Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chicago White Sox v Cleveland Guardians

2026-08-07 23:41 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

44 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chicago White Sox (Local)

Prediction 46.69%2.14fair odd
EV -1.48%
Edge -0.704%
Kelly -1.34%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.11

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.74%46.63%46.70%47.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.962.042.042.1151.02%49.00%48.90%47.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Cleveland Guardians (Visit)

Prediction 53.31%1.88fair odd
EV -2.44%
Edge -1.33%
Kelly -2.94%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.22%53.37%53.30%54.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.731.791.801.8357.80%55.82%55.56%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Chicago White Sox (Local): 46.69%; Cleveland Guardians (Visit): 53.31%. For Chicago White Sox (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.14. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.11, with an expected value of -1.48%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 46.17%EV -1.48%E -0.704%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.83%EV -3.51%E -1.94%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-07 00:40
1xBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.95%E -0.929%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.44%E -1.33%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-07 01:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.95%E -0.929%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.44%E -1.33%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-06 23:35
Caesars🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.95%E -0.929%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.44%E -1.33%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-06 23:35
GTbets🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.95%E -0.929%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.44%E -1.33%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-06 23:50
theScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.95%E -0.929%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.64%E -3.19%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-06 23:35
LowVig.ag🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -2.42%E -1.16%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -2.44%E -1.33%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-06 23:35
BetOnline.ag🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -2.42%E -1.16%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -2.44%E -1.33%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-06 23:35
BetUS🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -2.42%E -1.16%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -2.44%E -1.33%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-06 23:44
FanDuel🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -3.82%E -1.85%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -3.51%E -1.94%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-07 00:00
MyBookie.ag🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -3.82%E -1.85%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -4.04%E -2.25%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-07 01:05
Bovada🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -3.82%E -1.85%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -4.57%E -2.56%K -5.79%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-07 00:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.29%E -2.09%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.04%E -2.25%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-06 23:35
TAB🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.29%E -2.09%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.04%E -2.25%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-06 23:40
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.29%E -2.09%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.04%E -2.25%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-06 23:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.29%E -2.09%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.04%E -2.25%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-07 00:55
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.29%E -2.09%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.04%E -2.25%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-07 00:55
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.29%E -2.09%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.04%E -2.25%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-07 00:54
PlayUp🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.29%E -2.09%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.64%E -3.19%K -7.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 00:30
888sport🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.29%E -2.09%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.71%E -3.83%K -8.94%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-06 23:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.29%E -2.09%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.71%E -3.83%K -8.94%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-06 23:40
888sport (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.29%E -2.09%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.71%E -3.83%K -8.94%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-06 23:40
Bet Right🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.75%E -2.33%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.04%E -2.25%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-07 00:00
DraftKings🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -4.75%E -2.33%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -4.57%E -2.56%K -5.79%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-07 00:55
Unibet (UK)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.75%E -2.33%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.11%E -2.87%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 01:00
Marathon Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.75%E -2.33%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.11%E -2.87%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 01:20
SportsBet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -5.22%E -2.57%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -5.11%E -2.87%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 00:00
NordicBet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -5.22%E -2.57%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -5.11%E -2.87%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 01:15
Betsson🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -5.22%E -2.57%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -5.11%E -2.87%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 01:15
Neds🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.69%E -2.82%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.04%E -2.25%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 00:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.69%E -2.82%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.04%E -2.25%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 00:55
Betclic (FR)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -5.69%E -2.82%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -5.64%E -3.19%K -7.33%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-07 00:59
BetAnything🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.62%E -3.31%K -6.62%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.44%E -1.33%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-07 02:05
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.62%E -3.31%K -6.62%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.04%E -2.25%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-07 00:00
Fliff🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.62%E -3.31%K -6.62%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.04%E -2.25%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-06 23:40
Betr (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.62%E -3.31%K -6.62%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.04%E -2.25%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-07 00:00
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.62%E -3.31%K -6.62%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.04%E -2.25%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-06 21:50
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.62%E -3.31%K -6.62%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.04%E -2.25%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-07 00:55
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.62%E -3.31%K -6.62%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.11%E -2.87%K -6.55%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-07 00:35
ReBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.62%E -3.31%K -6.62%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.64%E -3.19%K -7.33%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-07 00:35
Bet Victor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.62%E -3.31%K -6.62%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.71%E -3.83%K -8.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-07 00:35
betano_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.62%E -3.31%K -6.62%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.71%E -3.83%K -8.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-07 00:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.03%EV -8.49%E -4.33%K -8.84%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.97%EV -7.24%E -4.16%K -9.78%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-07 00:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.88%EV -8.49%E -4.33%K -8.84%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.12%EV -7.77%E -4.49%K -10.65%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-07 01:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig2.17I 46.08%NM 45.75%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.25%0.7%2026-08-07 01:41
Polymarket2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-08-07 00:20
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-08-07 01:00
ProphetX2.12I 47.17%NM 46.60%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.40%1.2%2026-08-07 02:05
Matchbook2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%5.2%2026-08-07 01:10
Smarkets1.95I 51.28%NM 46.87%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.13%9.4%2026-08-07 01:55