Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Chicago White Sox v Cleveland Guardians

2026-08-07 23:41 UTC — MLB

Résultat du match

45 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Chicago White Sox (Local)

Prévision 46.69%2.14cote équitable
EV -1.48%
Avantage -0.704%
Kelly -1.34%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.11

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
45.45%46.63%46.70%47.66%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.962.042.052.1151.02%48.97%48.78%47.39%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Cleveland Guardians (Visiteur)

Prévision 53.31%1.88cote équitable
EV -2.44%
Avantage -1.33%
Kelly -2.94%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.83

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
52.34%53.37%53.30%54.55%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.731.791.801.8357.80%55.85%55.56%54.64%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Chicago White Sox (Local) : 46.69% ; Cleveland Guardians (Visiteur) : 53.31%. Pour Chicago White Sox (Local), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 2.14. Aucun opérateur admissible ne propose de cote supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure cote disponible est 2.11, pour une espérance de -1.48% ; elle ne produit pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (45 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 46.17%EV -1.48%E -0.704%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.83%EV -3.51%E -1.94%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-07 00:40
1xBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.95%E -0.929%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.44%E -1.33%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-07 01:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.95%E -0.929%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.44%E -1.33%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-06 23:35
Caesars🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.95%E -0.929%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.44%E -1.33%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-06 23:35
GTbets🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.95%E -0.929%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.44%E -1.33%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-06 23:50
theScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.95%E -0.929%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.64%E -3.19%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-06 23:35
Dabble (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -1.95%E -0.929%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.71%E -3.83%K -8.94%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-07 02:30
LowVig.ag🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -2.42%E -1.16%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -2.44%E -1.33%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-06 23:35
BetOnline.ag🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -2.42%E -1.16%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -2.44%E -1.33%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-06 23:35
BetUS🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -2.42%E -1.16%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -2.44%E -1.33%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-06 23:44
FanDuel🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -3.82%E -1.85%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -3.51%E -1.94%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-07 00:00
MyBookie.ag🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -3.82%E -1.85%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -4.04%E -2.25%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-07 01:05
Bovada🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -3.82%E -1.85%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -4.57%E -2.56%K -5.79%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-07 00:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.29%E -2.09%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.04%E -2.25%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-06 23:35
TAB🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.29%E -2.09%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.04%E -2.25%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-06 23:40
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.29%E -2.09%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.04%E -2.25%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-06 23:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.29%E -2.09%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.04%E -2.25%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-07 00:55
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.29%E -2.09%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.04%E -2.25%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-07 00:55
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.29%E -2.09%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.04%E -2.25%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-07 00:54
PlayUp🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.29%E -2.09%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.64%E -3.19%K -7.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 00:30
888sport🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.29%E -2.09%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.71%E -3.83%K -8.94%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-06 23:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.29%E -2.09%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.71%E -3.83%K -8.94%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-06 23:40
888sport (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.29%E -2.09%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.71%E -3.83%K -8.94%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-06 23:40
Bet Right🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.75%E -2.33%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.04%E -2.25%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-07 00:00
DraftKings🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -4.75%E -2.33%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -4.57%E -2.56%K -5.79%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-07 00:55
Unibet (UK)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.75%E -2.33%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.11%E -2.87%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 01:00
Marathon Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.75%E -2.33%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.11%E -2.87%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 01:20
SportsBet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -5.22%E -2.57%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -5.11%E -2.87%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 00:00
NordicBet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -5.22%E -2.57%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -5.11%E -2.87%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 01:15
Betsson🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -5.22%E -2.57%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -5.11%E -2.87%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 01:15
Neds🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.69%E -2.82%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.04%E -2.25%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 00:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.69%E -2.82%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.04%E -2.25%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 00:55
Betclic (FR)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -5.69%E -2.82%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -5.64%E -3.19%K -7.33%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-07 00:59
BetAnything🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 47.66%EV -6.15%E -3.06%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.34%EV -2.44%E -1.33%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-07 02:10
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.62%E -3.31%K -6.62%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.04%E -2.25%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-07 00:00
Fliff🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.62%E -3.31%K -6.62%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.04%E -2.25%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-06 23:40
Betr (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.62%E -3.31%K -6.62%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.04%E -2.25%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-07 00:00
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.62%E -3.31%K -6.62%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.04%E -2.25%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-06 21:50
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.62%E -3.31%K -6.62%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.04%E -2.25%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-07 00:55
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.62%E -3.31%K -6.62%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.11%E -2.87%K -6.55%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-07 00:35
ReBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.62%E -3.31%K -6.62%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.64%E -3.19%K -7.33%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-07 00:35
Bet Victor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.62%E -3.31%K -6.62%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.71%E -3.83%K -8.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-07 00:35
betano_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.62%E -3.31%K -6.62%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.71%E -3.83%K -8.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-07 00:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.03%EV -8.49%E -4.33%K -8.84%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.97%EV -7.24%E -4.16%K -9.78%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-07 00:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.88%EV -8.49%E -4.33%K -8.84%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.12%EV -7.77%E -4.49%K -10.65%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-07 01:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
ProphetX2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%0.6%2026-08-07 02:50
Novig2.17I 46.08%NM 45.75%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.25%0.7%2026-08-07 01:41
Polymarket2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-08-07 00:20
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-08-07 01:00
Matchbook2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%5.2%2026-08-07 01:10
Smarkets1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%9.1%2026-08-07 02:50