The School of Odds

Cincinnati Reds v Baltimore Orioles

Kickoff: 2026-07-05 17:05 UTC

Final: Cincinnati Reds 3–2 Baltimore Orioles

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. See how the models score across every settled game →

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

Head to Head

64 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Cincinnati Reds (Local)

Prediction 48.72%2.05fair odd
EV -1.58%
Edge -0.784%
Kelly -1.55%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.02

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.37%48.71%48.66%51.07%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.831.951.952.0255%51%51%50%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Baltimore Orioles (Visit)

Prediction 51.28%1.95fair odd
EV -0.520%
Edge -0.268%
Kelly -0.553%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.94

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.93%51.29%51.34%52.63%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.801.871.871.9456%53%53%52%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
MyBookie.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 47.67%EV -1.58%E -0.784%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 52.33%EV -5.65%E -3.07%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-05 15:48
GTbets2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -2.07%E -1.03%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -2.57%E -1.35%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-05 17:00
LowVig.ag2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -2.07%E -1.03%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -2.57%E -1.35%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-05 17:00
BetOnline.ag2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -2.07%E -1.03%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -2.57%E -1.35%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-05 17:00
BetUS2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -2.07%E -1.03%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -2.57%E -1.35%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-05 17:00
Pinnacle2.00I 50.00%NM 49.11%EV -2.56%E -1.28%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.89%EV -1.03%E -0.535%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.8%2026-07-05 17:00
BetAnything2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -2.56%E -1.28%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.06%E -1.08%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-05 17:00
Everygame2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -2.56%E -1.28%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.06%E -1.08%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-05 16:59
ReBet2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -2.56%E -1.28%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -4.11%E -2.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-05 15:45
TAB2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -2.56%E -1.28%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -4.11%E -2.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-05 17:00
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -2.56%E -1.28%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -5.13%E -2.78%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-05 16:40
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.56%E -1.28%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.16%E -3.37%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-05 16:35
theScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.56%E -1.28%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.16%E -3.37%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-05 15:40
Dabble (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -2.56%E -1.28%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -6.67%E -3.67%K -8.14%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-05 16:59
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.56%E -1.28%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.70%E -4.28%K -9.62%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-05 16:45
Fliff2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.56%E -1.28%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.70%E -4.28%K -9.62%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-05 17:00
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.56%E -1.28%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.70%E -4.28%K -9.62%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-05 16:40
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.56%E -1.28%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.70%E -4.28%K -9.62%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-05 16:40
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.56%E -1.28%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.70%E -4.28%K -9.62%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-05 16:10
1xBet1.99I 50.25%NM 49.23%EV -3.04%E -1.53%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.77%EV -1.03%E -0.535%K -1.11%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-05 17:00
Unibet (UK)1.98I 50.51%NM 48.57%EV -3.53%E -1.78%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.43%EV -4.11%E -2.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-05 15:44
DraftKings1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.53%E -1.78%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -5.13%E -2.78%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-05 16:05
Bet Right1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -4.02%E -2.04%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -5.13%E -2.78%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-05 16:45
Betr (AU)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -4.02%E -2.04%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -5.65%E -3.07%K -6.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 16:45
Tipico (DE)1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -4.02%E -2.04%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -7.70%E -4.28%K -9.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-05 15:45
FanDuel1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%EV -4.51%E -2.30%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%EV -3.08%E -1.63%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-05 15:40
Coolbet1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.51%E -2.30%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.13%E -2.78%K -6.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 16:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -4.99%E -2.56%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -2.57%E -1.35%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-05 15:59
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.99%E -2.56%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.11%E -2.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-05 15:40
Caesars1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.99%E -2.56%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.11%E -2.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-05 16:58
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.99%E -2.56%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.11%E -2.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-05 15:39
PlayUp1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.99%E -2.56%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.11%E -2.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-05 15:44
BetMGM1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.99%E -2.56%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.11%E -2.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-05 16:59
Hard Rock Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.99%E -2.56%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.11%E -2.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-05 15:40
Bovada1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.99%E -2.56%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.11%E -2.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-05 17:00
NordicBet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.99%E -2.56%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.13%E -2.78%K -6.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 15:45
Betsson1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.99%E -2.56%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.13%E -2.78%K -6.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 15:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.99%E -2.56%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.13%E -2.78%K -6.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 17:00
LeoVegas1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.99%E -2.56%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.13%E -2.78%K -6.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 16:05
BoyleSports1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.99%E -2.56%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.16%E -3.37%K -7.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-05 15:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.48%E -2.82%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.11%E -2.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-05 17:00
Neds1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.48%E -2.82%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.11%E -2.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-05 17:00
SportsBet1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -5.48%E -2.82%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -4.62%E -2.48%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 16:05
Marathon Bet1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -5.48%E -2.82%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -4.62%E -2.48%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 17:00
Unibet (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 48.68%EV -5.48%E -2.82%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.32%EV -5.65%E -3.07%K -6.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-05 16:54
Winamax (DE)1.94I 51.55%NM 48.68%EV -5.48%E -2.82%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.32%EV -5.65%E -3.07%K -6.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-05 15:45
Winamax (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 48.66%EV -6.45%E -3.36%K -7.02%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.34%EV -6.67%E -3.67%K -8.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-05 15:45
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.94%E -3.63%K -7.63%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.16%E -3.37%K -7.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-05 16:00
Betclic (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -7.43%E -3.91%K -8.25%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -7.70%E -4.28%K -9.62%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-05 16:39
Unibet (NL)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -8.40%E -4.47%K -9.55%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -0.520%E -0.268%K -0.553%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-05 16:55
Unibet (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -8.40%E -4.47%K -9.55%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -0.520%E -0.268%K -0.553%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-05 16:55
Svenska Spel1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -8.40%E -4.47%K -9.55%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -0.520%E -0.268%K -0.553%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-05 16:55
Casumo1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -8.40%E -4.47%K -9.55%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -1.03%E -0.535%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-05 16:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -8.40%E -4.47%K -9.55%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -1.03%E -0.535%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-05 16:55
Unibet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -8.40%E -4.47%K -9.55%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -1.03%E -0.535%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-05 17:00
Bally Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -8.40%E -4.47%K -9.55%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -1.03%E -0.535%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-05 16:55
betPARX1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -8.40%E -4.47%K -9.55%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -1.03%E -0.535%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-05 17:00
ATG (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -8.40%E -4.47%K -9.55%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -1.03%E -0.535%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-05 16:55
LiveScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -8.89%E -4.75%K -10.22%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -1.03%E -0.535%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 16:55
BetRivers1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -8.89%E -4.75%K -10.22%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -1.03%E -0.535%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 17:00
TABtouch1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -8.89%E -4.75%K -10.22%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -1.03%E -0.535%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 16:55
Virgin Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -8.89%E -4.75%K -10.22%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -1.03%E -0.535%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 17:00
Bet Victor1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -9.87%E -5.33%K -11.61%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -5.13%E -2.78%K -6.04%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-05 16:53
Grosvenor1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -10.84%E -5.92%K -13.06%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -2.06%E -1.08%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-05 17:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63%0.4%2026-07-05 17:00
Matchbook2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87%1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13%0.4%2026-07-05 17:00
ProphetX2.05I 48.78%NM 48.36%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.64%0.9%2026-07-05 17:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.11%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.89%0.9%2026-07-05 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.11%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.89%0.9%2026-07-05 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.11%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.89%0.9%2026-07-05 16:55
Kalshi2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-07-05 16:20
Polymarket2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-07-05 15:40
Novig2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.02%1.2%2026-07-05 16:55
Smarkets2.04I 49.02%NM 47.96%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.04%2.2%2026-07-05 17:00