Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Chicago White Sox v Cleveland Guardians

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-07 23:41 UTC

Score final : Chicago White Sox 2–8 Cleveland Guardians

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

63 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Chicago White Sox (Local)

Prévision 42.95%2.33cote équitable
EV -0.778%
Avantage -0.337%
Kelly -0.594%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.31

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.33%43.00%42.93%43.88%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.112.222.202.3147.39%45.00%45.45%43.29%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Cleveland Guardians (Visiteur)

Prévision 57.05%1.75cote équitable
EV -1.31%
Avantage -0.757%
Kelly -1.79%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.73

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
56.12%57.00%57.07%58.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.621.681.681.7361.73%59.66%59.52%57.80%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Chicago White Sox (Local) : 42.95% ; Cleveland Guardians (Visiteur) : 57.05%. Pour Chicago White Sox (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.33. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 2.31, pour une espérance de -0.778% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (63 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
GTbets🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 42.39%EV -0.778%E -0.337%K -0.594%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.61%EV -3.02%E -1.78%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-07 23:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -1.21%E -0.525%K -0.929%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -2.45%E -1.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-07 17:40
Caesars🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -1.21%E -0.525%K -0.929%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -2.45%E -1.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-07 12:25
LowVig.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%EV -1.21%E -0.525%K -0.929%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%EV -3.02%E -1.78%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-07 23:20
BetOnline.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%EV -1.21%E -0.525%K -0.929%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%EV -3.02%E -1.78%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-07 23:20
Pinnacle🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%EV -1.21%E -0.525%K -0.929%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%EV -3.02%E -1.78%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-07 23:35
Fliff🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -1.21%E -0.525%K -0.929%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.58%E -4.68%K -12.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 23:25
BetAnything🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 42.61%EV -1.64%E -0.715%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.39%EV -3.02%E -1.78%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-07 23:15
FanDuel🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -2.07%E -0.906%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -1.88%E -1.09%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-07 23:15
BetUS🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 42.71%EV -2.07%E -0.906%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.29%EV -3.02%E -1.78%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-07 23:30
Unibet (UK)🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 42.39%EV -2.50%E -1.10%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.61%EV -4.73%E -2.83%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-07 23:40
1xBet🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36%EV -2.93%E -1.29%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64%EV -1.31%E -0.757%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-07 21:25
BetRivers🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%EV -3.36%E -1.49%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%EV -2.45%E -1.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-07 23:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%EV -3.36%E -1.49%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%EV -2.45%E -1.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-07 23:25
TAB🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.36%E -1.49%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.16%E -2.48%K -6.12%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-07 23:10
Bovada🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.36%E -1.49%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.73%E -2.83%K -7.06%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-07 23:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.36%E -1.49%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.73%E -2.83%K -7.06%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-07 23:30
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.36%E -1.49%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.73%E -2.83%K -7.06%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-07 23:30
BetMGM🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.36%E -1.49%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.73%E -2.83%K -7.06%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-07 23:30
Fanatics🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.36%E -1.49%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.73%E -2.83%K -7.06%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-07 23:20
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -3.36%E -1.49%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.58%E -4.68%K -12.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-07 23:39
MyBookie.ag🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 43.11%EV -4.21%E -1.89%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.89%EV -3.59%E -2.12%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-07 21:10
Unibet (NL)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.21%E -1.89%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.16%E -2.48%K -6.12%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-07 20:40
Unibet (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.21%E -1.89%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.16%E -2.48%K -6.12%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-07 20:40
SportsBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -4.64%E -2.09%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -4.73%E -2.83%K -7.06%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-07 23:15
NordicBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -4.64%E -2.09%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -5.30%E -3.19%K -8.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 23:05
Betsson🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -4.64%E -2.09%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -5.30%E -3.19%K -8.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 23:10
DraftKings🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 43.77%EV -5.07%E -2.30%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.23%EV -1.88%E -1.09%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-07 23:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.50%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.45%E -1.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-07 08:29
ReBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.50%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.45%E -1.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-07 20:10
theScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.50%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.45%E -1.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-07 20:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.50%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.02%E -1.78%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-07 23:15
Bet Right🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.50%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.16%E -2.48%K -6.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 08:50
PlayUp🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.50%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.16%E -2.48%K -6.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 20:50
Neds🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.50%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.16%E -2.48%K -6.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 23:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.50%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.16%E -2.48%K -6.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 23:30
Dabble (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.50%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.16%E -2.48%K -6.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 23:20
Unibet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.50%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.16%E -2.48%K -6.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 20:40
Casumo🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.50%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.16%E -2.48%K -6.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 20:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.50%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.16%E -2.48%K -6.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 20:40
Bally Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.50%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.16%E -2.48%K -6.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 20:40
betPARX🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.50%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.16%E -2.48%K -6.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 20:40
ATG (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.50%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.16%E -2.48%K -6.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 20:40
Coolbet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.50%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.16%E -2.48%K -6.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 08:50
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.50%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.73%E -2.83%K -7.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 08:49
Betr (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.50%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.73%E -2.83%K -7.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 08:49
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.50%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.73%E -2.83%K -7.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 11:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.50%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.73%E -2.83%K -7.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 08:49
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.50%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.73%E -2.83%K -7.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 08:49
TABtouch🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.50%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.73%E -2.83%K -7.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 20:40
Bet Victor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.50%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.87%E -3.56%K -9.04%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-07 23:40
betano_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.50%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.87%E -3.56%K -9.04%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-07 23:39
Winamax (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -5.50%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -6.44%E -3.93%K -10.07%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-07 23:40
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.50%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.58%E -4.68%K -12.23%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-07 23:14
Winamax (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.50%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.58%E -4.68%K -12.23%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-07 23:40
LeoVegas🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.50%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.58%E -4.68%K -12.23%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-07 23:40
Marathon Bet🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -5.93%E -2.71%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -4.16%E -2.48%K -6.12%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 21:25
LiveScore Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -6.36%E -2.92%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -5.87%E -3.56%K -9.04%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-07 23:25
Virgin Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -6.36%E -2.92%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -5.87%E -3.56%K -9.04%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-07 23:25
Unibet (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.65%E -3.56%K -6.65%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.16%E -2.48%K -6.12%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-07 23:30
Tipico (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.65%E -3.56%K -6.65%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.73%E -2.83%K -7.06%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-07 17:10
Grosvenor🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.09%EV -8.08%E -3.78%K -7.09%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.91%EV -7.58%E -4.68%K -12.23%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-07 20:40
Betclic (FR)🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 43.88%EV -9.37%E -4.44%K -8.44%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.12%EV -5.87%E -3.56%K -9.04%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-07 23:34
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Polymarket◎2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%1.1%2026-08-07 17:10
Kalshi◎2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%1.1%2026-08-07 21:45
Matchbook◎2.30I 43.48%NM 42.93%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.07%1.3%2026-08-07 23:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.30I 43.48%NM 42.93%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.07%1.3%2026-08-07 23:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.30I 43.48%NM 42.93%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.07%1.3%2026-08-07 23:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.30I 43.48%NM 42.93%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.07%1.3%2026-08-07 23:35
BetOpenly◎2.26I 44.25%NM 43.50%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.50%1.7%2026-08-07 23:30
Smarkets◎2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%2.0%2026-08-07 22:30
Novig◎2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%2.0%2026-08-07 23:40
ProphetX◎2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%4.2%2026-08-07 23:40