L’École des cotes

Chicago White Sox v Chicago Cubs

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-17 18:11 UTC

Score final : Chicago White Sox 9–8 Chicago Cubs

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

61 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Chicago White Sox (Local)

Prévision 45.70%2.19cote équitable
EV +0.547%
Avantage +0.249%
Kelly +0.456%
Croissance +0.002%

avec la cote maximale 2.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.86%45.64%45.74%47.87%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.962.112.122.2051.02%47.29%47.17%45.45%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Chicago Cubs (Visiteur)

Prévision 54.30%1.84cote équitable
EV -0.637%
Avantage -0.348%
Kelly -0.767%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.83

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
52.13%54.36%54.26%57.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.651.751.751.8360.61%57.26%57.14%54.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02%EV +0.547%E +0.249%K +0.456%G +0.002%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.98%EV -6.07%E -3.51%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-17 15:14
ReBet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV +0.547%E +0.249%K +0.456%G +0.002%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -7.15%E -4.18%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-17 14:50
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +0.547%E +0.249%K +0.456%G +0.002%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -9.32%E -5.58%K -13.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 15:40
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV +0.547%E +0.249%K +0.456%G +0.002%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -10.41%E -6.31%K -16.02%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-17 14:55
Svenska Spel2.17I 46.08%NM 44.64%EV -0.824%E -0.380%K -0.704%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.36%EV -4.98%E -2.85%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-17 16:25
Unibet (SE)2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -0.824%E -0.380%K -0.704%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -7.70%E -4.53%K -10.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 16:25
LeoVegas (SE)2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -0.824%E -0.380%K -0.704%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -7.70%E -4.53%K -10.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 16:25
LeoVegas2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -0.824%E -0.380%K -0.704%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -7.70%E -4.53%K -10.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 16:25
Casumo2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -0.824%E -0.380%K -0.704%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -7.70%E -4.53%K -10.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 16:25
Grosvenor2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -0.824%E -0.380%K -0.704%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -7.70%E -4.53%K -10.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 16:25
Unibet2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -0.824%E -0.380%K -0.704%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -7.70%E -4.53%K -10.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 16:25
Unibet (NL)2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -0.824%E -0.380%K -0.704%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -7.70%E -4.53%K -10.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 16:25
Bally Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -0.824%E -0.380%K -0.704%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -7.70%E -4.53%K -10.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 16:25
betPARX2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -0.824%E -0.380%K -0.704%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -7.70%E -4.53%K -10.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 16:25
ATG (SE)2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -0.824%E -0.380%K -0.704%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -7.70%E -4.53%K -10.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 16:25
Virgin Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -0.824%E -0.380%K -0.704%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -8.78%E -5.23%K -12.91%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-17 16:25
TABtouch2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -0.824%E -0.380%K -0.704%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -8.78%E -5.23%K -12.91%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-17 16:25
BetRivers2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -0.824%E -0.380%K -0.704%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -8.78%E -5.23%K -12.91%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-17 16:25
LiveScore Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -0.824%E -0.380%K -0.704%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -8.78%E -5.23%K -12.91%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-17 16:25
1xBet2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -1.74%E -0.808%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.27%E -1.26%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-17 17:15
Pinnacle2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -1.74%E -0.808%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.27%E -1.26%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-17 17:55
Fliff2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -1.74%E -0.808%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -8.24%E -4.87%K -11.94%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-17 14:19
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -1.74%E -0.808%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -9.32%E -5.58%K -13.92%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-17 14:54
GTbets2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -2.65%E -1.25%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -1.72%E -0.952%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-17 18:00
BetAnything2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -2.65%E -1.25%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -1.72%E -0.952%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-17 18:00
Everygame2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -2.65%E -1.25%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -1.72%E -0.952%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-17 18:00
MyBookie.ag2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%EV -2.65%E -1.25%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.90%EV -4.98%E -2.85%K -6.64%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-17 15:39
BetOnline.ag2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -3.11%E -1.47%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -1.72%E -0.952%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-17 18:00
LowVig.ag2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -3.11%E -1.47%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -1.72%E -0.952%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-17 18:00
BetUS2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -3.11%E -1.47%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -1.72%E -0.952%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-17 16:49
FanDuel2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -3.11%E -1.47%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -4.44%E -2.52%K -5.84%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-17 18:00
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.02%E -1.92%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.89%E -2.20%K -5.06%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-17 18:10
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.02%E -1.92%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.89%E -2.20%K -5.06%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-17 12:00
Caesars2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.02%E -1.92%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.89%E -2.20%K -5.06%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-17 12:50
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.02%E -1.92%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.89%E -2.20%K -5.06%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-17 12:04
Bovada2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.02%E -1.92%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.44%E -2.52%K -5.84%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-17 17:09
Bet Right2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.02%E -1.92%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.98%E -2.85%K -6.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-17 12:55
TAB2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.02%E -1.92%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.98%E -2.85%K -6.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-17 15:45
Coolbet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.02%E -1.92%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.98%E -2.85%K -6.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-17 13:45
Hard Rock Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.02%E -1.92%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.52%E -3.17%K -7.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 13:35
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.02%E -1.92%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.07%E -3.51%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 12:55
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.02%E -1.92%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.07%E -3.51%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 12:30
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.02%E -1.92%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.07%E -3.51%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 12:54
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.02%E -1.92%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.07%E -3.51%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 12:55
Marathon Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.94%E -2.37%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.98%E -2.85%K -6.64%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-17 17:10
Dabble (AU)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.94%E -2.37%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.98%E -2.85%K -6.64%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-17 18:05
SportsBet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -4.94%E -2.37%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -5.52%E -3.17%K -7.46%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-17 18:00
NordicBet2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.39%E -2.61%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.44%E -2.52%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 15:35
Betsson2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.39%E -2.61%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.44%E -2.52%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 15:35
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.31%E -3.08%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.27%E -1.26%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-17 17:59
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.31%E -3.08%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.27%E -1.26%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-17 18:00
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.31%E -3.08%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.27%E -1.26%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-17 18:00
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -6.31%E -3.08%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.35%E -1.88%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-17 18:00
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -6.31%E -3.08%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.35%E -1.88%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-17 18:00
PlayUp2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.31%E -3.08%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.89%E -2.20%K -5.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 18:09
Paddy Power2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.31%E -3.08%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.07%E -3.51%K -8.31%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-17 15:45
Unibet (UK)2.04I 49.02%NM 47.29%EV -6.77%E -3.32%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.71%EV -0.637%E -0.348%K -0.767%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-17 18:10
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.59%E -4.30%K -8.59%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.27%E -1.26%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-17 18:09
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.59%E -4.30%K -8.59%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.27%E -1.26%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-17 18:10
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -8.59%E -4.30%K -8.59%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -3.35%E -1.88%K -4.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-17 18:10
DraftKings1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -10.42%E -5.32%K -10.86%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -2.27%E -1.26%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-17 18:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (9)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
ProphetX2.19I 45.66%NM 45.25%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.75%0.9%2026-05-17 18:10
Polymarket2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-05-17 12:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.36%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.64%1.1%2026-05-17 18:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.36%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.64%1.1%2026-05-17 18:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.36%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.64%1.1%2026-05-17 17:55
BetOpenly2.22I 45.05%NM 44.36%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.64%1.5%2026-05-17 18:05
Matchbook2.16I 46.30%NM 45.59%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.41%1.5%2026-05-17 18:10
Novig2.17I 46.08%NM 45.34%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.66%1.6%2026-05-17 18:10
Smarkets2.14I 46.73%NM 45.82%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.18%2.0%2026-05-17 17:55