Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.20
assuming max odds 1.83
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chicago White Sox (Local): 45.70%; Chicago Cubs (Visit): 54.30%. For Chicago White Sox (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.19. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.547%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02%EV +0.547%E +0.249%K +0.456%G +0.002% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.98%EV -6.07%E -3.51%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-17 15:14 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV +0.547%E +0.249%K +0.456%G +0.002% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -7.15%E -4.18%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-17 14:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +0.547%E +0.249%K +0.456%G +0.002% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -9.32%E -5.58%K -13.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-17 15:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV +0.547%E +0.249%K +0.456%G +0.002% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -10.41%E -6.31%K -16.02%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-17 14:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.64%EV -0.824%E -0.380%K -0.704%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.36%EV -4.98%E -2.85%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-17 16:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -0.824%E -0.380%K -0.704%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -7.70%E -4.53%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-17 16:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -0.824%E -0.380%K -0.704%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -7.70%E -4.53%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-17 16:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -0.824%E -0.380%K -0.704%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -7.70%E -4.53%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-17 16:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -0.824%E -0.380%K -0.704%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -7.70%E -4.53%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-17 16:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -0.824%E -0.380%K -0.704%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -7.70%E -4.53%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-17 16:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -0.824%E -0.380%K -0.704%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -7.70%E -4.53%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-17 16:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -0.824%E -0.380%K -0.704%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -7.70%E -4.53%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-17 16:25 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -0.824%E -0.380%K -0.704%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -7.70%E -4.53%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-17 16:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -0.824%E -0.380%K -0.704%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -7.70%E -4.53%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-17 16:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -0.824%E -0.380%K -0.704%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -7.70%E -4.53%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-17 16:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -0.824%E -0.380%K -0.704%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -8.78%E -5.23%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-17 16:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -0.824%E -0.380%K -0.704%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -8.78%E -5.23%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-17 16:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -0.824%E -0.380%K -0.704%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -8.78%E -5.23%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-17 16:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -0.824%E -0.380%K -0.704%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -8.78%E -5.23%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-17 16:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -1.74%E -0.808%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.27%E -1.26%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-17 17:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -1.74%E -0.808%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.27%E -1.26%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-17 17:55 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -1.74%E -0.808%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -8.24%E -4.87%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-17 14:19 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -1.74%E -0.808%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -9.32%E -5.58%K -13.92%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-17 14:54 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -2.65%E -1.25%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -1.72%E -0.952%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-05-17 18:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -2.65%E -1.25%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -1.72%E -0.952%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-05-17 18:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -2.65%E -1.25%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -1.72%E -0.952%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-05-17 18:00 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%EV -2.65%E -1.25%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.90%EV -4.98%E -2.85%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-17 15:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -3.11%E -1.47%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -1.72%E -0.952%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-17 18:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -3.11%E -1.47%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -1.72%E -0.952%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-17 18:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -3.11%E -1.47%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -1.72%E -0.952%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-17 16:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -3.11%E -1.47%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -4.44%E -2.52%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-17 18:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.02%E -1.92%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.89%E -2.20%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-17 18:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.02%E -1.92%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.89%E -2.20%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-17 12:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.02%E -1.92%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.89%E -2.20%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-17 12:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.02%E -1.92%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.89%E -2.20%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-17 12:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.02%E -1.92%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.44%E -2.52%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-17 17:09 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.02%E -1.92%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.98%E -2.85%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-17 12:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.02%E -1.92%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.98%E -2.85%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-17 15:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.02%E -1.92%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.98%E -2.85%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-17 13:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.02%E -1.92%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.52%E -3.17%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-17 13:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.02%E -1.92%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.07%E -3.51%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-17 12:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.02%E -1.92%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.07%E -3.51%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-17 12:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.02%E -1.92%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.07%E -3.51%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-17 12:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.02%E -1.92%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.07%E -3.51%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-17 12:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.94%E -2.37%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.98%E -2.85%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-17 17:10 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.94%E -2.37%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.98%E -2.85%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-17 18:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -4.94%E -2.37%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -5.52%E -3.17%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-17 18:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.39%E -2.61%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.44%E -2.52%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-17 15:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.39%E -2.61%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.44%E -2.52%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-17 15:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.31%E -3.08%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.27%E -1.26%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-17 17:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.31%E -3.08%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.27%E -1.26%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-17 18:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.31%E -3.08%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.27%E -1.26%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-17 18:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -6.31%E -3.08%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.35%E -1.88%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-17 18:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -6.31%E -3.08%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.35%E -1.88%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-17 18:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.31%E -3.08%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.89%E -2.20%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-17 18:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.31%E -3.08%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.07%E -3.51%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-17 15:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.29%EV -6.77%E -3.32%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.71%EV -0.637%E -0.348%K -0.767%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-17 18:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.59%E -4.30%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.27%E -1.26%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-17 18:09 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.59%E -4.30%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.27%E -1.26%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-17 18:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -8.59%E -4.30%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -3.35%E -1.88%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-17 18:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -10.42%E -5.32%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -2.27%E -1.26%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-17 18:10 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 2.19I 45.66%NM 45.25% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.75% | 0.9% | 2026-05-17 18:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39% | 1.0% | 2026-05-17 12:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.36% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.64% | 1.1% | 2026-05-17 18:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.36% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.64% | 1.1% | 2026-05-17 18:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.36% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.64% | 1.1% | 2026-05-17 17:55 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.36% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.64% | 1.5% | 2026-05-17 18:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.59% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.41% | 1.5% | 2026-05-17 18:10 |
| Novig◎ | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.34% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.66% | 1.6% | 2026-05-17 18:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.82% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.18% | 2.0% | 2026-05-17 17:55 |