2.43%K -5.59%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-18 04:40
theScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.53%E -1.68%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.31%E -2.43%K -5.59%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-18 03:10
TAB🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.53%E -1.68%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.39%E -3.08%K -7.18%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-18 06:10
Coral🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.53%E -1.68%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.39%E -3.08%K -7.18%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-18 06:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.53%E -1.68%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.39%E -3.08%K -7.18%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-18 06:10
Fliff🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.53%E -1.68%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.93%E -3.41%K -8.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-18 05:00
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.53%E -1.68%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.93%E -3.41%K -8.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-18 06:10
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.53%E -1.68%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.47%E -3.74%K -8.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-18 03:35
Tipico (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -3.53%E -1.68%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -7.01%E -4.08%K -9.74%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-18 07:09
Caesars🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 46.13%EV -3.99%E -1.91%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.87%EV -3.23%E -1.80%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-18 03:10
Bovada🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 45.71%EV -3.99%E -1.91%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.29%EV -4.85%E -2.75%K -6.38%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-18 05:04
DraftKings🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 45.71%EV -3.99%E -1.91%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.29%EV -4.85%E -2.75%K -6.38%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-18 04:35
Coolbet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.45%E -2.14%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.85%E -2.75%K -6.38%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-18 06:48
LeoVegas🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.45%E -2.14%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.39%E -3.08%K -7.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-18 03:40
Unibet (UK)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -4.91%E -2.37%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -3.77%E -2.12%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-18 03:05
NordicBet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.91%E -2.37%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.85%E -2.75%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-18 06:09
Betsson🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.91%E -2.37%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.85%E -2.75%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-18 06:09
FanDuel🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -5.37%E -2.61%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -2.14%E -1.18%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-18 06:10
Bet Right🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -5.37%E -2.61%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -4.31%E -2.43%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-18 06:50
Marathon Bet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -5.37%E -2.61%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -4.85%E -2.75%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-18 05:39
Unibet (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.89%EV -5.83%E -2.84%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.11%EV -2.14%E -1.18%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-18 05:35
BetRivers🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.89%EV -5.83%E -2.84%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.11%EV -2.14%E -1.18%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-18 05:34
Unibet (NL)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.89%EV -5.83%E -2.84%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.11%EV -2.14%E -1.18%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-18 05:35
Svenska Spel🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.89%EV -5.83%E -2.84%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.11%EV -2.14%E -1.18%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-18 05:34
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.83%E -2.84%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.68%E -1.49%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-18 04:40
Dabble (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.83%E -2.84%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.77%E -2.12%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-18 08:00
SportsBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.83%E -2.84%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.31%E -2.43%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-18 06:09
PlayUp🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.83%E -2.84%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.31%E -2.43%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-18 02:50
betfred_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.83%E -2.84%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.31%E -2.43%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-18 02:50
Neds🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.83%E -2.84%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.31%E -2.43%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-18 06:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.83%E -2.84%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.31%E -2.43%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-18 06:09
Betr (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.83%E -2.84%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.85%E -2.75%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-18 03:40
Winamax (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.83%E -2.84%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.85%E -2.75%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-18 02:50
888sport🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.83%E -2.84%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.39%E -3.08%K -7.18%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-18 03:05
betano_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.83%E -2.84%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.39%E -3.08%K -7.18%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-18 02:49
Bet Victor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.83%E -2.84%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.39%E -3.08%K -7.18%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-18 02:48
888sport (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.83%E -2.84%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.39%E -3.08%K -7.18%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-18 03:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.83%E -2.84%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.39%E -3.08%K -7.18%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-18 03:05
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.83%E -2.84%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.47%E -3.74%K -8.86%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-18 03:54
Unibet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -6.29%E -3.08%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -2.68%E -1.49%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-18 05:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -6.29%E -3.08%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -2.68%E -1.49%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-18 05:34
Casumo🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -6.29%E -3.08%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -2.68%E -1.49%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-18 05:35
ATG (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -6.29%E -3.08%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -2.68%E -1.49%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-18 05:35
betPARX🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -6.29%E -3.08%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -2.68%E -1.49%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-18 05:34
Bally Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -6.29%E -3.08%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -2.68%E -1.49%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-18 05:33
Betclic (FR)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%EV -6.29%E -3.08%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.83%EV -5.39%E -3.08%K -7.18%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-18 03:04
TABtouch🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -7.21%E -3.57%K -7.07%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -3.23%E -1.80%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-18 05:34
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.13%E -4.06%K -8.13%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.68%E -1.49%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-18 02:20
LiveScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.13%E -4.06%K -8.13%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.31%E -2.43%K -5.59%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-18 05:35
Virgin Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.13%E -4.06%K -8.13%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.31%E -2.43%K -5.59%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-18 05:35
Winamax (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -8.13%E -4.06%K -8.13%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -7.01%E -4.08%K -9.74%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-18 03:05
Grosvenor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -10.43%E -5.35%K -10.97%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -6.47%E -3.74%K -8.86%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-18 05:34
Unibet (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 46.52%EV -11.80%E -6.15%K -12.83%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.48%EV -9.71%E -5.82%K -14.50%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-18 03:04
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly2.22I 45.05%NM 45.05%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.95%-0.0%2026-09-18 05:00
Novig2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73%0.4%2026-09-18 04:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%0.6%2026-09-18 06:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%0.6%2026-09-18 06:20
Polymarket2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-09-18 05:05
Kalshi2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-09-18 02:20
ProphetX2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-09-18 05:40
Matchbook2.16I 46.30%NM 45.73%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.27%1.2%2026-09-18 07:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.16I 46.30%NM 45.59%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.41%1.5%2026-09-18 06:25
Smarkets1.98I 50.51%NM 46.05%1.69I 59.17%NM 53.95%9.7%2026-09-18 07:00