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Chicago White Sox v Cleveland Guardians
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Chicago White Sox (Local)
Predicción 42.95%2.33momio equitativo
EV -0.778%
Ventaja -0.337%
Kelly -0.594%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.31
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.33%43.00%42.93%43.88%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.112.222.202.3147.39%45.00%45.45%43.29%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Cleveland Guardians (Visitante)
Predicción 57.05%1.75momio equitativo
EV -1.31%
Ventaja -0.757%
Kelly -1.79%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.73
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.12%57.00%57.07%58.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.621.681.681.7361.73%59.66%59.52%57.80%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Chicago White Sox (Local): 42.95%; Cleveland Guardians (Visitante): 57.05%. Para Chicago White Sox (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.33. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 2.31, con un valor esperado de -0.778%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 42.39%EV -0.778%E -0.337%K -0.594%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.61%EV -3.02%E -1.78%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-07 23:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -1.21%E -0.525%K -0.929%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -2.45%E -1.43%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-07 17:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -1.21%E -0.525%K -0.929%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -2.45%E -1.43%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-07 12:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%EV -1.21%E -0.525%K -0.929%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%EV -3.02%E -1.78%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-07 23:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%EV -1.21%E -0.525%K -0.929%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%EV -3.02%E -1.78%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-07 23:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%EV -1.21%E -0.525%K -0.929%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%EV -3.02%E -1.78%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-07 23:35 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -1.21%E -0.525%K -0.929%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.58%E -4.68%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-07 23:25 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.61%EV -1.64%E -0.715%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.39%EV -3.02%E -1.78%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-07 23:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -2.07%E -0.906%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -1.88%E -1.09%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-07 23:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.71%EV -2.07%E -0.906%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.29%EV -3.02%E -1.78%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-08-07 23:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.39%EV -2.50%E -1.10%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.61%EV -4.73%E -2.83%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-07 23:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36%EV -2.93%E -1.29%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64%EV -1.31%E -0.757%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-07 21:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%EV -3.36%E -1.49%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%EV -2.45%E -1.43%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-07 23:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%EV -3.36%E -1.49%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%EV -2.45%E -1.43%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-07 23:25 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.36%E -1.49%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.16%E -2.48%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-07 23:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.36%E -1.49%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.73%E -2.83%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-07 23:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.36%E -1.49%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.73%E -2.83%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-07 23:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.36%E -1.49%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.73%E -2.83%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-07 23:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.36%E -1.49%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.73%E -2.83%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-07 23:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.36%E -1.49%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.73%E -2.83%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-07 23:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -3.36%E -1.49%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.58%E -4.68%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-07 23:39 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.11%EV -4.21%E -1.89%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.89%EV -3.59%E -2.12%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-07 21:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.21%E -1.89%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.16%E -2.48%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-07 20:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.21%E -1.89%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.16%E -2.48%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-07 20:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -4.64%E -2.09%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -4.73%E -2.83%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-07 23:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -4.64%E -2.09%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -5.30%E -3.19%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 23:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -4.64%E -2.09%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -5.30%E -3.19%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 23:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.77%EV -5.07%E -2.30%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.23%EV -1.88%E -1.09%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-07 23:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.50%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.45%E -1.43%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-07 08:29 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.50%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.45%E -1.43%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-07 20:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.50%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.45%E -1.43%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-07 20:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.50%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.02%E -1.78%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-07 23:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.50%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.16%E -2.48%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-07 08:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.50%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.16%E -2.48%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-07 20:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.50%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.16%E -2.48%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-07 23:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.50%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.16%E -2.48%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-07 23:30 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.50%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.16%E -2.48%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-07 23:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.50%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.16%E -2.48%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-07 20:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.50%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.16%E -2.48%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-07 20:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.50%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.16%E -2.48%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-07 20:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.50%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.16%E -2.48%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-07 20:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.50%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.16%E -2.48%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-07 20:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.50%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.16%E -2.48%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-07 20:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.50%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.16%E -2.48%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-07 08:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.50%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.73%E -2.83%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 08:49 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.50%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.73%E -2.83%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 08:49 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.50%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.73%E -2.83%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 11:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.50%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.73%E -2.83%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 08:49 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.50%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.73%E -2.83%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 08:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.50%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.73%E -2.83%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 20:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.50%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.87%E -3.56%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-07 23:40 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.50%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.87%E -3.56%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-07 23:39 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -5.50%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -6.44%E -3.93%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-07 23:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.50%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.58%E -4.68%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-07 23:14 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.50%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.58%E -4.68%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-07 23:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.50%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.58%E -4.68%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-07 23:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -5.93%E -2.71%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -4.16%E -2.48%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-07 21:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -6.36%E -2.92%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -5.87%E -3.56%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-07 23:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -6.36%E -2.92%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -5.87%E -3.56%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-07 23:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.65%E -3.56%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.16%E -2.48%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-07 23:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.65%E -3.56%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.73%E -2.83%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-07 17:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.09%EV -8.08%E -3.78%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.91%EV -7.58%E -4.68%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-07 20:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 43.88%EV -9.37%E -4.44%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.12%EV -5.87%E -3.56%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-07 23:34 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (10)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket◎ | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53% | 1.1% | 2026-08-07 17:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53% | 1.1% | 2026-08-07 21:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.93% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.07% | 1.3% | 2026-08-07 23:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.93% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.07% | 1.3% | 2026-08-07 23:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.93% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.07% | 1.3% | 2026-08-07 23:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.93% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.07% | 1.3% | 2026-08-07 23:35 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.50% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.50% | 1.7% | 2026-08-07 23:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36% | 2.0% | 2026-08-07 22:30 |
| Novig◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36% | 2.0% | 2026-08-07 23:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14% | 4.2% | 2026-08-07 23:40 |