Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Chicago White Sox v Cleveland Guardians

Início: 2026-08-07 23:41 UTC

Final: Chicago White Sox 2–8 Cleveland Guardians

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

63 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Chicago White Sox (Local)

Previsão 42.95%2.33odd justa
EV -0.778%
Vantagem -0.337%
Kelly -0.594%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.31

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
41.33%43.00%42.93%43.88%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.112.222.202.3147.39%45.00%45.45%43.29%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Cleveland Guardians (Visitante)

Previsão 57.05%1.75odd justa
EV -1.31%
Vantagem -0.757%
Kelly -1.79%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.73

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
56.12%57.00%57.07%58.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.621.681.681.7361.73%59.66%59.52%57.80%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Chicago White Sox (Local): 42.95%; Cleveland Guardians (Visitante): 57.05%. Para Chicago White Sox (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.33. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.31, com valor esperado de -0.778%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (63 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
GTbets🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 42.39%EV -0.778%E -0.337%K -0.594%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.61%EV -3.02%E -1.78%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-07 23:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -1.21%E -0.525%K -0.929%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -2.45%E -1.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-07 17:40
Caesars🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -1.21%E -0.525%K -0.929%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -2.45%E -1.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-07 12:25
LowVig.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%EV -1.21%E -0.525%K -0.929%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%EV -3.02%E -1.78%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-07 23:20
BetOnline.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%EV -1.21%E -0.525%K -0.929%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%EV -3.02%E -1.78%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-07 23:20
Pinnacle🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%EV -1.21%E -0.525%K -0.929%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%EV -3.02%E -1.78%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-07 23:35
Fliff🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -1.21%E -0.525%K -0.929%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.58%E -4.68%K -12.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 23:25
BetAnything🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 42.61%EV -1.64%E -0.715%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.39%EV -3.02%E -1.78%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-07 23:15
FanDuel🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -2.07%E -0.906%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -1.88%E -1.09%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-07 23:15
BetUS🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 42.71%EV -2.07%E -0.906%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.29%EV -3.02%E -1.78%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-07 23:30
Unibet (UK)🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 42.39%EV -2.50%E -1.10%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.61%EV -4.73%E -2.83%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-07 23:40
1xBet🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36%EV -2.93%E -1.29%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64%EV -1.31%E -0.757%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-07 21:25
BetRivers🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%EV -3.36%E -1.49%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%EV -2.45%E -1.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-07 23:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%EV -3.36%E -1.49%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%EV -2.45%E -1.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-07 23:25
TAB🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.36%E -1.49%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.16%E -2.48%K -6.12%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-07 23:10
Bovada🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.36%E -1.49%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.73%E -2.83%K -7.06%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-07 23:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.36%E -1.49%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.73%E -2.83%K -7.06%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-07 23:30
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.36%E -1.49%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.73%E -2.83%K -7.06%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-07 23:30
BetMGM🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.36%E -1.49%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.73%E -2.83%K -7.06%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-07 23:30
Fanatics🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.36%E -1.49%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.73%E -2.83%K -7.06%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-07 23:20
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -3.36%E -1.49%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.58%E -4.68%K -12.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-07 23:39
MyBookie.ag🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 43.11%EV -4.21%E -1.89%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.89%EV -3.59%E -2.12%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-07 21:10
Unibet (NL)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.21%E -1.89%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.16%E -2.48%K -6.12%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-07 20:40
Unibet (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.21%E -1.89%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.16%E -2.48%K -6.12%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-07 20:40
SportsBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -4.64%E -2.09%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -4.73%E -2.83%K -7.06%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-07 23:15
NordicBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -4.64%E -2.09%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -5.30%E -3.19%K -8.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 23:05
Betsson🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -4.64%E -2.09%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -5.30%E -3.19%K -8.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 23:10
DraftKings🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 43.77%EV -5.07%E -2.30%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.23%EV -1.88%E -1.09%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-07 23:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.50%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.45%E -1.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-07 08:29
ReBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.50%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.45%E -1.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-07 20:10
theScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.50%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.45%E -1.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-07 20:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.50%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.02%E -1.78%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-07 23:15
Bet Right🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.50%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.16%E -2.48%K -6.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 08:50
PlayUp🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.50%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.16%E -2.48%K -6.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 20:50
Neds🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.50%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.16%E -2.48%K -6.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 23:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.50%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.16%E -2.48%K -6.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 23:30
Dabble (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.50%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.16%E -2.48%K -6.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 23:20
Unibet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.50%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.16%E -2.48%K -6.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 20:40
Casumo🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.50%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.16%E -2.48%K -6.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 20:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.50%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.16%E -2.48%K -6.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 20:40
Bally Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.50%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.16%E -2.48%K -6.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 20:40
betPARX🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.50%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.16%E -2.48%K -6.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 20:40
ATG (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.50%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.16%E -2.48%K -6.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 20:40
Coolbet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.50%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.16%E -2.48%K -6.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 08:50
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.50%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.73%E -2.83%K -7.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 08:49
Betr (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.50%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.73%E -2.83%K -7.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 08:49
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.50%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.73%E -2.83%K -7.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 11:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.50%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.73%E -2.83%K -7.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 08:49
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.50%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.73%E -2.83%K -7.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 08:49
TABtouch🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.50%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.73%E -2.83%K -7.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 20:40
Bet Victor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.50%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.87%E -3.56%K -9.04%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-07 23:40
betano_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.50%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.87%E -3.56%K -9.04%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-07 23:39
Winamax (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -5.50%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -6.44%E -3.93%K -10.07%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-07 23:40
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.50%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.58%E -4.68%K -12.23%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-07 23:14
Winamax (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.50%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.58%E -4.68%K -12.23%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-07 23:40
LeoVegas🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.50%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.58%E -4.68%K -12.23%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-07 23:40
Marathon Bet🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -5.93%E -2.71%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -4.16%E -2.48%K -6.12%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 21:25
LiveScore Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -6.36%E -2.92%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -5.87%E -3.56%K -9.04%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-07 23:25
Virgin Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -6.36%E -2.92%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -5.87%E -3.56%K -9.04%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-07 23:25
Unibet (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.65%E -3.56%K -6.65%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.16%E -2.48%K -6.12%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-07 23:30
Tipico (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.65%E -3.56%K -6.65%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.73%E -2.83%K -7.06%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-07 17:10
Grosvenor🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.09%EV -8.08%E -3.78%K -7.09%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.91%EV -7.58%E -4.68%K -12.23%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-07 20:40
Betclic (FR)🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 43.88%EV -9.37%E -4.44%K -8.44%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.12%EV -5.87%E -3.56%K -9.04%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-07 23:34
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Polymarket◎2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%1.1%2026-08-07 17:10
Kalshi◎2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%1.1%2026-08-07 21:45
Matchbook◎2.30I 43.48%NM 42.93%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.07%1.3%2026-08-07 23:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.30I 43.48%NM 42.93%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.07%1.3%2026-08-07 23:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.30I 43.48%NM 42.93%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.07%1.3%2026-08-07 23:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.30I 43.48%NM 42.93%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.07%1.3%2026-08-07 23:35
BetOpenly◎2.26I 44.25%NM 43.50%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.50%1.7%2026-08-07 23:30
Smarkets◎2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%2.0%2026-08-07 22:30
Novig◎2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%2.0%2026-08-07 23:40
ProphetX◎2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%4.2%2026-08-07 23:40