مدرسة الاحتمالات

Cincinnati Reds v Baltimore Orioles

البداية: 2026-07-05 17:05 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Cincinnati Reds 3–2 Baltimore Orioles

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

64 شركة مراهنات (21 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Cincinnati Reds (المضيف)

التنبؤ 48.72%2.05السعر العادل
EV -1.58%
الأفضلية -0.784%
Kelly -1.55%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.02

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
47.37%48.71%48.66%51.07%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.831.951.952.0254.64%51.35%51.28%49.50%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Baltimore Orioles (الضيف)

التنبؤ 51.28%1.95السعر العادل
EV -0.520%
الأفضلية -0.268%
Kelly -0.553%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.94

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
48.93%51.29%51.34%52.63%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.801.871.871.9455.56%53.41%53.48%51.55%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (64 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
MyBookie.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 47.67%EV -1.58%E -0.784%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 52.33%EV -5.65%E -3.07%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-05 15:48
GTbets2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -2.07%E -1.03%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -2.57%E -1.35%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-05 17:00
LowVig.ag2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -2.07%E -1.03%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -2.57%E -1.35%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-05 17:00
BetOnline.ag2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -2.07%E -1.03%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -2.57%E -1.35%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-05 17:00
BetUS2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -2.07%E -1.03%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -2.57%E -1.35%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-05 17:00
Pinnacle2.00I 50.00%NM 49.11%EV -2.56%E -1.28%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.89%EV -1.03%E -0.535%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.8%2026-07-05 17:00
BetAnything2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -2.56%E -1.28%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.06%E -1.08%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-05 17:00
Everygame2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -2.56%E -1.28%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.06%E -1.08%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-05 16:59
ReBet2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -2.56%E -1.28%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -4.11%E -2.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-05 15:45
TAB2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -2.56%E -1.28%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -4.11%E -2.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-05 17:00
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -2.56%E -1.28%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -5.13%E -2.78%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-05 16:40
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.56%E -1.28%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.16%E -3.37%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-05 16:35
theScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.56%E -1.28%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.16%E -3.37%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-05 15:40
Dabble (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -2.56%E -1.28%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -6.67%E -3.67%K -8.14%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-05 16:59
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.56%E -1.28%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.70%E -4.28%K -9.62%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-05 16:45
Fliff2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.56%E -1.28%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.70%E -4.28%K -9.62%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-05 17:00
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.56%E -1.28%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.70%E -4.28%K -9.62%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-05 16:40
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.56%E -1.28%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.70%E -4.28%K -9.62%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-05 16:40
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.56%E -1.28%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.70%E -4.28%K -9.62%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-05 16:10
1xBet1.99I 50.25%NM 49.23%EV -3.04%E -1.53%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.77%EV -1.03%E -0.535%K -1.11%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-05 17:00
Unibet (UK)1.98I 50.51%NM 48.57%EV -3.53%E -1.78%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.43%EV -4.11%E -2.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-05 15:44
DraftKings1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.53%E -1.78%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -5.13%E -2.78%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-05 16:05
Bet Right1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -4.02%E -2.04%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -5.13%E -2.78%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-05 16:45
Betr (AU)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -4.02%E -2.04%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -5.65%E -3.07%K -6.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 16:45
Tipico (DE)1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -4.02%E -2.04%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -7.70%E -4.28%K -9.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-05 15:45
FanDuel1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%EV -4.51%E -2.30%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%EV -3.08%E -1.63%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-05 15:40
Coolbet1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.51%E -2.30%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.13%E -2.78%K -6.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 16:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -4.99%E -2.56%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -2.57%E -1.35%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-05 15:59
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.99%E -2.56%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.11%E -2.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-05 15:40
Caesars1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.99%E -2.56%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.11%E -2.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-05 16:58
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.99%E -2.56%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.11%E -2.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-05 15:39
PlayUp1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.99%E -2.56%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.11%E -2.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-05 15:44
BetMGM1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.99%E -2.56%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.11%E -2.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-05 16:59
Hard Rock Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.99%E -2.56%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.11%E -2.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-05 15:40
Bovada1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.99%E -2.56%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.11%E -2.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-05 17:00
NordicBet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.99%E -2.56%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.13%E -2.78%K -6.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 15:45
Betsson1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.99%E -2.56%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.13%E -2.78%K -6.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 15:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.99%E -2.56%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.13%E -2.78%K -6.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 17:00
LeoVegas1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.99%E -2.56%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.13%E -2.78%K -6.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 16:05
BoyleSports1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.99%E -2.56%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.16%E -3.37%K -7.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-05 15:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.48%E -2.82%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.11%E -2.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-05 17:00
Neds1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.48%E -2.82%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.11%E -2.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-05 17:00
SportsBet1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -5.48%E -2.82%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -4.62%E -2.48%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 16:05
Marathon Bet1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -5.48%E -2.82%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -4.62%E -2.48%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 17:00
Unibet (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 48.68%EV -5.48%E -2.82%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.32%EV -5.65%E -3.07%K -6.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-05 16:54
Winamax (DE)1.94I 51.55%NM 48.68%EV -5.48%E -2.82%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.32%EV -5.65%E -3.07%K -6.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-05 15:45
Winamax (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 48.66%EV -6.45%E -3.36%K -7.02%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.34%EV -6.67%E -3.67%K -8.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-05 15:45
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.94%E -3.63%K -7.63%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.16%E -3.37%K -7.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-05 16:00
Betclic (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -7.43%E -3.91%K -8.25%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -7.70%E -4.28%K -9.62%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-05 16:39
Unibet (NL)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -8.40%E -4.47%K -9.55%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -0.520%E -0.268%K -0.553%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-05 16:55
Unibet (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -8.40%E -4.47%K -9.55%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -0.520%E -0.268%K -0.553%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-05 16:55
Svenska Spel1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -8.40%E -4.47%K -9.55%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -0.520%E -0.268%K -0.553%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-05 16:55
Casumo1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -8.40%E -4.47%K -9.55%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -1.03%E -0.535%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-05 16:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -8.40%E -4.47%K -9.55%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -1.03%E -0.535%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-05 16:55
Unibet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -8.40%E -4.47%K -9.55%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -1.03%E -0.535%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-05 17:00
Bally Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -8.40%E -4.47%K -9.55%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -1.03%E -0.535%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-05 16:55
betPARX1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -8.40%E -4.47%K -9.55%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -1.03%E -0.535%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-05 17:00
ATG (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -8.40%E -4.47%K -9.55%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -1.03%E -0.535%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-05 16:55
LiveScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -8.89%E -4.75%K -10.22%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -1.03%E -0.535%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 16:55
BetRivers1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -8.89%E -4.75%K -10.22%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -1.03%E -0.535%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 17:00
TABtouch1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -8.89%E -4.75%K -10.22%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -1.03%E -0.535%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 16:55
Virgin Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -8.89%E -4.75%K -10.22%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -1.03%E -0.535%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 17:00
Bet Victor1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -9.87%E -5.33%K -11.61%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -5.13%E -2.78%K -6.04%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-05 16:53
Grosvenor1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -10.84%E -5.92%K -13.06%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -2.06%E -1.08%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-05 17:00
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
BetOpenly2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63%0.4%2026-07-05 17:00
Matchbook2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87%1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13%0.4%2026-07-05 17:00
ProphetX2.05I 48.78%NM 48.36%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.64%0.9%2026-07-05 17:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.11%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.89%0.9%2026-07-05 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.11%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.89%0.9%2026-07-05 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.11%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.89%0.9%2026-07-05 16:55
Kalshi2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-07-05 16:20
Polymarket2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-07-05 15:40
Novig2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.02%1.2%2026-07-05 16:55
Smarkets2.04I 49.02%NM 47.96%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.04%2.2%2026-07-05 17:00