Language:English
Chicago White Sox v Cleveland Guardians
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Chicago White Sox (Local)
Prediction 42.95%2.33fair odd
EV -0.778%
Edge -0.337%
Kelly -0.594%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.31
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.33%43.00%42.93%43.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.112.222.202.3147.39%45.00%45.45%43.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Cleveland Guardians (Visit)
Prediction 57.05%1.75fair odd
EV -1.31%
Edge -0.757%
Kelly -1.79%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.73
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.12%57.00%57.07%58.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.681.681.7361.73%59.66%59.52%57.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chicago White Sox (Local): 42.95%; Cleveland Guardians (Visit): 57.05%. For Chicago White Sox (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.33. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.31, with an expected value of -0.778%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 42.39%EV -0.778%E -0.337%K -0.594%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.61%EV -3.02%E -1.78%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-07 23:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -1.21%E -0.525%K -0.929%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -2.45%E -1.43%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-07 17:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -1.21%E -0.525%K -0.929%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -2.45%E -1.43%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-07 12:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%EV -1.21%E -0.525%K -0.929%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%EV -3.02%E -1.78%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-07 23:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%EV -1.21%E -0.525%K -0.929%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%EV -3.02%E -1.78%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-07 23:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%EV -1.21%E -0.525%K -0.929%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%EV -3.02%E -1.78%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-07 23:35 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -1.21%E -0.525%K -0.929%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.58%E -4.68%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-07 23:25 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.61%EV -1.64%E -0.715%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.39%EV -3.02%E -1.78%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-07 23:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -2.07%E -0.906%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -1.88%E -1.09%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-07 23:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.71%EV -2.07%E -0.906%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.29%EV -3.02%E -1.78%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-08-07 23:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.39%EV -2.50%E -1.10%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.61%EV -4.73%E -2.83%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-07 23:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36%EV -2.93%E -1.29%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64%EV -1.31%E -0.757%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-07 21:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%EV -3.36%E -1.49%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%EV -2.45%E -1.43%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-07 23:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%EV -3.36%E -1.49%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%EV -2.45%E -1.43%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-07 23:25 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.36%E -1.49%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.16%E -2.48%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-07 23:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.36%E -1.49%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.73%E -2.83%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-07 23:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.36%E -1.49%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.73%E -2.83%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-07 23:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.36%E -1.49%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.73%E -2.83%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-07 23:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.36%E -1.49%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.73%E -2.83%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-07 23:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.36%E -1.49%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.73%E -2.83%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-07 23:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -3.36%E -1.49%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.58%E -4.68%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-07 23:39 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.11%EV -4.21%E -1.89%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.89%EV -3.59%E -2.12%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-07 21:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.21%E -1.89%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.16%E -2.48%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-07 20:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.21%E -1.89%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.16%E -2.48%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-07 20:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -4.64%E -2.09%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -4.73%E -2.83%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-07 23:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -4.64%E -2.09%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -5.30%E -3.19%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 23:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -4.64%E -2.09%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -5.30%E -3.19%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 23:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.77%EV -5.07%E -2.30%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.23%EV -1.88%E -1.09%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-07 23:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.50%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.45%E -1.43%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-07 08:29 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.50%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.45%E -1.43%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-07 20:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.50%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.45%E -1.43%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-07 20:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.50%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.02%E -1.78%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-07 23:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.50%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.16%E -2.48%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-07 08:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.50%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.16%E -2.48%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-07 20:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.50%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.16%E -2.48%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-07 23:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.50%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.16%E -2.48%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-07 23:30 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.50%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.16%E -2.48%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-07 23:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.50%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.16%E -2.48%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-07 20:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.50%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.16%E -2.48%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-07 20:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.50%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.16%E -2.48%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-07 20:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.50%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.16%E -2.48%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-07 20:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.50%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.16%E -2.48%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-07 20:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.50%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.16%E -2.48%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-07 20:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.50%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.16%E -2.48%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-07 08:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.50%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.73%E -2.83%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 08:49 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.50%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.73%E -2.83%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 08:49 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.50%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.73%E -2.83%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 11:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.50%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.73%E -2.83%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 08:49 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.50%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.73%E -2.83%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 08:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.50%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.73%E -2.83%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 20:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.50%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.87%E -3.56%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-07 23:40 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.50%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.87%E -3.56%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-07 23:39 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -5.50%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -6.44%E -3.93%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-07 23:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.50%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.58%E -4.68%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-07 23:14 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.50%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.58%E -4.68%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-07 23:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.50%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.58%E -4.68%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-07 23:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -5.93%E -2.71%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -4.16%E -2.48%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-07 21:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -6.36%E -2.92%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -5.87%E -3.56%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-07 23:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -6.36%E -2.92%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -5.87%E -3.56%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-07 23:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.65%E -3.56%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.16%E -2.48%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-07 23:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.65%E -3.56%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.73%E -2.83%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-07 17:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.09%EV -8.08%E -3.78%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.91%EV -7.58%E -4.68%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-07 20:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 43.88%EV -9.37%E -4.44%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.12%EV -5.87%E -3.56%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-07 23:34 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket◎ | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53% | 1.1% | 2026-08-07 17:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53% | 1.1% | 2026-08-07 21:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.93% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.07% | 1.3% | 2026-08-07 23:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.93% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.07% | 1.3% | 2026-08-07 23:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.93% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.07% | 1.3% | 2026-08-07 23:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.93% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.07% | 1.3% | 2026-08-07 23:35 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.50% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.50% | 1.7% | 2026-08-07 23:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36% | 2.0% | 2026-08-07 22:30 |
| Novig◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36% | 2.0% | 2026-08-07 23:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14% | 4.2% | 2026-08-07 23:40 |